Nielsen, D.M., Chegini, F., Maerz, J., Brune, S., Mathis, M., Dobrynin, M., Baehr, J., Brovkin, V., Ilyina, T. "Reduced Arctic Ocean CO2 uptake due to coastal permafrost erosion". Nature Climate Change, 2024, pdf
Lobeto, H., Semedo, A., Menendez, M., Lemos, G., Kumar, R., Akpinar, A., Dobrynin, M., Kamranzad, B. "On the assessment of the wave modeling uncertainty in wave climate projections". Environmental Research Letters, 18 (12), 2023, pdf
Lemos, G., Semedo, A., Kumar, R., Dobrynin, M., Akpinar, A., Kamranzad, B., Bidlot, J., & Lobeto, H. "Performance evaluation of a global CMIP6 single forcing, multi-wave model ensemble of wave climate simulations". Ocean Modelling, 184, 102237. 2023, pdf
Zarifsanayei, A. R., Antolınez, J. A., Cartwright, N., Etemad-Shahidi, A., Strauss, D., Lemos, G., Semedo, A., Kumar, R., Dobrynin, M., & Akpinar, A. "Uncertainties in wave-driven long- shore sediment transport projections presented by a dynamic CMIP6-based ensemble". Frontiers in Marine Science. https://doi.org/DOI:10.3389/fmars.2023.1188136, 2023, pdf
Dobrynin, M., Düsterhus, A., Fröhlich, K., Athanasiadis, P., Ruggieri, P., Müller, W. A., and Baehr, J. "Hidden potential in predicting wintertime temperature anomalies in the Northern Hemisphere". Geophysical Research Letters, 49(20):e2021GL095063. e2021GL095063 2021GL095063, 2022, pdf
Nielsen, D. M., Pieper, P., Barkhordarian, A., Overduin, P., Ilyina, T., Brovkin, V., Baehr, J., and Dobrynin, M. "Increase in Arctic coastal erosion and its sensitivity to warming in the twenty-first century". Nature Climate Change, 12, 263–270, doi.org/10.1038/s41558-022-01281-0, 2022, pdf
Carvalho-Oliveira, J., Borchert, L. F., Duchez, A., Dobrynin, M., and Baehr, J. "Subtle influence of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) on seasonal sea surface temperature (SST) hindcast skill in the North Atlantic". Weather and Climate Dynamics, 2(3):739– 757, 2021
Polkova, I., Afargan-Gerstman, H., Domeisen, D. I., King, M. P., Ruggieri, P., Athanasiadis, P., Dobrynin, M., Aarnes, Ø., Kretschmer, M., and Baehr, J. "Predictors and prediction skill for marine cold air outbreaks over the Barents Sea". Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, doi.org/10.1002/qj.4038, 2021
Fröhlich, K., Dobrynin, M., Isensee, K., Gessner, C., Paxian, A., Pohlmann, H., Haak, H., Brune, S., Früh, B., and Baehr, J. "The German Climate Forecast System: GCFS". Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 13, e2020MS002101. doi.org/10.1029/2020MS002101, 2021, pdf
T. Ilyina, Li, H., Spring, A., Müller, W. A., Bopp, L., Chikamoto, M. O., Danabasoglu, G., Dobrynin, M. et al. "Predictable variations of the carbon sinks and atmospheric CO2 growth in a multi‐model framework". Geophysical Research Letters, 47, e2020GL090695, doi.org/10.1029/2020GL090695, 2020, pdf
C. Dalelane, M. Dobrynin, and K. Fröhlich, “Seasonal forecasts of winter temperature improved by higher-order modes of mean sea level pressure variability in the North Atlantic sector,” Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 47, e2020GL088717, 2020, pdf
Stockdale, TN, Kim, Y‐H, Anstey, JA, et al. "Prediction of the quasi‐biennial oscillation with a multi‐model ensemble of QBO‐resolving models". Q J R Meteorol Soc. 2020; 1– 22. doi.org/10.1002/qj.3919
D. M. Nielsen, M. Dobrynin, J. Baehr, S. Razumov, and M. Grigoriev, “Coastal erosion variability at the southern Laptev sea linked to winter sea ice and the Arctic oscillation,” Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 10.1029/2019GL086876, 2020, pdf
Lemos, G., Semedo, A., Dobrynin, M., Menendez, M., and Miranda, P. M. "Bias-corrected cmip5-derived single-forcing future wind-wave climate projections toward the end of the twenty-first century". Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology 59, 9, 2020, 1393–1414.
G. Lemos, M. Menendez, A. Semedo, P. Camus, M. Hemer, M. Dobrynin, and P. M. Miranda, “On the need of bias correction methods for wave climate projections,” Global and Planetary Change, p. 103109, 2020.
J. Morim, M. Hemer, X. L. Wang, N. Cartwright, C. Trenham, A. Semedo, I. Young, L. Bricheno, P. Camus, M. Casas-Prat, L. Erikson, L. Mentaschi, N. Mori, T. Shimura, B. Timmermans, O. Aarnes, Ø. Breivik, A. Behrens, M. Dobrynin, et al., “Robustness and uncertainties in global multivariate wind-wave climate projections,” Nature Climate Change, vol. 9, no. 9, pp. 711–718, 2019.
M. Dobrynin, T. Kleine, A. Düsterhus, and J. Baehr, “Skilful Seasonal Prediction of Ocean Surface Waves in the Atlantic Ocean,” Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 46, no. 3, pp. 1731–1739, 2019, pdf
J. E. Stopa, A. Semedo, J. Staneva, M. Dobrynin, A. Behrens, and G. Lemos, “A sampling technique to compare climate simulations with sparse satellite observations: Performance evaluation of a CMIP5 EC- Earth forced dynamical wave climate ensemble with altimeter observations,” Ocean Modelling, vol. 134, pp. 18–29, 2019.
N. Maher, S. Milinski, L. Suarez-Gutierrez, M. Botzet, M. Dobrynin, L. Kornblueh, J. Kröger, Y. Takano, R. Ghosh, C. Hedemann, C. Li, H. Li, E. Manzini, D. Notz, D. Putrasahan, L. Boysen, M. Claussen, T. Ilyina, D. Olonscheck, T. Raddatz, B. Stevens, and J. Marotzke, “The Max Planck Institute Grand Ensemble: Enabling the Exploration of Climate System Variability,” Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, vol. 11, no. 7, pp. 2050–2069, 2019.
N.-C. Neddermann, W. A. Müller, M. Dobrynin, A. Düsterhus, and J. Baehr, “Seasonal predictability of European summer climate re-assessed,” Climate Dynamics, vol. 53, no. 5, pp. 3039–3056, 2019.
J. Morim, C. Trenham, M. Hemer, X. Wang, N. Mori, T. Shimura, B. Timmermans, L. Mentaschi, M. Casas-Prat, A. Semedo, M. Dobrynin, et al., “COWCLIP2.0 ocean wave climate and extremes statistics from CMIP5- driven wave models,” Australian Ocean Data Network, 2019.
G. Lemos, A. Semedo, M. Dobrynin, A. Behrens, J. Staneva, J.-R. Bidlot, and P. M. Miranda, “Mid-twenty-first century global wave climate projections: Results from a dynamic CMIP5 based ensemble,” Global and Planetary Change, vol. 172, pp. 69–87, 2018.
A. Semedo, M. Dobrynin, G. Lemos, A. Behrens, J. Staneva, H. De Vries, A. Sterl, J.-R. Bidlot, P. Miranda, and J. Murawski, “CMIP5-derived single- forcing, single-model, and single-scenario wind-wave climate ensemble: configuration and performance evaluation,” Journal of Marine Science and Engineering, vol. 6, no. 3, p. 90, 2018.
F. Bunzel, W. A. Müller, M. Dobrynin, K. Fröhlich, S. Hagemann, H. Pohlmann, T. Stacke, and J. Baehr, “Improved Seasonal Prediction of European Summer Temperatures With New Five-Layer Soil-Hydrology Scheme,” Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 45, no. 1, pp. 346–353, 2018.
M. Dobrynin, D. I. Domeisen, W. A. Müller, L. Bell, S. Brune, F. Bunzel, A. Düsterhus, K. Fröhlich, H. Pohlmann, and J. Baehr, “Improved teleconnection-based dynamical seasonal predictions of boreal winter,” Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 45, 2, 2018, pdf
N. Butchart, J. Anstey, K. Hamilton, S. Osprey, C. McLandress, A. Bushell, Y. Kawatani, Y.-H. Kim, F. Lott, J. Scinocca, T. Stockdale, M. Andrews, O. Bellprat, P. Braesicke, C. Cagnazzo, C.-C. Chen, H.-Y. Chun, M. Dobrynin, et al., “Overview of experiment design and comparison of models participating in phase 1 of the SPARC Quasi-Biennial Oscillation initiative (QBOi),” Geoscientific Model Development, vol. 11, no. 3, 2018.
L. Kaleschke, X. Tian-Kunze, N. Maaß, A. Beitsch, A. Wernecke, M. Miernecki, G. Müller, B. H. Fock, A. M. Gierisch, K. H. Schlünzen, T. Pohlmann, M. Dobrynin, et al., “SMOS sea ice product: Operational application and validation in the Barents Sea marginal ice zone,” Remote Sensing of Environment, vol. 180, pp. 264–273, 2016.
M. Dobrynin and T. Pohlmann, “Anomalous Hydrographic Conditions in the Western Barents Sea observed in March 2014,” Continental Shelf Research, vol. 111, pp. 69–82, 2015, pdf
M. Dobrynin, J. Murawski, J. Baehr, and T. Ilyina, “Detection and attribution of climate change signal in ocean wind waves,” Journal of Climate, vol. 28, no. 4, pp. 1578–1591, 2015, pdf
M. Dobrynin, B. H. Fock, A. M. Gierisch, T. Pohlmann, L. Kaleschke, H. Schlünzen, et al., “Prediction of Arctic Sea Ice for Ship Routing: Forecast Experiment and Ship Cruise,” in OTC Arctic Technology Conference, 23-25 March, Copenhagen, Denmark, Offshore Technology Conference, 2015.
M. Dobrynin, J. Murawski, and S. Yang, “Evolution of the global wind wave climate in CMIP5 experiments,” Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 39, 2012, pdf
W. Fu, J. She, and M. Dobrynin, “A 20-year reanalysis experiment in the Baltic Sea using three-dimensional variational (3DVAR) method,” Ocean Science, vol. 8, pp. 827–844, Sep 2012.
A. Belski, A. Babanin, S. Zieger, M. Dobrynin, and A. Pleskachevsky, “Investigation and modelling of the suspended particulate matter in port Phillip bay,” International Offshore and Polar Engineering Conference (ISOPE), p. 6, 2012.
A. Pleskachevsky, M. Dobrynin, A. V. Babanin, H. Günther, and E. Stanev, “Turbulent mixing due to surface waves indicated by remote sensing of suspended particulate matter and its implementation into coupled modeling of waves, turbulence and circulation,” Journal of Physical Oceanography, vol. 41, pp. 708–724, 2011.
M. Dobrynin, G. Gayer, A. Pleskachevsky, and H. Gu ̈nther, “Effect of waves and currents on the dynamics and seasonal variations of suspended particulate matter in the North Sea,” Journal of Marine System, vol. 82, pp. 1–20, 2010.
M. Dobrynin, Investigating the Dynamics of Suspended Particulate Matter in the North Sea Using a Hydrodynamic Transport Model and Satellite Data Assimilation. PhD Thesis (110 pp) URL https://ediss.sub.uni- hamburg.de/volltexte/2009/4331/, Hamburg, Germany: University of Hamburg, 2009.
E. Stanev, M. Dobrynin, A. L. Pleskachevsky, and S. Grayek, “Bed shear stress in the southern North Sea as an important driver for suspended sediment dynamics,” Ocean Dynamics, vol. 59, pp. 183–194, 2009.
M. Dobrynin and H. Günther, “Assimilation of satellite data in a suspended particulate matter transport model,” in 2008 IEEE/OES US/EU-Baltic International Symposium, (Tallinn, Estonia), pp. 1–4, 2008.