Research Interests
Big Data, Machine Learning, Climate Change, Economic Diversification, Inequality, and the Chinese Economy
Publications
"Nonparametric Factor Analysis and Beyond" with Yujia Zheng, Yang Liu, Yingyao Hu, and Kun Zhang, Proceedings of the 28th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics (AISTATS) 2025, PMLR: Volume 258.
"Illuminating Economic Growth" with Yingyao Hu, Journal of Econometrics, 2022.
Denis J. Aigner Award for best empirical paper published in the Journal of Econometrics in 2022-2023.
IMF Working Paper Version (2019). In the news (IMF blog, IMF F&D magazine, Le Monde, The Economist, Financial Times, Bloomberg News, WSJ, BBC.).
Working Papers
"Europe's Shift to EVs Amid Intensifying Global Competition," with Philippe Wingender, Robert Zymek, Benjamin Carton, Diego A. Cerdeiro, and Anke Weber, IMF working paper, 2024.
"Migration into the EU: Stocktaking of Recent Developments and Macroeconomic Implications," with Francesca Caselli, Huidan Lin, and Frederik Toscani, IMF working paper, 2024.
"A Conceptual Policy Framework for Leveraging Digitalization to Support Diversification in Sub-Saharan Africa," with Astou Diouf, Leonardo Perez, Felix Simione, and Arina Viseth, IMF working paper, 2024.
"Unveiling the Informal Economy: An Augmented Factor Model Approach," IMF working paper, 2024.
"Fiscal Impacts of Climate Disasters in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies." with Habtamu Fuje, Seung Mo Choi, and Hamza Mighri, IMF working paper, 2023.
"Geoeconomic Fragmentation: What’s at Stake for the EU.", with C. Baba and others, IMF working paper, 2023.
"Panel Nowcasting for Countries Whose Quarterly GDPs are Unavailable.", with Omer Faruk Akbal, Seung Mo Choi, and Futoshi Narita, IMF working paper, 2023.
"Equitable Access to Vaccines: Myth or Reality?", with Shushanik Hakobyan and Henry Rawlings, IMF working paper, 2022.
"How Persistent are Climate-Related Price Shocks? Implications for Monetary Policy", with Alain Kabundi and Montfort Mlachila, IMF working paper, 2022.
"Measuring Quarterly GDP Growth from Outer Space", with Robert Beyer and Yingyao Hu, IMF working paper, 2022. (Under Review)
"Optimal Linear Rank Indexes for Latent Variables", with Yingyao Hu, Ji-Liang Shiu, and Yi Xin, 2022 (Under Review)
"Revealing Unobservables by Deep Learning: Generative Element Extraction Networks (GEEN)", with Yingyao Hu and Yang Liu, 2022.
"Overcoming Data Sparsity: A Machine Learning Approach to Track the Real-Time Impact of COVID-19 in Sub-Saharan Africa", with Karim Barhoumi and others, IMF working paper, 2022
"Structural Breaks in Carbon Emissions: A Machine Learning Analysis", with Yunhui Zhao, IMF working paper, 2022
"Electricity Consumption and Temperature: Evidence from Satellite Data", IMF working paper, 2021 (in IMF blog)
"Estimates of Potential Output and the Neutral Rate for the U.S. Economy", with Ali Alichi and others, IMF working paper, 2018
"A New Strategy for Korea’s Fiscal Policy in a Low Growth Environment", with Edda Zoli and others, IMF working paper, 2018
"Multivariate Filter Estimation of Potential Output for the United States", with Ali Alichi and others, IMF working paper, 2017
"Oil Prices and the Global Economy", with Rabah Arezki and others, IMF working paper, 2017