Francisco Costa

Working Papers

• Seeds of Disparity:  the Gender Land Divide from Brazil's Agricultural Transition
  with Rafael Araujo, Bruna Borges, and Kelly Santos. submitted.

• The Environmental Costs of Political Interference: Evidence from Power Plants in the Amazon
  with Dimitri Szerman and Juliano Assunção. R&R at  Journal of Public Economics.

• Efficient Conservation of the Brazilian Amazon: Estimates from a Dynamic Model  *revised*
  with Rafael Araujo and Marcelo Sant'Anna.  [Coverage: VoxDev] R&R at Review of Economic Studies.

• National Borders and the Conservation of Nature
  with Robin Burgess and Benjamin Olken. [Coverage: Washington Post, VoxDev] 

• Local Economic Impacts of Hydroelectric Power Plants: Evidence from Brazil
  with Dimitri Szerman and Juliano Assunção. submitted.

• Too Hot to Learn? Evidence from High School Dropouts in Brazil
  with Diana Goldemberg. submitted.

• Beyond the Pulpit: Pentecostal Growth and Economic Transformations in Brazil
  with Angelo Marcantonio and Rudi Rocha. Prepared for Economic, Religion and Public Policy, organized by Vladimir Maltsev and Nirvikar Singh.

Selected Publications

1. Going Viral: Public Attention and Environmental Action in the Amazon
   with Rafael Araujo and Teevrat Garg. 

   • Journal of Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, forthcoming. [publisher] [working paper] [replication files]

2. The Deforestation Effects of Trade and Agricultural Productivity in Brazil
   with Igor Carreira and Joao Paulo Pessoa.

   • Journal of Development Economics, 2024 [publisher] [working paper] [replication files] [Coverage: LSE Business Review, VoxLACEA]

3. How to Attract Physicians to Underserved Areas? Policy Recommendations from a Structural Model
   with Leticia Nunes and Fabio Sanches. 

   • Review of Economics and Statistics, 2024 [publisher] [working paper] [replication files] [Coverage: VoxDev, Estadão, Valor]

4. Stop Suffering! Economic Downturns and Pentecostal Upsurge
   with Angelo Marcantonio and Rudi Rocha.

   • Journal of the European Economic Association, 2023 [publisher] [working paper] [slides] [replication files] [Coverage: Folha, Café da Manhã]

5. The Impact of Climate Change on Risk and Return in Indian Agriculture
   with Fabien Forge, Jason Garred, and Joao Paulo Pessoa. 

   • Environmental and Resource Economics, 2023 [publisher] [working paper]

6. Hysteresis and the Welfare Effect of Corrective Policies: Theory and Evidence from an Energy Saving Program
   with François Gerard. 

   • Journal of Political Economy, 2021 [publisher] [working paper] [web appendix] [replication files] [Coverage: VoxDev]

7. Winners and Losers from a Commodities-for-Manufactures Trade Boom
   with Jason Garred and Joao Paulo Pessoa. 

   • Journal of International Economics, 2016  [publisher] [working paper] [web appendix] [concordances and replication files] [Coverage: VoxEU, VoxLACEA]

Other Publications

8. Winners and Losers from China's Ascension in International Trade: a Structural Approach
   with Joao Paulo Pessoa. 

   • Brazilian Review of Econometrics, 2019 [publisher]

9. Homicides and the Age of Criminal Responsibility: A Density Discontinuity Approach
   with João de Faria, Felipe Iachan, and Bárbara Caballero. 

   • Economìa, the journal of LACEA, 2018 [publisher] [working paper] [replication files] [Coverage: Exame.com, JB]

10. Effort Complementarity and Team Size, An Experimental Analysis of Moral Hazard in Teams
    with Joisa Dutra.

    • Economics Bulletin, 2018 [publisher]

(Aug, 2024)