Fabian Mendez Ramos, Ph.D.

Economist and quantitative researcher studying how to forecast, stress-test and communicate uncertainty in economic outcomes, from global growth and poverty to financial risk.

Fabian Mendez Ramos is an economist and quantitative researcher whose work develops methods for probabilistic forecasting and scenario analysis. Since 2025, he has been an Economist and Quantitative Researcher at Citi, where he works on enterprise scenario design for strategic planning, sensitivity analysis, and stress testing.

He spent eight years at the World Bank, first in the Development Economics Vice-Presidency (2013-2020), in Washington and at the Kuala Lumpur research hub, and then in the Market and Counterparty Risk Department (2020-2021), where he led validations of CECL models. He later worked on model validation and CCAR stress-testing analysis at Wells Fargo (2021-2023) and as an independent researcher (2023-2025).

His research on density forecasting, poverty vulnerability, natural resources and growth, and Bayesian estimation of general equilibrium models has appeared in Empirical Economics, Economic Modelling and Economics Bulletin, in a World Bank volume on long-term growth, and in Brookings' Future Development series. He holds a Ph.D. in Applied and Agricultural Economics and a Graduate Certificate in Applied Statistics from Texas A&M University, an M.A. in Economics from El Colegio de Mexico, and a degree in Chemical Engineering from UNAM.