Hakenes, H. & Schliephake, E., (2025) Responsible Investment and Responsible Consumption, Management Science, accepted.
We examine if responsible households should best approach a negative externality through their investment and consumption decisions. We show that socially responsible investment (SRI) and socially responsible consumption (SRC) have the highest impact when households do both together and in proportion, as each action offsets the market responses triggered by the other. This insight is relevant for large consumers and major investors, but it is even more important for small consumers and retail investors. Retail investors tend to be more risk-averse than global institutional investors, implying that any socially responsible investment (SRI) effort they make is likely to be offset by market reactions. However, because their overall investment exposure is small, reducing it slightly comes at a minimal cost. By combining a modest reduction in investment with a significant decline in personal consumption, small-scale actions can have a much greater impact together than either would achieve on its own.
Berg, T. & Schliephake, E., (2024) Market-Triggered Contingent Capital with Incomplete Information, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, http://doi.org/10.1111/jmcb.13190. Online Appendix
In this paper, we focus on the special instrument, contingent capital: debt securities that convert into equity in times of financial distress. Contingent capital has received considerable interest in the debate on banking regulation as an attractive instrument for bank stability. We analyze contingent capital using a global games framework to address concerns about multiple equilibria in its conversion. Departing from prior literature, we assume that bank asset values are not common knowledge. We show that a unique conversion equilibrium can exist if investors have sufficiently precise private information. We show that while highly dilutive CoCos potentially reduce agency problems, they may increase instability in the banking sector because, indeed, multiple equilibria may emerge. Our results suggest that optimal CoCo bond design must account for market microstructure and information asymmetries to avoid unintended consequences for financial stability.
Koenig, P. J. & Schliephake, E., (2023) Bank Risk-Taking and Impaired Monetary Policy Transmission, International Journal of Central Banking, 20 (3), 257-371.
We explore how prolonged low interest rates can simultaneously drive increased bank risk-taking and weaken monetary policy transmission. When deposit rates are bounded below and banks hold substantial fixed-income assets, further rate cuts can reduce margins and prompt riskier behavior. This increases bank risk-taking, and in turn, dampens the response of lending rates and loan volumes to policy rate changes. Hence, the empirically observed excessive risk-taking of banks and impaired transmission of policy rates into lending during low interest rates are two sides of the same coin. Our model provides a unified explanation for the well-documented empirical findings linking lower interest rates to both higher risk-taking and reduced bank lending responsiveness.
Schliephake, E. (2016) Capital Regulation and Endogenous Competition: Competition as a Moderator for Stability, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 48(8), pp.1787-1814. (Rated among the Journal’s top 20 downloaded articles in the 12 months after online publication)
This paper analyzes the effects of the competition on the efficiency of capital requirement regulation in establishing financial stability. Stricter capital requirements increase the funding costs of banks, which may result in higher lending rates, which increase the default risk of particular loans. Therefore, while higher capital buffers allow banks to survive higher loan portfolio default rates, the increased risk of individual loans could make banks riskier overall. I show that if banking markets are concentrated, the possibility to commit for capacities and the resulting gain of price-setting power can increase the efficiency of capital regulation in contrast to perfect competition, where increased capital requirements may increase the default risk of banks.
Buck, F. & Schliephake, E., (2013) The Regulator's Trade-off: Bank Supervision vs. Minimum Capital, Journal of Banking & Finance, 37(11), 4584–4598.
We analyze the efficient mix of capital regulation and banking supervision. We show that both instruments are substitutes. If we allow for regulatory competition, we find that the implementation of the optimal policy is not feasible. As a result, an agreement on international minimum capital standards can reduce the inefficiencies of international competition among regulators. However, a harmonized capital regulation may reduce the average effort spent by national supervisors.
Schliephake, E. & Kirstein, R., (2013) Strategic effects of regulatory capital requirements in imperfect banking competition. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 45 (4), 675–700.
Well-capitalized banks have a lower risk of failing. However, stricter capital rules may force banks to cut lending or raise costly capital, leading to higher loan rates. In this paper, we demonstrate that binding capital requirements constrain lending in the short-term and therefore alter banks’ strategic decision-making. Based on the strategic capacity commitment model of Kreps and Scheinkman (1983) we proof that if the immediate recapitalization is sufficiently costly, capital requirement regulation induces banks that compete in Bertrand competition to behave like Cournot competitors. Formally, the binding capital regulation changes the strategic price setting Bertrand game into a two-stage game, where banks first have to commit to a loan supply capacity before competing for loan interest rates. This decreases the loan supply and increases loan interest rates, resulting in positive profits for banks compared to the unregulated case.
Learning in Bank Runs, with Joel Shapiro (Saïd Business School, University of Oxford), CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP16581, submitted.
Bank runs often begin with informed capital pulling money out and other investors trying to figure out whether to run. We examine a model in which investor learning exacerbates bank runs. Sophisticated investors can gather information and quickly withdraw when the quality of the bank’s assets is low. Less informed investors can panic or defer their withdrawal, which allows them to learn by observing informed investors’ actions. The (real) option to learn from previous withdrawals leads to costly liquidation in bad states, which increases the payoff of running ex-ante. Moreover, when more investors learn the bank’s asset quality early, remaining investors have a fear of missing out, which also makes pre-emptive runs more likely. More information may thus lead to more panic runs and welfare may be non-monotonic in the amount of information available.
The Allocation of Liquidity and Bank Stability, with Hendrik Hakenes (Uni Bonn), submitted.
The fragility to panic runs of financial institutions depends—among others—on its liquidity base: the short term funds available to the bank for investment regardless of the withdrawal option available to customers. Institutions that are able to offer higher yield curves are able to lure the liquidity base away from their competitors. Using the standard global games approach, we show that financial institutions that are able to attract a broad liquidity base are less prone to panic runs, but the stability of the residual institutions decreases. As a result, the aggregate stability of the banking system may decrease.
Your Carbon Footprint, Including Investments: An Industry-Tailored Metric of Investment and Consumption Impact, with Hendrik Hakenes (Bonn University).
Carbon footprints measure greenhouse gas emissions for individuals, companies, or countries. Metrics exist for consumption bundles and other metrics for investment portfolios. Simply summing up both metrics overestimates household impact due to double accounting. Moreover, existing methodologies disregard market responses to reductions in consumption or investment. We add a product market to Heinkel et al. (2001) or Pastor et al. (2021), thus proposing a parsimonious equilibrium model that attributes the actual carbon impact to investment and consumption decisions with industry-specific weights. Our model establishes a transparent relationship between individual choices and overall emissions, considering demand elasticities and correlations in both product and financial markets. Our metric separates the direct impact of household choices within the industry from a spillover component attributing emission changes in other industries individual to household decisions.
Bank Capital Regulation with Unregulated Competitors, with David Martinez-Miera (Madrid Carlos III).
We analyze optimal capital regulation in a setup in which regulated banks are confronted with competition from unregulated institutions. The existence of unregulated competitors reduces the contraction in credit following an increase in capital requirements. However, it also increases possible inefficient reallocations of credit from banks to unregulated institutions. We show how in regulated banking sectors with high (low) market power, an increase in competition from unregulated banks results in higher (lower) optimal capital requirements and higher (lower) welfare.
Risk Weighted Capital Regulation and Government Debt.
This paper analyzes a government that simultaneously regulates the banking sector and borrows from it. I argue that a government may have the incentive to misuse capital requirement regulation to alleviate its budget burden. The risk weights for risky assets may be placed relatively too high compared to the risk weight on government bonds. This could have a negative impact on welfare: The supply of loans for the risky sector shrinks, which may have a negative impact on long term growth. Moreover, the government may be tempted to increase its debt level due to better funding conditions, which increases the risk of a future sovereign debt crisis. A short-term focused government may be tempted to neglect this risk and, thereby, may introduce systemic risk in the banking sector.
Costly Green Transition, with Diana Bonfim (Banco de Portugal, ECB, CLSBE), Geraldo Cerqueiro (CLSBE) and Ana Sá (CEF.UP).
Bank Rents and Risk Taking: An International Comparison, with Gianni De Nicolo (IMF and CESifo) and Viktoriya Zotova (IMF).
How do Negative Interest Rates Affect Bank Lending and Risk-Taking? Evidence from Switzerland, with Narly Dwarkasing (Uni Bonn).