Publications

Peer-Reviewed Journal Publications

 Nature Research Journals

1.        Taschetto, A.S., S. McGregor, D. Dommenget, D… S. Chand et al. 2025. Climate impacts of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation on Australia. Nature Reviews Earth & Environment. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-025-00747-x

2.         Chand, S.S., K.J.E. Walsh, S.J. Camargo et al., 2024. Reply to: Limitations of reanalyses for detecting tropical cyclone trends. Nature Climate Change. 14, 146–147. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-023-01880-5

3.         Chand, S.S., K.J.E. Walsh, S.J. Camargo et al., 2022. Declining tropical cyclone frequency under global warming. Nature Climate Change, 12, 655–661 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-022-01388-4

4.         Bell, S.S., A.J. Dowdy, H.A. Ramsay, S.S. Chand et al., 2022 Using historical tropical cyclone climate datasets to examine wind speed recurrence for coastal Australia. Scientific Report, 12, 11612. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-14842-2

5.         Chand, S. S., K. J. Tory, H. Ye and K. J. E. Walsh, 2017: Projected increase in El Niño-driven tropical cyclone frequency in the Pacific. Nature Climate Change, 7, 123-127. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3181

Other Peer-Reviewed Research Journals

1.         Biswas, S., S.S Chand, A.J Dowdy, K. Sharma. 2025. Australian fire weather variability using calibrated long-term reanalysis data. Discover Environment 3, 31.  https://doi.org/10.1007/s44274-025-00215-9

2.         Silvers, L. G., P.J. Klotzbach, C. J. T. Allen, M. M. Bell, S. G. Bowen, S. S. Chand, et al. 2025. The global influence of ENSO on rapid intensification of tropical cyclones. Geophysical Research Letters, 52, e2025GL115334. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL115334

3.         Kumar S., S. Chand, S. S. Bell, C. Su, H. Ramsay, V. Koschatzky, S. Biswas, K. Sharma, S. Kumar. 2025. Assessment of Tropical Cyclones in the Bureau of Meteorology's Atmospheric High-Resolution Regional Reanalysis for Australia. Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science, ES25053. https://doi.org/10.1071/ES25053

4.         Kumar, S., S. Chand, H. Ramsay, P. Klotzbach, J. Courtney, et al. 2025. An inter-comparison of tropical cyclone datasets for the Australian region. Environmental Research Letters, 20(1), 014039. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad9d5e

5.         Deo, A., B. Hally, K. Hennessy, R. Hoeke, L. Webb, S. Chand, R. Gregory, M. King, N. Eaton, R. Talae., 2025. Economic impacts of recent and future coastal inundation in Vanuatu. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 31. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105914.

6.         Zhao, H., K. Zhao, P.J. Klotzbach, S.S. Chand, S.J. Camargo, J. Cao, & L. Wu., 2024. Decreasing Global Tropical Cyclone Frequency in Cmip6 Historical Simulations. Science Advances 10, no. 27. https://doi.org/doi:10.1126/sciadv.adl2142.

6.         Bell. S., A. Dowdy, S. Chand & S. Chun-Hsu., 2024. Occurrence and trends of historical tropical cyclone rainfall on near-coastal regions of Australia. Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science 74, ES23015. https://doi.org/10.1071/ES23015

7.         Haruhiru, A., S.S. Chand, N. Sultanova, et al., 2023. Subseasonal prediction framework for tropical cyclone activity in the Solomon Islands region. International Journal of Climatology, 43(12), 5763–5777. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8173

8.         Yeasmin, A., S. Chand, & N. Sultanova, 2023. Tropical cyclones and depressions over the South Pacific Ocean since the late 19th century: Assessing synergistic relationship between the El Niño Southern Oscillation and Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation. International Journal of Climatology, 43(12), 5422–5443. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8154

9.         Suzana J. C., H. Murakami, N. Bloemendaal, S.S. Chand, et al., 2023. An update on the influence of natural climate variability and anthropogenic climate change on tropical cyclones, Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, 12(3), 216-239, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tcrr.2023.10.001.

10. Tu’uholoaki, M., A. Espejo, K.K. Sharma, A. Singh, M. Wandres, H. Damlamian, S. Chand, 2023. Influence of the Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) on Tropical Cyclones Affecting Tonga in the Southwest Pacific. Atmosphere, 14, 1189. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos14071189.

11. Tu’uholoaki, M., A. Espejo, A. Singh, H. Damlamian, M. Wandres, S. Chand, et al. 2023: Clustering tropical cyclone genesis on ENSO timescales in the Southwest Pacific. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06497-6

12. Chand, S., S. Power, K. Walsh, et al., 2023 Climate processes and drivers in the Pacific and global warming: a review for informing Pacific planning agencies. Climatic Change 176, 5. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-022-03467-z

13. Yeasmin, A., S. Chand, N. Sultanova, 2023: Reconstruction of tropical cyclone and depression proxies for the South Pacific since the 1850s. Weather and Climate Extremes. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2022.100543

14. Haruhiru, A., S.S. Chand, C. Turville, H. Ramsay, 2023: Tropical cyclone activity in the Solomon Islands region: Climatology, variability, and trends. International Journal of Climatology, 1– 22. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7797

15. Tu'uholoaki, M., A. Singh, A. Espejo, S. Chand, H. Damlamian, 2022: Tropical cyclone climatology, variability, and trends in the Tonga region, Southwest Pacific, Weather and Climate Extremes, 2022, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2022.100483.

16. Deo, A., S.S. Chand, R.D. McIntosh et al., 2022. Severe tropical cyclones over southwest Pacific Islands: economic impacts and implications for disaster risk management. Climatic Change 172, 38. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-022-03391-2

17. Biswas, S., S.S. Chand, A.J. Dowdy, W. Wright, C. Foale, X. Zhao, A. Deo, 2022: Statistical calibration of long-term reanalysis data for Australian fire weather conditions, Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-21-0034.1

18. Yeasmin, A., S. Chand, C. Turville, N. Sultanova, 2021: Detection and verification of tropical cyclones and depressions over the South Pacific Ocean basin using ERA‐5 reanalysis dataset. International Journal of Climatology. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7131

19. Deo, A., S.S. Chand, H. Ramsay. et al.,2021: Tropical cyclone contribution to extreme rainfall over southwest Pacific Island nations. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05680-5

20.     Bell, S.S., S.S. Chand, K. Tory, H. Ye, C. Turville, 2020: North Indian Ocean tropical cyclone activity in CMIP5 experiments: Future projections using a model‐independent detection and tracking scheme. International Journal of Climatology. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6594 

21.     Bell, S.S., S.S. Chand, C. Turville, 2020: Projected changes in ENSO-driven regional tropical cyclone tracks. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05129-1

22.     Bell, S.S., S.S. Chand, S. J. Camargo, K. J. Tory, C. Turville, 2019: Western Pacific tropical cyclone tracks in CMIP5 models: statistical assessment using model-independent detection and tracking scheme, Journal of Climate, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0785.1

23.     S. S. Chand et al., 2019: Review of tropical cyclones in the Australian region: Climatology, variability, predictability, and trends, WIRES Climate Change. https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.602

24.     Bell, S.S., S.S. Chand, K. J. Tory, C. Turville, and H. Ye, 2019: Eastern North Pacific tropical cyclone activity in historical and future CMIP5 experiments: assessment with a model-independent tracking scheme, Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s0038

25. Ramsay, H.A., S.S. Chand, and S.J. Camargo, 2018: A Statistical Assessment of Southern Hemisphere Tropical Cyclone Tracks in Climate Models. J. Climate, 31, 10081–10104, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0377.1 

26.     Bell, S.S., S.S. Chand, K. J. Tory, A. J. Dowdy, C. Turville, and H. Ye, 2018: Projections of Southern Hemisphere tropical cyclone track density using CMIP5 models, Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4497-4

27. Chand S. S., 2018: Impact of Climate Variability and Change on Tropical Cyclones in the South Pacific. In: Dominick A. DellaSala, and Michael I. Goldstein (eds.) The Encyclopedia of the Anthropocene, vol. 2, p. 217-225. Oxford: Elsevier.

28. Bell S.S., Chand S.S., Tory K.J., Turville C, 2018. Statistical assessment of the OWZ tropical cyclone tracking scheme in ERA-Interim. Journal of Climate, 31, 2217-2232, 

29.     Chand, S. S., L. E. Chambers, M. Waiwai, P. Malsale, and E. Thompson, 2014: Indigenous knowledge for environmental prediction in the Pacific Island Countries. Weather, Climate and Society, 6, 445-450.

30.     Tory, K. J., S. S. Chand, J. L. McBride, R. Dare and H. Ye, 2013: Projected changes in late 21st century tropical cyclone frequency in thirteen coupled climate models from the Coupled Climate Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5. Journal of Climate, 26, 9946-9959.

31.     Chand, S. S, K. J. Tory, J. L. McBride, M. C. Wheeler, R. Dare and K. J. E. Walsh, 2013: The different impact of positive-neutral and negative-neutral ENSO regimes on Australian tropical cyclones. Journal of Climate, 26, 8008-8016.

32.     Chand, S. S., and K. J. E. Walsh, 2013: Tropical Cyclones in the Fiji Region: Impact of ENSO and Seasonal Prediction. Bulletin of Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society, 26, 87-90.

33.     Tory, K. J., S. S. Chand, R. A. Dare, and J. L. McBride, 2013: The development and assessment of a model-, grid- and basin-independent tropical cyclone detection scheme. Journal of Climate, 26, 5493-5507.

34.     Tory, K. J., S. S. Chand, R. A. Dare, and J. L. McBride, 2013: An Assessment of a model-, grid- and basin-independent tropical cyclone detection scheme in selected CMIP3 global climate models. Journal of Climate, 26, 5508-5522.

35.     Chand, S. S, J. L. McBride, K. J. Tory, M. C. Wheeler and K. J. E. Walsh, 2013: Impact of different ENSO regimes on southwest Pacific tropical cyclones. Journal of Climate, 26, 600-608.

36.     Tory, K. J., R. A. Dare, N. E. Davidson, J. L. McBride and S. S. Chand, 2013: The importance of low-deformation vorticity in tropical cyclone formation. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 13, 2115-2132.

37.     Chand, S. S., and K. J. E. Walsh, 2011: Modeling Seasonal Tropical Cyclone Activity in the Fiji Region as a Binary Classification Problem. Journal of Climate, 25, 5057-5071.

38. Chand, S. S., and K. J. E. Walsh, 2011: Influence of ENSO on Tropical Cyclone Intensity in the Fiji Region. Journal of Climate, 24, 4096-4108.

39. Chand, S. S., and K. J. E. Walsh, 2011: Forecasting Tropical Cyclone Formation in the Fiji Region: A Probit Regression Approach Using the Bayesian Fitting. Weather and Forecasting, 26, 150-165.

40. Chand, S. S., K. J. E. Walsh, and J. C. L. Chan, 2010: A Bayesian Regression Approach to Seasonal Prediction of Tropical Cyclones Affecting the Fiji Region. Journal of Climate, 23, 3425-3445.

41. Chand, S. S., and K. J. E. Walsh, 2010: The Influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation on Tropical Cyclone Activity in the Fiji Region. Journal of Climate, 23, 868-886.

42. Chand, S. S., and K. J. E. Walsh, 2009: Tropical Cyclone Activity in the Fiji Region: Spatial Patterns and Relationship to Large-Scale Circulation. Journal of Climate, 22, 3877-3893.

43. Chand, S., T. Aung, and S. Rao, 2007: The 1997-98 El Niño and 1999 La Niña Evolution of Geostrophic Current Around the Fiji Islands. South Pacific Journal of Natural Science, 26, 10-15.

44. Chand, S., T. Aung, and S. Rao, 2004. Physical Properties of Southern Fiji Waters. South Pacific Journal of Natural Science, 22, 57-61.

 Peer-Reviewed Book Chapters

1.         Chand, S. 2025. Tropical cyclones and wind damage. In G. Villarini, G. A. Vecchi, & E. Scoccimarro (Eds.), Tropical Cyclones and Associated Impacts (pp. 121-134). Elsevier. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-323-95390-0.00006-6.

2.         I-I Lin, S.J. Camargo, C. Patricola, J. Boucharel, S. Chand, P. Klotzbach, J. Chan, B. Wang, P. Chang, T. Li, and F.F. Jin, 2020. ENSO and tropical cyclones, Chapter 17, in El Niño Southern Oscillation in a Changing Climate, editors M. McPhaden, A. Santoso and W. Cai, in press, Geophysical Monograph Series, American Geophysical Union, Wiley ISBN: 978-1-119-54812-6.

3.         Chand S. S., 2020: Climate Change Scenarios and Projections for the Pacific. In: Lalit Kumar (eds) Climate Change and Impacts in the Pacific, Springer Climate. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-32878-8_3

4.         Chand S. S., A. Dowdy, S. Bell, K. Tory, 2020: A Review of South Pacific Tropical Cyclones: Impacts of Natural Climate Variability and Climate Change. In: Lalit Kumar (eds) Climate Change and Impacts in the Pacific, Springer Climate. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-32878-8_6

5.         Chand S. S., 2018: Impact of Climate Variability and Change on Tropical Cyclones in the South Pacific. In: Dominick A. DellaSala, and Michael I. Goldstein (eds.) The Encyclopedia of the Anthropocene, vol. 2, p. 217-225. Oxford: Elsevier.

Other Research Publications

1.         Camargo, S., H. Murakami, N. Bloemendaal, S. Chand, et al., 2022: Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change, Tenth International Workshops on Climate Change. Report available online at: Services - IWTC-10_topic6.3_TCs_climate_change_report.pdf (sharepoint.com).

2.         CSIRO and SPREP (2022). Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change: implications for the Western Tropical Pacific. Technical report by CSIRO and SPREP to the Australia-Pacific Climate Partnership funded Pacific NextGen Projections project. Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) and Secretariat of the Pacific Regional Environment Program (SPREP). Melbourne, Australia. https://doi.org/10.25919/pbtc-1y82

3.       CSIRO and SPREP (2021). ‘NextGen’ Projections for the Western Tropical Pacific. Final report to the Australia-Pacific Climate Partnership for the Next Generation Climate Projections for the Western Tropical Pacific project. Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) and Secretariat of the Pacific Regional Environment Programme (SPREP), CSIRO Technical Report, Melbourne, Australia. Reports available online at: Climate Change Update for the Pacific – RCCAP – Regional Climate Consortium for Asia and the Pacific

4.         Irving, D., K. Hennessy, J. Katzfey, P. Kokic, D. Abbs, J. Brown, S. Chand, A. Lenton, A. S. Gupta, N. Summons and K. Tory, 2011: Climate Projection Methodology, in Climate Change in the Pacific: Scientific Assessment and New Research. Volume 1: Regional Overview, Australian Bureau of Meteorology and CSIRO, Chapter 4, 79-96, ISBN 978-1-921826-73-3.

5.         Brown, J., R. Coleman, J. Katzfey, D. Irving, A. S. Gupta, D. Abbs, S. Perkins, C. Arthur, J. Brown, S. Chand, M. Chattopadhyay, J. Church, F. Delage, P. Durac, P. Kokic, J. McGregor, A. Moise, L. Muir, B. Murphy, K. Nguyen, S. Platten, S. Power, I. Smith, N. Summons, K. Tory, S. Wijffels and X. Zhang, 2011: Climate Model Reliability, in Climate Change in the Pacific: Scientific Assessment and New Research. Volume 1: Regional Overview, Australian Bureau of Meteorology and CSIRO, Chapter 5, 97-143, ISBN 978-1-921826-73-3.

6.         Katzfey, J., P. Kokic, S. Perkins, D. Abbs, C. Arthur, S. Chand, M. Chattopadhyay, S. Crimp, D. Irving, J. McBride, J. McGregor, K. Nguyen, N. Summons, M. Thatcher, K. Tory, 2011: Climate Model Reliability, in Climate Change in the Pacific: Scientific Assessment and New Research. Volume 1: Regional Overview, Australian Bureau of Meteorology and CSIRO, Chapter 7, 181-212, ISBN 978-1-921826-73-3.