CV + Publications

Publications: Books

• Tir, Jaroslav and Johannes Karreth. 2018.  Incentivizing Peace: How International Organizations Can Help Prevent Civil Wars in Member Countries. Oxford University Press. 

  • • • See the related Political Violence @ a Glance and OUPblog posts. 

• Tir, Jaroslav. 2006. Redrawing the Map to Promote Peace: Territorial Dispute Management via Territorial Changes. Innovations in the Study of World Politics Series. Lanham, MD: Lexington Books.

Publications: Articles in Peer-Reviewed Scholarly Journals

• Tir, Jaroslav, Shane P. Singh, and Xiaojun Li. 2025. "Support for the Use of Military Force to Prevent Secession: The Case of Scottish Independence." Forthcoming in the Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties.

• Karreth, Johannes, Jaroslav Tir,  Jason Quinn, and Madhav Joshi. 2025. "Civil War Mediation in the Shadow of IGOs: The Path to Comprehensive Peace Agreements." Journal of Peace Research 62(2): 433-447.

• Singh, Shane P. and Jaroslav Tir. 2024. "Less Human Than Human: Threat, Language, and Relative Dehumanization." British Journal of Political Science 54(3): 612-628. 

  • A University of Colorado feature on the article.

• Karreth, Johannes, Timothy Passmore, and Jaroslav Tir. 2024. "The Role of Foreign Aid in Procuring Civil War Party Consent to Peacekeeping," Foreign Policy Analysis 20(2).

• Singh, Shane P. and Jaroslav Tir. 2023. "Threat-Inducing Violent Events Exacerbate Social Desirability Bias in Survey Responses." American Journal of Political Science 67(1): 154-169.

  • • • AJPS blog post

• Karreth, Johannes, Jason Quinn, Madhav Joshi, and Jaroslav Tir. 2023. “International Third Parties and the Implementation of Comprehensive Peace Agreements After Civil War.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 67(2-3) 494–521.

• Singh, Shane P., and Jaroslav Tir. 2022. “Does Threat from COVID-19 Stimulate Attitudes Amenable to Public Cooperation? Evidence from India.” British Journal of Politics and International Relations 24(4): 598–606. 

• Karreth, Johannes, Jaroslav Tir, and Douglas M. Gibler. 2022. "Latent Territorial Threat and Democratic Regime Reversals." Journal of Peace Research. 59(2): 197-212.

• Singh, Shane P. and Jaroslav Tir. 2019. "The Effects of Militarized Interstate Disputes on Incumbent Voting Across Genders." Political Behavior 41: 975-999.

• Linke, Andrew, Frank DW Witmer, John O'Loughlin, J. Terrence McCabe, and Jaroslav Tir. 2018. "Relocating in Response to Drought: Human Mobility and Conflict in Contemporary Kenya." Environmental Research Letters 13(9): 094014.

• Karreth, Johannes and Jaroslav Tir. 2018. "International Agreement Design and the Moderating Role of Domestic Bureaucratic Quality: The Case of Freshwater Cooperation." Journal of Peace Research 55(4): 460–475.

• Singh, Shane P. and Jaroslav Tir. 2018. “Partisanship, Militarized International Conflict, and Electoral Support for the Incumbent.” Political Research Quarterly 71(1): 172-183.

• Tir, Jaroslav and Maureen Bailey. 2018. “Painting Too ‘Rosie’ a Picture: The Impact of External Threat on Women's Economic Welfare.” Conflict Management and Peace Science 35(3): 248–262.

• Linke, Andrew M., Frank Witmer, John O’Loughlin, J. Terrence McCabe, and Jaroslav Tir. 2018. “Drought, Local Institutional Context, and Support for Violence in Kenya.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 62(7): 1544-1578.

• Tir, Jaroslav and Shane P. Singh. 2015. “Get off My Lawn: Territorial Civil Wars and Subsequent Social Intolerance in the Public.” Journal of Peace Research 52(4): 478-491.

• Linke, Andrew M., J. Terrence McCabe, John O’Loughlin, Jaroslav Tir, and Frank Witmer. 2015. “Rainfall Variability and Violence in Rural Kenya: Investigating the Effects of Drought and the Role of Local Institutions with Survey Data.” Global Environmental Change 34: 35-47.

• Stojek, Szymon and Jaroslav Tir. 2015. “The Supply Side of United Nations Peacekeeping Operations: Trade Ties and Locations of UN Led Deployments.” European Journal of International Relations 21(2): 352-376.

• Gibler, Douglas M. and Jaroslav Tir. 2014. “Territorial Peace and Democratic Clustering.” Journal of Politics 76(1): 27-40.

• Tir, Jaroslav and Shane Singh. 2013. “Is It the Economy or Foreign Policy, Stupid? A Comparative Analysis of the Impact of Foreign Crises on Leader Support.” Comparative Politics 46(1): 83-101.

• Karreth, Johannes and Jaroslav Tir. 2013. “International Institutions and Civil War Prevention.” Journal of Politics 75(1): 96-109.

• Tir, Jaroslav and Douglas M. Stinnett. 2012. “Weathering Climate Change: Can Institutions Mitigate International Water Conflict?” Journal of Peace Research 49(1): 211-225. Replication dataset.

  • The above article was cited in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) “Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability” report on human security.

• Tir, Jaroslav and Douglas M. Stinnett. 2011. “The Institutional Design Of Riparian Treaties: The Role Of River Issues.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 55(4): 606-631. Replication dataset.

• Gibler, Douglas M. and Jaroslav Tir. 2010. “Settled Borders and Regime Type: Democratic Transitions as Consequences of Peaceful Territorial Transfers.” American Journal of Political Science. 54(4): 951–968.

  • The above article was featured in the AJPS editor’s virtual special issue (“What Has NSF Wrought?”, May 2012) demonstrating the value of the discipline in the face of looming cuts to the National Science Foundation’s political science program.

• Tir, Jaroslav. 2010. “Territorial Diversion: Diversionary Theory of War and Territorial Conflict.” Journal of Politics 72(2): 413-425. Web Appendix Tables.

• Tir, Jaroslav and John T. Ackerman. 2009. “Politics of Formalized River Cooperation.” Journal of Peace Research 46(5): 623-640. Replication dataset.

• Stinnett, Douglas M. and Jaroslav Tir. 2009. “The Institutionalization of River Treaties.” International Negotiation 14(2): 229-251.

• Fuhrmann, Matthew and Jaroslav Tir. 2009. “Territorial Dimensions of Enduring Internal Rivalries.” Conflict Management and Peace Science 26(4): 307-329.

• Tir, Jaroslav and Michael Jasinski. 2008. “Domestic-Level Diversionary Theory of War: Targeting Ethnic Minorities.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 52(5): 641-664. Replication dataset.

• Oneal, John and Jaroslav Tir. 2006. “Does the DiversionaryUse of Force Threaten the Democratic Peace? Assessing the Effect of Economic Growth on Interstate Conflict, 1921-2001.” International Studies Quarterly 50(4): 755-779.

• Tir, Jaroslav. 2006. “Domestic-Level Territorial Disputes: Conflict Management via Secessions.” Conflict Management and Peace Science. 23(4): 309-328.

• Tir, Jaroslav. 2005. “Keeping the Peace After Secessions: Territorial Conflict Between Rump and Secessionist States.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 49(5): 713-741.

• Tir, Jaroslav. 2005. “Dividing Countries to Promote Peace: Prospects for Long-Term Success of Partitions.” Journal of Peace Research 42(5): 545-562. Replication dataset.

• Tir, Jaroslav. 2003. “Averting Armed International Conflicts Through State-to-State Territorial Transfers.” Journal of Politics 65(4): 1235-1257.

• Tir, Jaroslav. 2003. “Never-EndingConflicts? Territorial Changes as Potential Solutions for Territorial Disputes.” Conflict Management and Peace Science 20(2): 59-84.

• Tir, Jaroslav. 2002. “Letting Secessionists Have Their Way: Can Partitions Help End and Prevent Ethnic Conflicts?” International Interactions 28(3): 261-292.

• Tir, Jaroslav and Paul F. Diehl. 2002. “Geographic Dimensions of Enduring Rivalries.” Political Geography 21(2): 263-286.

• Stinnett, Douglas, Jaroslav Tir, Philip Shafer, Paul Diehl, and Charles Gochman. 2002. “The Correlates of War Project Direct Contiguity Data.” Conflict Management and Peace Science 19(2): 59-68.

• Tir, Jaroslav and Paul F. Diehl. 1998. “Demographic Pressure and Interstate Conflict: Linking Population Growth and Density to Militarized Disputes and Wars.” Journal of Peace Research 35(3): 319-39.

• Tir, Jaroslav, Philip Schafer, Paul F. Diehl, and Gary Goertz. 1998. “Territorial Changes,1816-1996: Procedures and Data.” Conflict Management and Peace Science 16(1): 89-97.

Publications: Other Peer- and Editor-Reviewed Scholarly Works

• Tir, Jaroslav and Shane P. Singh. 2024. "How news about threats to US security can undermine election polling projections." London School of Economics American Politics and Policy Blog (LSE USAPP). 25 October.

  • A University of Colorado feature on the post.

• Passmore, Timothy, Johannes Karreth, and Jaroslav Tir. 2022. "Consent in peacekeeping." In Handbook on Peacekeeping and International Relations. Han Dorussen, ed. Edward Elgar, 46-59.

• Miller, Steven V., Jaroslav Tir, and John A. Vasquez. 2020. “Geography, Territory, and Conflict.” In the Oxford Research Encyclopedia of International Studies. Editor in Chief: Renée Marlin-Bennett. Oxford University Press. 

• Karreth, Johannes and Jaroslav Tir. 2018. Can International Organizations Help Prevent Civil Wars? Political Violence @ a Glance. http://politicalviolenceataglance.org/2018/04/25/can-international-organizations-help-prevent-civil-wars/ 

• Karreth, Johannes and Jaroslav Tir. 2018. The international community struggles to end civil wars. How can international organizations help? OUPblog. https://blog.oup.com/2018/04/international-organizations-civil-wars-united-nations/

• David Leask has published a Herald Scotland news article based on Dr. Tir’s presentation at the Scottish Independence and Security Conference, held in November 2013 at the University of Glasgow, Glasgow, Scotland, UK.

• Tir, Jaroslav and John A. Vasquez. 2012. “Territory and Geography.” In Guide to the Scientific Study of International Processes, S.M. Mitchell, P.F. Diehl, and J.D. Morrow, eds. Wiley-Blackwell, 115-134.

  • Earlier versions published as:

    • Tir Jaroslav and John A. Vasquez. 2010. “Geography and Territory” In The International Studies Encyclopedia (ISE), Robert A. Denemark, ed. Blackwell Publishers. Online access (may require log in).

    • Vasquez, John A. and Jaroslav Tir. 2010. “Geography and Territory” In The International Studies Encyclopedia (ISE), Robert A. Denemark, ed. Blackwell Publishers: vol. 5, 2948-2968.

• Tir, Jaroslav. 2010. “World at the Water’s Edge.” The Citizen 4(1): 6-7.

• Tir, Jaroslav and Paul F. Diehl. 2006. “Dividing Iraq Might Multiply Problems.” Chicago Sun-Times. Editorial, 24 November.

• Tir, Jaroslav. 2006. “Keeping the Peace After Secessions: Territorial Conflicts Between Rump and Secessionist States.” In Conflict Resolution, Vol. 5, D. Druckman and P.F. Diehl, eds. London: SAGE Publications, pp. 365-395.

• Tir, Jaroslav. 2005. Review of The Democratic Peace and Territorial Conflict in the Twentieth Century, by Paul K. Huth and Todd L. Allee. Australian Journal of International Affairs 59: 555-558.

• Tir, Jaroslav and Paul F. Diehl. 2001. “Demographic Pressure and Interstate Conflict: Linking Population Growth and Density to Militarized Disputes and Wars.” In Environmental Conflict, N.P. Gleditsch and P.F. Diehl, eds. New York: Westview Press, pp. 58-83.

•  Tir, Jaroslav. 1998. “Recognition of Secessions in the Post-Cold War Period.” ACDIS Research Reports. Champaign: University of Illinois, pp. 139-156.

View Research by Topic:

Territorial Conflict | Civil War and Ethnic Conflict | Environmental Security and Conflict | Diversionary Theory of War | Gender and Conflict