NCAA Tournament: Predicting the Bracket, Track Your Team

Updated June 2024

Each year, once all teams have published their schedules, I post weekly articles in my RPI and Bracketology for D1 Women’s Soccer Blogspace,  The initial articles provide a simulation of how teams will do over the course of the season, including conference tournaments, if the pre-season ratings I have assigned them are correct and if all game results are consistent with history-based likelihoods.  Once the season begins, at the beginning of each week my articles update the information by substituting actual game results for my pre-season simulated results.  As the weeks pass, the articles’ information will come closer and closer to what the actual end-of-season results will be.

Each week’s articles will show, among other things, teams’ projected RPI ranks and projected NCAA Tournament at large selections and seeds.  In addition, following the sixth week of the season, the articles will include information on which teams likely are assured of at large selections and seeds, which additional teams have the potential for at large selections and seeds, and which teams likely are out of the running for at large selections and seeds.

So, if you want to track your team and its NCAA Tournament prospects, about a week before the season begins start checking the Blogspace for its initial simulation results and its weekly updates.  I also announce each week’s publication on Twitter, with a link to the article, so if you want to follow me on Twitter you can: @CPThomas2611.  (I tweet only to provide links to articles or resources I have published related to NCAA D1 Women’s Soccer.)