A comparison of several years data, to test the relationship between Alford and Haughton has been used to generate a basic forecast for Haughton. The graph above will provide a 5 hr forecast from the latest SEPA data recorded for Alford.
There is roughly a 5 hour period from the river level at Alford to reach Haughton and this has been incorporated into the prediction graph above.
This graphic is for information only and should not be used for decision making with regards to river levels
The above graphic shows the current set of data used to drive the relationship model. Each occasion of a peak of river levels is plotted against the relevant heights at Alford and Haughton. The resulting scatter graph above shows the relationship between the two sites. The dots represent individual occasions of matched river levels. The trend line overlaid is based on the blue dots which are averaged heights at Haughton.
The relationship for Haughton is a 'Straight Line', meaning the river level at Haughton responds at exactly the same rate as Bridge of Alford and is confidently predictable using data from Alford.
The data and prediction model was last updated on 10/10/2020 following the high river levels on 4/5th October 2020.