The Southern Districts (10) can be grouped under two sections.
south ( east) - 2 districts
south (HEART) - 8 districts
-------------------
South (East) have common border with Banglasdesh
They are
Nadia - total 17 seats
24-parganas- North- 35 seats
so total= 52 seats
-----
mamtha won
14 out of 17 in Nadia
30 ,, 35 in 24Parganas-North
-----
44 .. 52 in these two districts
===============
if the winning margin is more than 10,000
it is sure victory.
====
Where mamtha lost, the margin was less than 5000
------------------
It is reported that these two districts, especially, North-24-parganas , has a big number of workers from Bihar.
That could be a reason for Modi gaining there in MP elections-2019
====================
do not rule out the possibilty of BJP using EVM fraud in all the districts bordering on bangladesh , from 'security' concerns
===================
==================
------------------------
NADIA DISTRICT BEGINS
NADIA (17 seats)
=====================
77 Karimpur
78 Tehatta
79 Palashipara
80 Kaliganj
81 Nakashipara
82 Chapra
83 Krishnanagar Uttar
84 Nabadwip
85 Krishnanagar Dakshin
86 Santipur
87 Ranaghat Uttar Paschim
88 Krishnaganj
89 Ranaghat Uttar Purba
90 Ranaghat Dakshin
91 Chakdaha
92 Kalyani
93 Haringhata
=================
77
Karimpur
--
Mahua Moitra
All India Trinamool Congress
90989
----
Samarendranath Ghosh
Communist Party of India (Marxist)
75000
--
15989
----------------
78
Tehatta
----
Gouri Sankar Dutta
All India Trinamool Congress
97611
----
Ranjit Kumar Mandal
Communist Party of India (Marxist)
80215
---
17394
-------------------
79
Palashipara
-----
Tapas Kumar Saha
All India Trinamool Congress
82127
-----
S.M.Sadi
Communist Party of India (Marxist)
76568
-----
5559
-------------
80
Kaliganj
------
Hasanuzzaman Sk
Indian National Congress
85125
-------
Ahamed Nasiruddin
All India Trinamool Congress
83898
------
1227
-----------
81
Nakashipara
-----
Kallol Khan
All India Trinamool Congress
88032
-----
Tanmay Ganguli
Communist Party of India (Marxist)
81782
-----
6250
-----------
82
Chapra
--
Rukbanur Rahman
All India Trinamool Congress
89556
--
Shamsul Islam Mollah
Communist Party of India (Marxist)
76093
---
13463
---------
83
Krishnanagar Uttar
-----
Abani Mohan Joardar
All India Trinamool Congress
82864
----
Asim Kumar Saha
Indian National Congress
69949
----
12915
----------------------
84
Nabadwip
-----
Pundarikakshya Saha
All India Trinamool Congress
102228
-----
Sumit Biswas
Communist Party of India (Marxist)
66432
----
35397
-------------------
85
Krishnanagar Dakshin
-----
Ujjal Biswas
All India Trinamool Congress
80711
-----
Meghlal Sheikh
Communist Party of India (Marxist)
67897
----
12814
-------------
86
Santipur
------
Arindam Bhattacharya
Indian National Congress
103566
----
Ajoy Dey
All India Trinamool Congress
84078
------
19488
------------------
87
Ranaghat Uttar Paschim
-----
Sankar Singha
Indian National Congress
109607
------
Parthasarathi Chatterjee
All India Trinamool Congress
86187
------
23420
--------------
88
Krishnaganj
--
Satyajit Biswas
All India Trinamool Congress
114626
--
Mrinal Biswas
Communist Party of India (Marxist)
70698
--
43928
----------------------
89
Ranaghat Uttar Purba
----
Samir Kumar Poddar
All India Trinamool Congress
93215
-----
Babusona Sarkar
Communist Party of India (Marxist)
78243
----
14972
-----------------------
90
Ranaghat Dakshin
---
Rama Biswas
Communist Party of India (Marxist)
104159
---
Abir Ranjan Biswas
All India Trinamool Congress
86906
---
17253
--------------------
91
Chakdaha
----
Kar Ratna Ghosh
All India Trinamool Congress
94241
-----
Biswanath Gupta
Communist Party of India (Marxist)
70588
-----
23653
-------------------------
92
Kalyani
-------
Ramendra Nath Biswas
All India Trinamool Congress
95795
-----
Alakesh Das
Communist Party of India (Marxist)
69700
----
26095
----------------
93
Haringhata
------
Nilima Nag
All India Trinamool Congress
94530
------
Ajoy Das
Communist Party of India (Marxist)
73181
--
21349
-----------------------
==========================
NADIA DISTRICT ENDS
===========================
===========================
=======================
NORTH 24-PARGANAS BEGINS
=======================
NORTH 24-PARGANAS (35)
=======================
94 Bagda
95 Bangaon Uttar
96 Bangaon Dakshin
97 Gaighata
98 Swarupnagar
99 Baduria
100 Habra
101 Ashoknagar
102 Amdanga
103 Bijpur
104 Naihati
105 Bhatpara
106 Jagatdal
107 Noapara
108 Barrackpur
109 Khardaha
110 Dum Dum Uttar
111 Panihati
112 Kamarhati
113 Baranagar
114 Dum Dum
115 Rajarhat New Town
116 Bidhannagar
117 Rajarhat Gopalpur
118 Madhyamgram
119 Barasat
120 Deganga
121 Haroa
122 Minakhan
123 Sandeshkhali
124 Basirhat Dakshin
125 Basirhat Uttar
126 Hingalganj
127 Gosaba
128 Basanti
===================
==================
94
Bagda
---
Dulal Chandra Bar
Indian National Congress
102026
---
Upendra Nath Biswas
All India Trinamool Congress
89790
-----
12236
--------------
95
Bangaon Uttar
-----
Biswajit Das
All India Trinamool Congress
95822
---
Sushanta Bowali
All India Forward Bloc
62630
----
33192
----------------------
96
Bangaon Dakshin
-----
Surajit Kumar Biswas
All India Trinamool Congress
92379
------
Ramendranath Audhya
Communist Party of India (Marxist)
65475
----
26904
------------------------
97
Gaighata
----
Pulin Bihari Ray
All India Trinamool Congress
93812
-----
Kapil Krishna Thakur
Communist Party of India
64240
----
29572
-----------------------
98
Swarupnagar
------
Bina Mandal
All India Trinamool Congress
93807
-----
Dhiman Sarkar
Communist Party of India (Marxist)
81866
-----
11941
----------------------
99
Baduria
--
Abdur Rahim Quazi
Indian National Congress
98408
--
Amir Ali
All India Trinamool Congress
76163
22245
------------------
100
Habra
----
Jyotipriya Mallick
All India Trinamool Congress
101590
----
Ashis Kantha Mukherjee
Communist Party of India (Marxist)
55643
45947
--------------
101
Ashokenagar
----
Dhiman Roy
All India Trinamool Congress
98042
-----
Satyasebi Kar
Communist Party of India (Marxist)
75143
22899
--------------
102
Amdanga
----
Rafiqur Rahaman
All India Trinamool Congress
96193
----
Abdus Sattar
Communist Party of India (Marxist)
73228
22965
-----------------------
103
Bijpur
----
Subhranshu Roy
All India Trinamool Congress
76842
-----
Rabindra Nath Mukherjee
Communist Party of India (Marxist)
28888
47954
--------------------
104
Naihati
----
Partha Bhowmick
All India Trinamool Congress
74057
----
Gargi Chatterjee
Communist Party of India (Marxist)
45429
--
28628
-----------------------
105
Bhatpara
-----
Arjun Singh
All India Trinamool Congress
59253
-----
Jitendra Shaw
Independent
30318
28935
---------------------------
106
Jagatdal
-----
Parash Dutta
All India Trinamool Congress
76712
-----
Haripada Biswas
All India Forward Bloc
49667
27045
------------------------
107
Noapara
-------
Madhusudan Ghose
Indian National Congress
79548
----
Manju Basu
All India Trinamool Congress
78453
---
1095
---------------
108
Barrackpore
----
Shilbhadra Dutta
All India Trinamool Congress
58109
------
Debasish Bhowmick
Communist Party of India (Marxist)
50790
--
7319
----------------
109
Khardaha
----
Amit Mitra
All India Trinamool Congress
83688
-----
Asim Dasgupta
Communist Party of India (Marxist)
62488
---
21200
-------------------
110
Dum Dum Uttar
---
Tanmoy Bhattacharya
Communist Party of India (Marxist)
91959
---
Chandrima Bhattacharya
All India Trinamool Congress
85410
--
6549
-----------------------
111
Panihati
-----
Nirmal Ghosh
All India Trinamool Congress
73545
-----
Sanmoy Bandyopadhyay
Indian National Congress
70515
3030
-------------------
112
Kamarhati
------
Manash Mukherjee
Communist Party of India (Marxist)
62194
-----
Madan Mitra
All India Trinamool Congress
57996
---
4202
----------------
113
Baranagar
--
Tapas Roy
All India Trinamool Congress
76531
--
Sukumar Ghosh
Revolutionary Socialist Party
60431
--
16100
---------------
114
Dum Dum
---
Bratya Basu
All India Trinamool Congress
81579
----
Palash Das
Communist Party of India (Marxist)
72263
-----
9316
-------------------
115
Rajarhat New Town
-----
Sabyasachi Dutta
All India Trinamool Congress
90671
------
Narendra Nath Chatterjee
Communist Party of India (Marxist)
81478
----
9193
------------------------
116
Bidhannagar
------
Sujit Bose
All India Trinamool Congress
66130
----
Arunava Ghosh
Indian National Congress
59142
---
6988
---------------
117
Rajarhat Gopalpur
-----
Purnendu Basu
All India Trinamool Congress
72793
----
Nepaldeb Bhattacharjee
Communist Party of India (Marxist)
65919
6874
--------------
118
Madhyamgram
----
Rathin Ghosh
All India Trinamool Congress
110271
---
Tapas Majumder
Indian National Congress
74467
--
35804
-----------------
119
Barasat
-----
Chiranjeet Chakrabarti
All India Trinamool Congress
99667
-----
Sanjib Chattopadhyay
All India Forward Bloc
74668
24999
-------------------------
120
Deganga
-------
Rahima Mondal
All India Trinamool Congress
97412
------
Md. Hasanoor Jaman Chowdhury
All India Forward Bloc
71422
----
25990
-------------------------
121
Haroa
------
Islam Sk.Nurul
All India Trinamool Congress
113001
----
Imtiaz Hossain
Communist Party of India (Marxist)
70594
---
42407
-----------------------
122
Minakhan
------
Usha Rani Mondal
All India Trinamool Congress
103210
------
Dinabandhu Mondal
Communist Party of India (Marxist)
60612
----
42598
----------------------------------------
123
Sandeshkhali
---
Sukumar Mahata
All India Trinamool Congress
96556
----
Nirapada Sardar
Communist Party of India (Marxist)
58366
38190
------------------------
124
Basirhat Dakshin
---
Dipendu Biswas
All India Trinamool Congress
88085
-----
Samik Bhattacharya
Bharatiya Janata Party
64027
----
24058
--------------------------
125
Basirhat Uttar
-----
Rafikul Islam Mondal
Communist Party of India (Marxist)
97828
------
A.T.M. Abdullah
All India Trinamool Congress
97336
---
492
-----------------
126
Hingalganj
----
Debes Mandal
All India Trinamool Congress
94753
-----
Anandamay Mandal
Communist Party of India (Marxist)
64449
-----
30304
-------------------
127
Gosaba
-----
Jayanta Naskar
All India Trinamool Congress
90716
------
Uttam Kumar Saha
Revolutionary Socialist Party
71045
-----
19671
------------------------
128
Basanti
-----
Gobinda Chandra Naskar
All India Trinamool Congress
90522
-----
Subhas Naskar
Revolutionary Socialist Party
73915
----
16607
------------
===========
NORTH 24-PARGANAS ENDS
========================