Research (selected)

Conferences: 2021 Virtual Meeting of the International Industrial Organization Conference

Modern business practices frequently employ a blend of pricing strategies to segment markets effectively. As a result, consumers may encounter pricing schedules that are non-linear and multidimensional. This paper presents a structural approach for estimating multidimensional non-linear pricing models involving multiple decision variables in an energy market. Using a unique, rich panel dataset of Chinese household electricity consumption, we structurally estimate consumer preferences under the influence of an Increasing Block Price (IBP) and a Time-of-Use (ToU) system. Our structural approach allows us to distinguish and evaluate household-level price elasticities of demand, presenting a novel explanation for consumers’ feedback on marginal price changes. Through model-based simulations, we demonstrate that a 1% increase in price corresponds to a 0.7% reduction in total electricity demand. However, our analysis indicates that practical opportunities for optimization within multi-dimensional pricing systems are limited. Our findings offer distinct insights into the complex interplay between intricate pricing structures and energy consumption behavior, thereby providing valuable guidance for policymakers and regulators.

Conferences: China-VIOS: China Virtual Industrial Organization Seminar, 2021 CES Annual Conference (Virtual)

Awards: 2021 CES Best Paper Honorable Mention Award

In this study, we explore the effect of peer recognition on content creation within a prominent Chinese Question-and-Answer (Q&A) platform, specifically focusing on whether votes from peers encourage influencers to engage in providing more answers. Using panel regression models with instrumental variables, our analysis reveals that peer votes have a substantial positive effect on content production. Additionally, we investigate the consequences of two distinct badge policies, the “self-authentication” and the “best-answerer” badge, on content production. Our results demonstrate that while badges aid users in recognizing the quality of an influencer, badges with strong connotations may constrain content creation due to concerns about reputation management and privacy. As such, strategies that enhance platform traffic by promoting voting could be counterproductive if they exacerbate privacy and reputation worries. Our findings provide valuable insights into the role of peer recognition and badge policies in shaping content contribution, bearing crucial policy implications for the design of Q&A platforms.

Conferences:  IO Canada Conference (Queen's University and University of British Columbia), 11th bi-annual Postal Economics Conference on E-commerce, Digital Economy and Delivery Services (Toulouse School of Economics)

Awards:  NET Institute 2022 Summer Research Grant Program

This paper investigates the complexities of digital product membership renewals. Using an extensive dataset from a Chinese content platform, we analyze the interplay of price changes and peer influences within referral networks and their collective impact on users’ decision to renew. Our study reveals several key insights: First, through regression modeling, we quantify the price elasticity and uncover a positive correlation between a user’s likelihood of renewal and both the renewal decisions of their referrers and the quantity of their referees. Second, we further examine the cascading effects of price changes across the network. One significant advantage of our structural model is its capacity to allow the referral network to be endogenously determined by users’ consideration and prediction of the renewal decisions of both upstream referrer and downstream referees. The findings reveal that targeted discounts for referees are more effective than either uniform discounts or targeted discounts aimed at referrers. Such marketing strategies would efficiently improve renewal rates while avoiding potential revenue loss. Last, further evidence sheds light on how different network structures affect overall renewal rates, suggesting that networks characterized by high level of connectivity yet low level of centrality are more conducive to sustaining customer loyalty.



Awards: NET Institute 2023 Summer Research Grant

Media coverage: Antitrust & Competition Policy (2020)

Conferences:  Marketing and the Creator Economy conference (Columbia Business School)

Awards: NET Institute 2019 Summer Research Grant; Best Paper Award by the China Marketing International Conference 2022

Online referral programs are adopted as a marketing tool on digital creator platforms, where content creators can attract new subscribers by offering rewards for successful referrals. Content creators must decide how much to charge subscribers, whether to implement referral programs, and how large of a reward to offer for successful referrals. We analyze these decisions and their consequences with a structural model, using a unique dataset from a creator platform in China with 1,329 content creators between 2016 and 2019. We find that, on average, a 1% increase in the referral reward leads to a 2.4% increase in demand, though the effect varies with the type of content. Empirical results highlight the trade-off involved in referral programs: higher referral rewards bring both additional revenue from new subscribers and additional costs of rewarding successful referrals as well as maintaining a larger community. Finally, counterfactual analyses tests the consequences of an extended range of referral reward. The analyses reveal that the profit-optimizing referral percentage is 45%, which is 50% higher than the uniform 30% referral percentage recommended by the platform. Furthermore, we document the inverted-U shape curves for both profit and demand as referral percentages increase. Our counterfactual analyses on the effect of creators choosing referral percentage at their own discretion shed light on a more efficient referral program design compared to the prevailing uniform referral structure. We also highlight the different referral percentage choices across content types when the platform focuses on a larger long-run user base and the creators emphasize on higher short-run profits.

This paper empirically examines the impact of the launch of a Government-initiated E-commerce Platform (GEP) on the sales of local specialties, with a particular focus on China’s Pu’er tea market. Employing two-way fixed effects (TWFE) regressions on a panel dataset of 983 local farmers over five years, which covers over 90% of local tea productions, we find that the introduction of the GEP leads to an average decline of 11.22% in offline household sales, while online sales experience an increase of 16.88%. This channel shift was observed at all levels of production and quality, yet the total volume of tea sales remained constant, suggesting that the GEP facilitated a more efficient allocation of sales between online and offline channels and increased profits. Further evidence shows that the platform was particularly beneficial to farmers who faced significant barriers to entry on traditional platforms, providing them with a more cost-effective alternative. Mechanism analysis suggests that the increase in online sales volumes is primarily due to an increase in product variety rather than an increase in the number of online sellers. Our study underscores the transformative potential of such E-commerce initiatives in specific markets and provides actionable insights for policymakers and practitioners.

with Xin (Shane) Wang, Shijie Lu, and Nan Cui  (Invited to Resubmit at the Production and Operations Management)

Media coverage: Machine Lawyering (2020), Political Constitutional Law (Chinese) (2020)

Conferences:  2nd Monash-Warwick-Zurich Text as Data Conference (ETH Zurich), Australasian Meeting of the Econometric Society (University of Melbourne), INFORMS Marketing Science Virtual Conference 2021 (University of Rochester), Royal Economic Society 2021 Annual Conference,14th Digital Economics Conference (Toulouse School of Economics), 22nd Annual INFER Conference (University of Sorbonne Paris Nord), Internet Governance Forum (Law School of Wuhan University)

Awards: NET Institute 2021 Summer Research Grant

We collect the data from Hong Kong’s major news media Facebook pages from 2019 to 2020 to examine the online ideological clashes between pro-democracy and pro-Beijing parties. We find that specific writing habits signify users’ backgrounds and elicit readers’ group segregation cues. Compared to Traditional Chinese comments, the increase of pro-police comments in Simplified Chinese induced a more polarized reaction from the opposite side with more anti-police comments and demand for regional independence. On the other hand, contents generated by the suspected bots alleviate the clashes. The results demonstrate the need for debiasing intervention and regulation in social media platforms.


Awards: NET Institute 2018 Summer Research Grant

This paper studies how network structure can affect the speed of adoption. In particular, we model the decisions to adopt Python 3 by software packages. Python 3 provides advanced features but is not backward compatible with Python 2, which implies adoption costs. Moreover, packages form input-output networks through dependency relationships with other packages, and they face additional adoption costs if the dependency packages lack Python 3 support. We build a dynamic model of technology adoption that incorporates such a network and estimate it using a complete dataset of Python packages. Estimation results show that the average cost of one incompatible dependency is roughly three times the cost to update one’s code. We conduct counterfactual policies of community-level targeted cost subsidy and show network structure is crucial to determine an optimal policy of cost subsidy.