Publications

Refereed Journal Articles

Nature Research Journals

1. Chand, S.S., K.J.E. Walsh, S.J. Camargo., et al. Reply to: Limitations of reanalyses for detecting tropical cyclone trends. Nat. Clim. Chang. (2023). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-023-01880-5 

2. Chand, S.S., K.J.E. Walsh, S.J. Camargo et al., 2022. Declining tropical cyclone frequency under global warming. Nature Climate Change. 12, 655–661 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-022-01388-4 

3. Bell, S.S., A.J. Dowdy, H.A. Ramsay, S.S. Chand et al., 2022 Using historical tropical cyclone climate datasets to examine wind speed recurrence for coastal Australia. Scientific Report 12, 11612. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-14842-2 

4. Chand, S. S., K. J. Tory, H. Ye, and K. J. E. Walsh, 2017: Projected increase in El Niño-driven tropical cyclone frequency in the Pacific. Nature Climate Change, 7, 123-127. doi:10.1038/nclimate3181.

Other Peer-reviewed Journals

5. Camargo, S.J., H. Murakami, N. Bloemendaal, S.S. Chand, et al., 2023 An update on the influence of natural climate variability and anthropogenic climate change on tropical cyclones, Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, 12, 216-239, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tcrr.2023.10.001.

6. Haruhiru, A., S.S. Chand, N. Sultanova, H. Ramsay, K.K. Sharma, & L. Tahani, 2023 Subseasonal prediction framework for tropical cyclone activity in the Solomon Islands region. International Journal of Climatology, 43(12), 5763–5777. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8173 

7. Tu’uholoaki M., A. Espejo, K.K. Sharma, A. Singh, M. Wandres, H. Damlamian, S. Chand, 2023 Influence of the Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) on Tropical Cyclones Affecting Tonga in the Southwest Pacific. Atmosphere. 2023; 14(7):1189. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos14071189 

8. Chand, S., S. Power, K. Walsh, et al., 2023 Climate processes and drivers in the Pacific and global warming: a review for informing Pacific planning agencies. Climatic Change 176, 5. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-022-03467-z 

9. Yeasmin, A., S. Chand, N. Sultanova, 2023: Reconstruction of tropical cyclone and depression proxies for the South Pacific since the 1850s. Weather and Climate Extremes. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2022.100543

10. Tu’uholoaki, M., A. Espejo, A. Singh, H. Damlamian, M. Wandres, S. Chand, et al. 2022: Clustering tropical cyclone genesis on ENSO timescales in the Southwest Pacific. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06497-6 

11. Haruhiru, A., S.S. Chand, C. Turville, H. Ramsay, 2022: Tropical cyclone activity in the Solomon Islands region: Climatology, variability, and trends. International Journal of Climatology, 1– 22. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7797 

12. Tu'uholoaki, M., A. Singh, A. Espejo, S. Chand, H. Damlamian, 2022: Tropical cyclone climatology, variability, and trends in the Tonga region, Southwest Pacific, Weather and Climate Extremes, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2022.100483.

13. Deo, A., S.S. Chand, R.D. McIntosh et al., 2022. Severe tropical cyclones over southwest Pacific Islands: economic impacts and implications for disaster risk management. Climatic Change 172, 38. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-022-03391-2 

14. Biswas, S., S.S. Chand, A.J. Dowdy, W. Wright, C. Foale, X. Zhao, A. Deo, 2022: Statistical calibration of long-term reanalysis data for Australian fire weather conditions, Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-21-0034.1 

15. Yeasmin, A., S. Chand, C. Turville, N. Sultanova, 2021: Detection and verification of tropical cyclones and depressions over the South Pacific Ocean basin using ERA‐5 reanalysis dataset. International Journal of Climatology. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7131 

16. Deo, A., S.S. Chand, H. Ramsay. et al.,2021: Tropical cyclone contribution to extreme rainfall over southwest Pacific Island nations. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05680-5 

17. Bell, S.S., S.S. Chand, C. Turville, 2020: Projected changes in ENSO-driven regional tropical cyclone tracks. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05129-1

18. Bell, S.S., S.S. Chand, K. Tory, H. Ye, C. Turville, 2020: North Indian Ocean tropical cyclone activity in CMIP5 experiments: Future projections using a model‐independent detection and tracking scheme. International Journal of Climatology. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6594 

19. Bell, S.S., S.S. Chand, S. J. Camargo, K. J. Tory, C. Turville, 2019: Western Pacific tropical cyclone tracks in CMIP5 models: statistical assessment using model-independent detection and tracking scheme, Journal of Climate, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0785.1

20. Chand S. S. et al., 2019: Review of tropical cyclones in the Australian region: Climatology, variability, predictability, and trends, WIRES Climate Change. https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.602

21. Bell, S.S., S.S. Chand, K. J. Tory, C. Turville, and H. Ye, 2019: Eastern North Pacific tropical cyclone activity in historical and future CMIP5 experiments: assessment with a model-independent tracking scheme, Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s0038

22.  Ramsay, H.A., S.S. Chand, and S.J. Camargo, 2018: A Statistical Assessment of Southern Hemisphere Tropical Cyclone Tracks in Climate Models. Journal of Climate, 31, 10081–10104, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0377.1 

23.  Bell, S.S., S.S. Chand, K. J. Tory, A. J. Dowdy, C. Turville, and H. Ye, 2018: Projections of Southern Hemisphere tropical cyclone track density using CMIP5 models, Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4497-4

24. Bell, S. S., S. S. Chand, K. J. Tory, and C. Turville, 2018: Statistical assessment of the OWZ tropical cyclone tracking scheme in ERA-Interim, Journal of Climate, 37, 2217-2232.

25. Chand, S. S., L. E. Chambers, M. Waiwai, P. Malsale and E. Thompson, 2014: Indigenous Knowledge for Environmental Prediction in the Pacific Island Countries. Weather, Climate and Society, 6, 445-450.

26. Tory, K. J., S. S. Chand, J. L. McBride, R. Dare and H. Ye, 2013: Projected changes in late 21st century tropical cyclone frequency in 13 coupled climate models from the Coupled Climate Model Intercomparison Project. Journal of Climate, 26, 9946-9959.

27. Chand, S. S., K. J. Tory, J. L. McBride, M. C. Wheeler, R. Dare and K. J. E. Walsh, 2013: The different impact of positive-neutral and negative-neutral ENSO regimes on Australian tropical cyclones. Journal of Climate, 26, 8008-8016.

28. Chand, S. S., and K. J. E. Walsh, 2013: Tropical Cyclones in the Fiji Region: Impact of ENSO and Seasonal Prediction. Bulletin of Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society, 26, 87-90.

29. Tory, K. J., S. S. Chand, R. A. Dare, and J. L. McBride, 2013: The development and assessment of a model-, grid- and basin-independent tropical cyclone detection scheme. Journal of Climate, 26, 5493-5507.

30. Tory, K. J., S. S. Chand, R. A. Dare, and J. L. McBride, 2013: An Assessment of a model-, grid- and basin-independent tropical cyclone detection scheme in selected CMIP3 global climate models. Journal of Climate, 26, 5508-5522.

31. Chand, S. S, J. L. McBride, K. J. Tory, M. C. Wheeler and K. J. E. Walsh, 2013: Impact of different ENSO regimes on southwest Pacific tropical cyclones. Journal of Climate, 26, 600-608.

32.  Tory, K. J., R. A. Dare, N. E. Davidson, J. L. McBride and S. S. Chand, 2013: The importance of low-deformation vorticity in tropical cyclone formation. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 13, 2115-2132.

33. Chand, S. S., and K. J. E. Walsh, 2012: Modeling seasonal tropical cyclone activity in the Fiji region as a binary classification problem. Journal of Climate, 25, 5057-5071.

34. Chand, S. S., and K. J. E. Walsh, 2011: Influence of ENSO on tropical cyclone intensity in the Fiji region. Journal of Climate, 24, 4096-4108.

35.  Chand, S. S., and K. J. E. Walsh, 2011: Forecasting tropical cyclone formation in the Fiji region: A probit regression approach using the Bayesian fitting. Weather and Forecasting, 26, 150-165.

36. Chand, S. S., K. J. E. Walsh, and J. C. L. Chan, 2010: A Bayesian regression approach to seasonal prediction of tropical cyclones affecting the Fiji region. Journal of Climate, 23, 3425-3445. 

37. Chand, S. S., and K. J. E. Walsh, 2010: The influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation on tropical cyclone activity in the Fiji region. Journal of Climate, 23, 868-886.

38. Chand, S. S., and K. J. E. Walsh, 2009: Tropical cyclone activity in the Fiji region: Spatial patterns and relationship to large-scale circulation. Journal of Climate, 22, 3877-3893.

39. Chand, S., T. Aung, and S. Rao, 2007: The 1997-98 El Niño and 1999 La Niña evolution of geostrophic current around the Fiji Islands. South Pacific Journal of Natural Science, 26, 10-15.

40. Chand, S., T. Aung, and S. Rao, 2004. Physical Properties of Southern Fiji Waters. South Pacific Journal of Natural Science, 22, 57-61.

Refereed Book Chapters

1. Lin, I-I, S. J. Camargo, C. M. Patricola, J. Boucharel, S. Chand, P. Klotzbach, J. C. L. Chan, B. Wang, P. Chang, T. Li, and F-F Jin, 2020. ENSO and Tropical Cyclones. In El Nino Southern Oscillation in a Changing Climate (eds M. J. McPhaden, A. Santoso, W. Cai). American Geophysical Union., Chap. 17, pp. 377-408, doi: 10.1002/9781119548164.ch17.

2. Chand S. S., 2020: Climate Change Scenarios and Projections for the Pacific. In: Lalit Kumar (eds) Climate Change and Impacts in the Pacific, Springer Climate. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-32878-8_3

3. Chand S. S., A. Dowdy, S. Bell, K. Tory, 2020: A Review of South Pacific Tropical Cyclones: Impacts of Natural Climate Variability and Climate Change. In: Lalit Kumar (eds) Climate Change and Impacts in the Pacific, Springer Climate. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-32878-8_6

4. Chand S. S., 2018: Impact of Climate Variability and Change on Tropical Cyclones in the South Pacific. In: Dominick A. DellaSala, and Michael I. Goldstein (eds.) The Encyclopedia of the Anthropocene, vol. 2, p. 217-225. Oxford: Elsevier.

Other Research Publications

1. Irving, D., K. Hennessy, J. Katzfey, P. Kokic, D. Abbs, J. Brown, S. Chand, A. Lenton, A. S. Gupta, N. Summons and K. Tory, 2011: Climate Projection Methodology, in Climate Change in the Pacific: Scientific Assessment and New Research. Volume 1: Regional Overview, Australian Bureau of Meteorology and CSIRO, Chapter 4, 79-96, ISBN 978-1-921826-73-3.

2. Brown, J., R. Coleman, J. Katzfey, D. Irving, A. S. Gupta, D. Abbs, S. Perkins, C. Arthur, J. Brown, S. Chand, M. Chattopadhyay, J. Church, F. Delage, P. Durac, P. Kokic, J. McGregor, A. Moise, L. Muir, B. Murphy, K. Nguyen, S. Platten, S. Power, I. Smith, N. Summons, K. Tory, S. Wijffels and X. Zhang, 2011: Climate Model Reliability, in Climate Change in the Pacific: Scientific Assessment and New Research. Volume 1: Regional Overview, Australian Bureau of Meteorology and CSIRO, Chapter 5, 97-143, ISBN 978-1-921826-73-3.

3. Katzfey, J., P. Kokic, S. Perkins, D. Abbs, C. Arthur, S. Chand, M. Chattopadhyay, S. Crimp, D. Irving, J. McBride, J. McGregor, K. Nguyen, N. Summons, M. Thatcher, K. Tory, 2011: Climate Model Reliability, in Climate Change in the Pacific: Scientific Assessment and New Research. Volume 1: Regional Overview, Australian Bureau of Meteorology and CSIRO, Chapter 7, 181-212, ISBN 978-1-921826-73-3.