Articles and book chapters

Articles (refereed):

• The Effectiveness of Environmental Provisions in Regional Trade Agreements (joint with Ryan Abman, Clark Lundberg). forthcoming, Journal of the European Economic Association. Coverage: The Economist, October 6, 2021. Watch presentation here (starting at min 23)

• Scarcity Nationalism during COVID-19: Identifying the Impact on Trade Costs (joint with Peter Egger, Gerard Masllorens, Nadia Rocha), Volume 223(C), Economics Letters

• Third-Country Effects of Regional Trade Agreements: A Firm Level Analysis (joint with Woori Lee and Alen Mulabdic), January 2023, Volume 140, Journal of International Economics

• The Economic Impact of Deepening Trade Agreements (joint with Lionel Fontagne, Nadia Rocha, Gianluca Santoni), Volume 37, Issue 3, Pages 366–388, August 2023, World Bank Economic Review. Older version available as WB working paper

• Containing Chinese State Owned Enterprises? The Impact of Deep Trade Agreements on Firms’ Exports (joint with Kevin Lefebvre and Nadia Rocha), forthcoming, Review of World Economics

• Is 3D Printing a Threat to Global Trade? The Trade Effects You Didn't Hear About (joint with Caroline Freund and Alen Mulabdic), September 2022, Volume 138, Journal of International Economics. Coverage: Trade Talks, The Economist, December 16, 2020

• Natural Disasters and the Reshaping of Global Value Chains (joint with Caroline Freund, Aaditya Mattoo, Alen Mulabdic), Volume 70 (3), September 2022, IMF Economic Review. Coverage: The Economist, June 16, 2022

• Trade Creation and Trade Diversion in Deep Agreements (joint with Aaditya Mattoo and Alen Mulabdic), Volume 55 (3), August 2022, Canadian Journal of Economics. Coverage: The Economist, January 3, 2019

• Pandemic Trade: Covid-19, Remote Work and Global Value Chains (joint with Alvaro Espitia, Aaditya Mattoo, Nadia Rocha, Deborah Winkler), 2022, Volume 45: 561-589, World Economy

• Trade Policy Responses to the COVID-19 Pandemic Crisis: Evidence from a New Dataset (joint with Simon Evenett, Matteo Fiorini, Johannes Fritz, Bernard Hoekman, Piotr Lukaszuk, Nadia Rocha, Filippo Santi, Anirudh Shingal), 2022, 45: 342– 364, World Economy

• Financial Structures, Banking Regulations, and Export Dynamics (joint with Raoul Minetti, Alen Mulabdic, Susan Chun Zhu), 2021, Volume 124(C), Journal of Banking and Finance. Older working paper here.

• The Trade Effects of the New Silk Road (joint with Suprabha Baniya and Nadia Rocha), September 2020, Volume 146, Journal of Development Economics  

• Common Transport Infrastructure: A Quantitative Model and Estimates from the Belt and Road Initiative (joint with Francois de Soyres and Alen Mulabdic), March 2020, Volume 143, Journal of Development Economics. Coverage: China Daily, 27 April 2019; The Economist, 25 April 2019; China Global Television Network, 16 April 2019

• Policy Uncertainty, Trade, and Global Value Chains: Some Facts, Many Questions (joint with Cristina Constantinescu, Aaditya Mattoo), September 2020, Volume 57:2, 285-308, Review of Industrial Organization 

• Deep Trade Agreements and Global Value Chains, (joint with Edith Laget, Alberto Osnago and Nadia Rocha), September 2020, Volume 57:2, 379-410, Review of Industrial Organization 

• How Much Will the Belt and Road Initiative Reduce Trade Costs? (joint with Francois de Soyres, Siobhan Murray, Alen Mulabdic, and Nadia Rocha), Volume 159, October 2019, 151-164, International Economics

• Does Vertical Specialization Increase Productivity?, (joint with Aaditya Mattoo and Cristina Constantinescu), Volume 42:8, 2385-2402, August 2019, World Economy 

• Horizontal Depth: A New Database on the Content of Preferential Trade Agreements (joint with Claudia Hofmann and Alberto Osnago), Volume 18:3, 365-398, July 2019, World Trade Review, February 2017

• Deep Agreements and Vertical FDI: The Devil is in the Details (joint with Alberto Osnago and Nadia Rocha), October 2015, Volume 52:4, November 2019, Canadian Journal of Economics 

• The Global Trade Slowdown: Cyclical or Structural? (joint with Cristina Constantinescu and Aaditya Mattoo), Volume 34:1, February 2020, 121–142, World Bank Economic Review. Financial Times Beyondbrics blog and printed edition, 19 November 2014, The Economist, 13 December 2014.

• Capital Flow Deflection (joint with Paolo Giordani, Ling Zhu and Hans Weisfeld), Journal of International Economics, Volume 105, 102–118, March 2017

• Global Value Chains and the Exchange Rate Elasticity of Exports (joint with Swarnali Ahmed and Max Appendino), B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics [Advances], Volume 17:1, 1-24, January 2017. Discussed on Financial Times, 19 August 2015, 31 August 2015 (printed and online), Free Lunch, Wall Street Journal, The Economist.

• Food Prices and the Multiplier Effect of Trade Policy (joint with Paolo Giordani and Nadia Rocha), Journal of International Economics, Volume 101, 102-122, July 2016. Discussed on the Financial Times Alphaville blog, 9 May 2012.

• Do Deep Trade Agreements Boost Vertical FDI? (joint with Alberto Osnago and Nadia Rocha), World Bank Economic Review, Volume 30-1, 119-125, March 2017.

• Self-confirming immigration policy (joint with Paolo Giordani), Oxford Economic Papers, 68(2), 361-378, April 2016. Selected by The Weekly papers of The Economist 

• A commitment theory of subsidy agreements (joint with Daniel Brou), B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy [Contributions], 14:1, 239-270, July 2013

• The relationship between exchange rates and trade: A review of the literature (joint with Marc Auboin), World Trade Review, 12:3, 577-605, July 2013

• Coordination Failures in Immigration Policy (joint with Paolo Giordani), Journal of International Economics 89:1, 55–67, January 2013

• International Trade in Natural Resources: Practice and Policy (joint with Tony Venables), Annual Review of Resource Economics, 4: 331-352, August 2012

• Rent Seeking, Market Structure and Growth (joint with Daniel Brou), Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 115:3, 878-901, April 2013

• A Political Economy Model of Merger Policy in International Markets (joint with Massimo Motta), Economica, 79:313, January 2012

• Economic Integration, Political Integration, or Both? (joint with Daniel Brou), Journal of the European Economic Association, 9:6, December 2011

• The Immigration Policy Puzzle (joint with Paolo Giordani), Review of International Economics, 19:5, November 2011

• Lobbying and (De)Centralization, Public Choice, 144:1, May 2010

• Political Constraints to Growth in an Economic Union, Journal of Public Economics, 93:7-8, July 2009

• Monetary Politics in a Monetary Union: A Note on Common Agency with Rational Expectations, Economics Letters, 101:3, December 2008

• Political Pressures and Exchange Rate Stability in Emerging Market Economies (joint with Ester Faia and Massimo Giuliodori), Journal of Applied Economics, 11:1, May 2008 (leading article)

• Special Interests and the Gains from Political Integration (joint with Daniel Brou), Economics and Politics, 18:2, July 2006

• Economic Theories of Political (Dis)Integration, Journal of Economic Surveys, 19:1, February 2005

• Lobbying, Bargaining and EU Enlargement (joint with Daniel Brou), Rivista di Politica Economica, January 2003

• Inflation Targeting versus Monetary Targeting in a Unionized Economy, Rivista di Politica Economica, December 1999

Contributions to edited volumes and other invited articles:

• • Trading with Friends in Uncertain Times (joint with Adam Jakubik), Journal of Policy Modeling, Volume 45, Issue 4, Pages 768-780, July–August 2023

  • The Evolution of Deep Trade Agreements (joint with Aaditya Mattoo, Nadia Rocha), Perspectivas: Journal of Political Science, Vol. 27: Special Issue on New Globalization Challenges and EU Trade Policy, A Bongardt, F Torres (eds.), December 2022

  • A Pandemic Trade Deal: Trade and policy cooperation on medical goods (joint with Alvaro Espitia, Nadia Rocha), in Revitalizing Multilateralism: Programmatic Ideas for the New WTO Director General edited by Richard Baldwin and Simon Evenett, VoxEU, October 2020

  • The Supply Chain Shock from Covid-19:  Risks and Opportunities (joint with Caroline Freund, Aaditya Mattoo, Alen Mulabdic), in Covid in Developing Economies edited by Simeon Djankov and Ugo Panizza, VoxEU, June 2020

  • Trade in Developing East Asia: How it has Changed and Why it Matters, (joint with Cristina Constantinescu, Aaditya Mattoo), background paper for East Asia Chief Economist, April 2018. Published in East Asian Economic Review Vol. 22, No. 4, December 2018. 

  • Preferential Trade Agreements and Global Value Chains: Theory, Evidence and Open Questions, in Global Value Chain Development Report edited by David Dollar and Zhi Wang, July 2017

  • Deep Integration and UK-EU Trade Relations (joint with Alen Mulabdic and Alberto Osnago), in The Economics of UK-EU Relationship: From the Treaty of Rome to the Vote for Brexit, edited by N. Campos and F. Coricelli. Coverage: The Guardian, 3 June 2017; Financial Times, 1 June 2017;

  • Does the Global Trade Slowdown Matter? (joint with Cristina Constantinescu and Aaditya Mattoo), Journal of Policy Modeling, 38:4, July–August 2016, 711–722

  • Non-Tariff Measures and the World Trading System (joint with Josh Ederington), in the Handbook of Commercial Policy, edited by K. Bagwell and R. Staiger.

  • The Global Trade Slowdown (joint with Cristina Constantinescu and Aaditya Mattoo), in Bernard Hoekman (ed.) The Global Trade Slowdown: A New Normal?, Voxeu e-book, June 2015

  • Trade Imbalances and Multilateral Trade Cooperation (joint with Juan Marchetti and Robert Teh) in The Rule of Law in Monetary Affairs, Cambridge University Press, October 2014. 

  • The Role of Economic Theory in WTO Arbitrations, RSCAS Policy Paper, 2013:2, European University Institute, Global Governance Program, February 2013

  • Trade policy fornatural resources: What are the issues? (joint with Tony Venables), Integration & Trade Journal, vol 16:35, July-December 2012, Inter-American Development Bank.

  • The WTO, Subsidies and Countervailing Measures: An Introduction (joint with Marc Bacchetta), in Marc Bacchetta and Michele Ruta (eds.), The WTO, Subsidies and Countervailing Measures, April 2011, Edward Elgar, Cheltenham, UK, 2011

  • Natural Resources and Non-Cooperative Trade Policy (joint with Joelle Latina and Roberta Piermartini), International Economics and Economic Policy, 8:2, June 2011

  • The Value of Domestic Subsidy Rules in Trade Agreements (joint with Edoardo Campanella and Daniel Brou), in Simon Evenett and Bernard Hoekman (eds.), Valuing International Trade Rules,  forthcoming

  • Mergers and National Champions, (joint with Massimo Motta), in Oliver Falck, Christian Gollier and Ludger Woessmann (eds.), Industrial Policy for National Champions, MIT Press, 2011

  • The Economics of Permissible WTO Retaliation (joint with Chad Bown), in Chad P. Bown and Joost Pauwelyn (eds.), The Law, Economics and Politics of Retaliation in WTO Dispute Settlement, Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 2010

  • On the Political Substitutability between Tariffs and Subsidies (joint with Daniel Brou), Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, 145:4, December 2009

  • Why Lisbon Fails, CESifo Economic Studies, 55:1, March 2009

  • Perche' Fallisce la Strategia di Lisbona, Il Politico, 3/2008

  • Fusioni e Campioni Nazionali (joint with Massimo Motta), L’Industria, 2/2008

  • Integrazione Europea e Gruppi d’Interesse, in Legittimare l’Europa, Barca L. and M. Franzini (eds.), il Mulino, 2005

  • The Allocation of Competencies in an International Union: a Positive Analysis, European Central Bank Working Paper Series, No. 220, April 2003

  • Unione Monetaria e Contrattazione Salariale, in Rapporto sulle Retribuzioni e il Costo del Lavoro, Documenti CNEL, 30, 2000