2012
Formation and Elicitation of Beliefs in Experiments
On April 26 and 27, 2012, the CIRPÉE and the WZB, presented in Berlin a conference entitled "Formation and Elicitation of Beliefs in Experiments". Charles Bellemare, in charge of the Social policies, market structures and employment area of research, Sabine Kröger, in charge of the Public economics and political economy area of research, and Dorothea Kübler, Director of the Research Unit Market Behavior, from the WZB in Berlin, Germany, were organizing the event.
The objective of the workshop was to attract researchers currently working on issues relating to the role of beliefs in experiments, including the analysis of scoring rules, belief formation, and model testing using subjective expectations.
April 26 - 27, 2012
Location: WZB (Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin für Sozialforschung)
This workshop is sponsored by
CIRPÉE (Centre Interuniversitaire sur le risque, les politiques économiques, et l’emploi), Université Laval
and
WZB (Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin für Sozialforschung)
Organizers:
Charles Bellemare
CIRPÉE (Centre Interuniversitaire sur le risque, les politiques économiques, et l’emploi), Université Laval
Sabine Kröger
CIRPÉE (Centre Interuniversitaire sur le risque, les politiques économiques, et l’emploi), Université Laval
Dorothea Kübler
WZB (Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin für Sozialforschung) & Technical University Berlin
For information and registration see: http://www.wzb.eu/en/veranstaltungen/formation-and-elicitation-of-beliefs-in-experiments
Program:
Thursday, April 26, 2012
11.30 – 12.20 Registration and Lunch Buffet
12.20 Conference opening
12.30 – 14.00 First Session
Aurélien Baillon (Erasmus University of Rotterdam) Testing ambiguity models through the measurement of probabilities for gains and losses
Carlos Alós-Ferrer (University of Konstanz) Fast or rational? A response-times study of Bayesian updating
14.00- 14.30 Coffee Break
14.30 – 16.45 Second Session
Frank Heinemann (Technical University Berlin) Measuring agents’ reaction to private and public information in games with strategic complementarities
Kyle Hyndman (Maastricht University) Beliefs and (in)stability in normal-form games
Guy Mayraz (University of Oxford) Wishful thinking, confidence, and beliefs
16.45 – 17.15 Coffee Break
17.15 – 18.45 Third Session
Alexander Sebald (University of Copenhagen) Measuring nonlinear and heterogeneous guilt aversion
Guillaume Hollard (Paris School of Economics) Bridging the gap between actions and beliefs in an experimental game
19.30 Conference Dinner
Friday, April 27, 2012
09.00 – 11.15 Fourth Session
Stephanie Wang (University of Pittsburgh) Prediction in networks
Nicolas Treich (Toulouse School of Economics) Eliciting beliefs: proper scoring rules, incentives, stakes, and hedging
Li Hao (University of Arkansas) Belief elicitation in the presence of naïve participants: an experimental study
11.15 – 11.45 Coffee Break
11.45 – 13.15 Fifth Session
Joël van der Weele (Goethe University Frankfurt/M) A penny for your thoughts: incentives for interval elicitation
Gijs van der Kuilen (Tilburg University) Belief elicitation: a horse race among truth serums
13.15 Lunch Buffet
Participants
Carlos Alós-Ferrer University of Konstanz
Aurélien Baillon Erasmus University of Rotterdam
Charles Bellemare Université Laval, CIRPEE
Han Bleichrodt Erasmus University
Thomas Epper University of Zurich
Li Hao University of Arkansas
Frank Heinemann Technische Universität Berlin
Guillaume Hollard Paris School of Economics
Kyle Hyndman Maastricht University
Sabine Kröger Université Laval, CIRPEE
Dorothea Kübler Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin
Guy Mayraz University of Oxford
Alexander Sebald University of Copenhagen
Nicolas Treich Toulouse School of Economics
Joël van der Weele Goethe University Frankfurt/M
Gijs van de Kuilen Tilburg University
Stephanie Wang University of Pittsburgh
Georg Weizsäcker Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung