Applications of p-boxes and probability bounds analysis
Wikipedia article on the scientific and engineering applications of probability bounds analysis
Applied Biomathematics Uncertainty
Roundup of public websites related to uncertainty from research at Applied Biomathematics
Applied Biomathematics' NIH ARRA links
Roundup of websites for Applied Biomathematics' NIH-funded project on medical counseling software
Bayes interval calculator for medical tests
Chance of disease given a test and interval estimates of prevalence and test sensitivity and specificity
Beyond the statistician's bag of marbles
How binary sampling data informs us when we can’t make the usual assumptions
Comparing binomial rates with poor data
Software tools to compare binomial process rates under poor data about successes and failures
Reviews and demonstration papers about statistical confidence structures in risk analysis
Wikipedia article on sets of probability measures
Dilation is a phenomenon in which learning more information necessarily increases your uncertainty
Wikipedia article on bounds on probabilities of logical conjunctions (AND) and disjunctions (OR)
HTML characters for Google sites
Bestiary of special characters that can be copied onto Google Sites webpages
Occasional lectures and working groups on uncertainty at Applied Biomathematics
Cloud application demonstrating basic statistics for univariate data with interval uncertainties
Day-long tutorial on developing a probabilistic risk analysis when little or no empirical data are available
Wikipedia article on computing with probability boxes and applications in science and engineering
Wikipedia article on a computationally convenient characterization of uncertain numbers
Description of the commercial software RAMAS Risk Calc from Applied Biomathematics
Wikipedia article on Bayesian sensitivity analysis, also known as robust Bayes analysis
Personal website
Resume for Scott Ferson
Oral presentations by Scott Ferson
Strategies for risk communication: evolution, evidence and experience
Conference on the implications of risk perception, neuroscience, and the evolutionary social sciences for risk communication
Uncertainty projection in engineered systems
Roundup of the reports delivered to the Sandia Epistemic Uncertainty project
Some quotable or amusing quips, bon mots, clichés and platitudes
Websites maintained or edited by Scott Ferson
More websites
Workshop on validation of uncertain ecological models with imprecise data
Announcement and materials for a workshop at Centre Interfacultaire Bernoulli over 15-19 September 2014