Working papers:
The Changing Nature of International Trade and its Implications for Development (Joint with Penny Goldberg), September 2025, forthcoming in the Handbook of Development Economics.
Trade Partners’ Responses to US Tariffs (joint with Lorenzo Rotunno), July 2025. Coverage: Bloomberg, July 21 2025. Revise and Resubmit, IMF Economic Review
Nowcasting Global Trade from Space (joint with Serkan Arslanalp, Seung Mo Choi, Parisa Kamali, Robin Koepke, Matthew McKetty, Mario Saraiva, Alessandra Sozzi, Jasper Verschuur), May 2025. Coverage: Financial Times, May 25 2025.
Shifting Advantages: Are Subsidies Shaping Cross-Border Investment? (joint with Monika Sztajerowska), April 2025
Geopolitics and the World Trading System (joint with Bob Staiger and Aaditya Mattoo). Coverage: Financial Times, December 30 2024; and Financial Times, May 9 2025
Trade Spillovers of Domestic Subsidies (joint with Lorenzo Rotunno), March 2024. Coverage: NY Times, April 17 2024
Child Labor Standards in Regional Trade Agreements: Theory and Evidence (joint with Rayan Abman, Clark Lundberg, John McLaren), February 2023. Coverage: Forbes, November 14 2023. Revise and Resubmit, Review of Economics and Statistics
Deep Trade Agreements and Heterogeneous Firms Exports (joint with Gianluca Orefice and Matteo Neri-Laine), January 2023, Revise and Resubmit, European Economic Review
Machine Learning in International Trade Research – Evaluating the Impact of Trade Agreements (joint with Holger Breinlich, Nadia Rocha, Joao Santos Silva, Tom Zylkin), May 2021 (updated, May 2022)
Work in progress:
Trade effects of subsidies: A quantitative model (joint with Lorenzo Rotunno)
Trade Policy Barometer (joint with Samuele Centorrino, Antonia Diakantoni, Alexander Keck, Monika Sztajerowska)
Industrial Policy Since the Great Financial Crisis (joint with Simon Evenett, Adam Jakubik, Jaden Kim, Fernando Martín, Samuel Pienknagura)
China + 1 (joint with Caroline Freund, Aaditya Mattoo, Alen Mulabdic)