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D-TEA (Decision: Theory, Experiments, and Applications) 2013
Ambiguity (aka Knightian Uncertainty)
Date: May 27-29, 2013.
Location: HEC Paris, Porte de Champerret
Room: Jean Monnet amphitheater
Monday, May 27
08:30-9:00 Coffee
08:45-09:00 Welcome by Dean Pierre DUSSAUGE
Chair: Philippe MONGIN
09:00-09:30 Nabil AL-NAJJAR: “A Bayesian Model of Knightian Uncertainty”
09:30-10:00 Loran CHOLLETE: “A Model of Endogenous Extreme Events"
10:00-10:30 Asen KOCHOV: “Time and No Lotteries: A simple Axiomatization of Maxmin Expected Utility”
10:30-11:00 Coffee Break
11:00-11:30 Wolfgang PESENDORFER (w/Faruk Gul): “Expected Uncertain Utility Theory”
11:30‐12:00 John QUIGGIN: “Unawareness, Black Swans, and Financial Crises”
12:00‐12:30 David SCHMEIDLER: “Uncertainty and Rationality"
12:30-14:30 Lunch
Chair: Mohammed ABDELLAOUI
14:30-15:00 Han BLEICHRODT: “Learning under Ambiguity: An Experiment Using initial Public Offerings on a Stock Market”
15:00-15:30 Kfir ELIAZ (w/Pietro Ortoleva): “Multidimensional Ellsberg”
15:30-16:00 Larry EPSTEIN (w/Yoram Halevy): “No Two Experiments are Identical”
16:00-16:30 Coffee Break
16:30-17:00 Edi KARNI (w/Gary Charness and Dan Levin):
“Ambiguity Attitudes and Social Interactions: An Experimental Investigation”
17:00-17:30 Anisa SHYTI: “Overconfidence and Entrepreneurial Choice under Ambiguity”
17:30-18:00 Horst ZANK (w/Mohammed Abdellaoui): “Recursive Prospect Theory: A Descriptive Model for Ambiguity Attitudes”
Tuesday, May 28
08:30-09:00 Coffee
Chair: Stefania MINARDI
09:00-09:30 Sam AFLAKI: “The Effect of Environmental Uncertainty on the Tragedy of the Commons”
09:30-10:00 Hans FOELLMER: “Consistency of Spatial Risk Measures”
10:00-10:30 Yehuda IZHAKIAN: “Capital Asset Pricing under Ambiguity”
10:30-11:00 Coffee Break
11:00-11:30 Sujoy MUKERJI (w/Ian Jewitt): “Ordering Ambiguous Acts”
11:30-12:00 Larry SAMUELSON (w/Itzhak Gilboa and David Schmeidler): “No Betting Pareto Dominance”
12:00-12:30 Jian TONG (w/ David Besanko and Jianjun Wu):
“A Dynamic Game under Ambiguity: Repeated Bargaining with Interactive Learning”
12:30-14:30 Lunch
Chair: Brian HILL
14:30-15:00 Jaroslav BOROVICKA (w/Lars Hansen): “Robust Preference Expansions”
15:00-15:30 Alex CUKIERMAN (w/Yehuda Izhakian):
“Bailout Uncertainty in a Microfounded General Equilibrium Model of the Financial System”
15:30-16:00 Tomasz MICHALSKI (w/Brian Hill): “Risk versus Ambiguity and International Security Design”
16:00-16:30 Coffee Break
16:30-17:00 Kiyohiko NISHIMURA: “Financial Stability and Knightian Uncertainty: Reflections of a Former Central Banker”
17:00-17:30 Hiroyuki OZAKI (w/Kiyohiko Nishimura): “Liquidity Preference and Knightian Uncertainty”
17:30-18:00 Thomas SARGENT (w/Lars Hansen): “Four Types of Ignorance”
Wednesday, May 29
08:30-09:00 Coffee
Chair: Ani GUERDJIKOVA
09:00-09:30 Uzi SEGAL (w/ David Dillenberger): “Asymmetric Noise”
09:30-10:00 Soo Hong CHEW (w/Bin Miao and Songfa Zhong): “Partial Ambiguity”
10:00-10:30 Freddy DELBAEN (w/Samuel Drapeau and Michael Kupper):
“Time consistent coherent extension of time consistent concave monetary utility functions”
10:30-11:00 Coffee Break
11:00-11:30 Ido EREV (w/Ori Plonsky): “Partially Observable States and the Tendency to Rely on Small Samples”
11:30-12:00 Marciano SINISCALCHI (w/Paolo Ghirardato): “Ambiguity in the Small and in the Large”
12:00-12:30 Eran HANANY (w/Sandeep Baliga and Peter Klibanoff): “Polarization and Ambiguity”
12:30-14:30 Lunch
Chair: Eric DANAN
14:30-15:00 Peter KLIBANOFF (w/Sujoy Mukerji and Kyoungwon Seo): “Relevance and Symmetry”
15:00-15:30 Ehud LEHRER: “The Concave Integral and Its Applications”
15:30-16:00 Fabio MACCHERONI (w/Pierpaolo Battigalli, Simone Cerreia‐Vioglio, and Massimo Marinacci):
“Mixed Extensions of Decision Problems under Uncertainty” (slides)
16:00-16:30 Coffee Break
16:30-17:00 Andrew POSTLEWAITE (w/David Dillenberger and Kareen Rozen): “Optimism and Pessimism with Expected Utility”
17:00-17:30 Simone CERREIA‐VIOGLIO (w/Pierpaolo Battigalli, Fabio Maccheroni, and Massimo Marinacci):
“Self‐confirming Long‐Run Biases”
17:30-18:00 RUD 2013 - JAFFRAY Memorial Lecture - Pietro ORTOLEVA (w/ Simone Cerreia‐Vioglio and David Dillenberger)
“Cautious Expected Utility and the Certainty Effect”