Dr. Mikhail Dobrynin

Research scientist at the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), Hamburg, Germany

Lecturer in Physical Oceanography at the HafenCity Universität (NCU), Hamburg, Germany

Visiting Scholar, Institute of Oceanography, Universität Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany

E-mail: mikhail.dobrynin(at)dwd.de

Web: http://www.dwd.de

Google Scholar, ORCID

Research Statement

My research interests are mainly in the area of ocean surface waves and their relation to Earth system dynamics. I work on the development and implementation of coupled modelling systems for understanding of coupled atmosphere-wave-ocean interaction, it's variability and predictability on the weather to climate time scales.

My main working topics are:

Development of new coupled atmosphere-wave model in the framework of ICON-based numerical weather prediction operational model at DWD
Understanding the impacts of waves on Earth's climate in the framework of the ICON-based Earth System Model
Seamless prediction of ocean surface waves.
Ocean waves climate projections in CMIP5 and CMIP6
Employing large ensemble approaches for:
- understanding of climate variability of ocean surface waves
- understanding of variability, predictability and impacts of the NAO on wintertime climate in the Northern Hemisphere

Selected research highlights

Reduced Arctic Ocean CO2 uptake due to coastal permafrost erosion

Nature Climate Change. Nielsen, D.M., Chegini, F., Maerz, J. et al. incl. Dobrynin M., 2024. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-024-02074-3

Increase in Arctic coastal erosion and its sensitivity to warming in the twenty-first century

Nature Climate Change. 12, 263–270, Nielsen D.M. et al. incl. Dobrynin M., 2022. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-022-01281-0

Coastal Erosion Variability at the Southern Laptev Sea Linked to Winter Sea Ice and the Arctic Oscillation

Geophysical Research Letters, 47, e2019GL08687 , Nielsen D.M. et al. incl. Dobrynin M., 2020. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL086876

Skilful seasonal prediction of ocean surface waves in the Atlantic Ocean

Geophysical Research Letters, 46, 1731– 1739, Dobrynin M. et al. 2019

https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL081334

Robustness and uncertainties in global multivariate wind-wave climate projections

Nature Climate Change, 9, 711–718, Morin et al. incl. Dobrynin M., 2019.

https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-019-0542-5

The Max Planck Institute Grand Ensemble: Enabling the exploration of climate system variability.

Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 11, 2050– 2069, Maher N. et al. incl. Dobrynin M., 2019.

https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001639

Improved teleconnection‐based dynamical seasonal predictions of boreal winter.

Geophysical Research Letters, 45, 3605– 3614, Dobrynin M. et al. 2018

https://doi.org/10.1002/2018GL077209

Full list of puplications