Keywords:
environmental security, water, freshwater, river treaties, climate change, demographic pressure, population growth, drought, scarcity
Major Grants:
“IBSS: Analyses of Relationships Between Changing Environmental Conditions and Societal Conflict” (former title: “The Political Outcomes of Climate and Ecological Change in Kenya”). Funded by the National Science Foundation’s Interdisciplinary Social Science Behavioral (IBSS) program. Co-Principal Investigator (PI: John O’Loughlin, co-PI: Terry McCabe). 2013-2018. $1 million.
“NSCC/SA:Avoiding Water Wars: Environmental Security Through River Treaty Institutionalization,” funded by the National Science Foundation and US Department of Defense/Department of the Army/Army Research Office’s Minerva program. Principal Investigator (co-PI: Douglas Stinnett). 2009-2013. $236,000. Read the related media articles: article 1 (pp. 6-10), article 2 (pp. 30-33).
Related Publications:
Linke, Andrew, Frank DW Witmer, John O'Loughlin, J. Terrence McCabe, and Jaroslav Tir. 2018. "Relocating in Response to Drought: Human Mobility and Conflict in Contemporary Kenya." Environmental Research Letters 13(9): 094014.
Karreth, Johannes and Jaroslav Tir. 2018. "International Agreement Design and the Moderating Role of Domestic Bureaucratic Quality: The Case of Freshwater Cooperation." Journal of Peace Research 55(4): 460–475.
Linke, Andrew M., Frank Witmer, John O’Loughlin, J. Terrence McCabe, and Jaroslav Tir. 2018. “Drought, Local Institutional Context, and Support for Violence in Kenya.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 62(7): 1544-1578.
Linke, Andrew M., J. Terrence McCabe, John O’Loughlin, Jaroslav Tir, and Frank Witmer. 2015. “Rainfall Variability and Violence in Rural Kenya: Investigating the Effects of Drought and the Role of Local Institutions with Survey Data.” Global Environmental Change 34: 35-47.
Tir, Jaroslav and Douglas M. Stinnett. 2012. “Weathering Climate Change: Can Institutions Mitigate International Water Conflict?” Journal of Peace Research 49(1): 211-225. Replication dataset.
The above article was cited in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) “Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability” report on human security.
Tir, Jaroslav and Douglas M. Stinnett. 2011. “The Institutional Design Of Riparian Treaties: The Role Of River Issues.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 55(4): 606-631. Replication dataset.
Tir, Jaroslav. 2010. “World at the Water’s Edge.” The Citizen 4(1): 6-7.
Tir, Jaroslav and John T. Ackerman. 2009. “Politics of Formalized River Cooperation.” Journal of Peace Research 46(5): 623-640. Replication dataset.
Stinnett, Douglas M. and Jaroslav Tir. 2009. “The Institutionalization of River Treaties.” International Negotiation 14(2): 229-251.
Tir, Jaroslav and Paul F. Diehl. 1998. “Demographic Pressure and Interstate Conflict: Linking Population Growth and Density to Militarized Disputes and Wars.” Journal of Peace Research 35(3): 319-39.
Reprinted as: Tir, Jaroslav and Paul F. Diehl. 2001. “Demographic Pressure and Interstate Conflict: Linking Population Growth and Density to Militarized Disputes and Wars.” In Environmental Conflict, N.P. Gleditsch and P.F. Diehl, eds. New York: Westview Press, pp. 58-83.
Territorial Conflict | Civil War and Ethnic Conflict | Environmental Security and Conflict | Diversionary Theory of War | Gender and Conflict