2025
Krogh, S. A., Garreaud, R., Scaff, L., Bozkurt, D., and Valenzuela, R., 2025. The major June 2023 flood event in Central Chile: Hydrometeorological characterization and rain-on-snow contribution. Journal of Hydrometeorology, in review.
Aslan, H., Gorum, T., Bozkurt, D., Sen, O. L., Ezber, Y., Akbas, A., Fidan, S., Lombardo, L., and Tanyas, H., 2025. Atmospheric rivers catalyze snowmelt and contribute to chains of landslides, Catena, 260, 109503, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.catena.2025.109503.
Garcia-Santos, Y., Narváez, D., Saldías, G. S., Jacques-Coper, M., Bozkurt, D., Garreaud, R., and Valdés-Castro, V., 2025. Impact of atmospheric rivers on coastal oceanographic conditions off central-southern Chile. Scientific Reports, 15, 34569, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-17997-w.
Jimenez, H. N., Istanbulluoglu, E., Gorum, T., Stanley, T. A., Amatya, P. M., Tanyas, H., Demirel, M. C., Akgun, A., and Bozkurt, D., 2025. Modeling the combined effects of the 2023 Türkiye-Syria Earthquake and an Atmospheric River event on landslide hazard, EGUsphere [preprint], https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3011.
Torres, C., Bozkurt, D., Matějka, M., Láska, K., Simon, S., Jaña, R., and Arigony-Neto, J., 2025. Contrasting impacts of two mesoscale cyclones on the South Shetland Islands’ glaciers, northern Antarctic Peninsula, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, in press, https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.5052.
Wille, J., Favier, V., Gorodetskaya, I., Agosta, C., Baiman, R., Barrett, J., Barthelemy, L., Boza, B., Bozkurt, D., and Coauthors, 2025. Atmospheric rivers in Antarctica. Nature Reviews Earth&Environment, 178-192, 6, https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-024-00638-7.
Gorum, T., Bozkurt, D., and Coauthors, 2025. The 2023 Türkiye-Syria earthquake disaster was exacerbated by an atmospheric river. Communications Earth & Environment, 6, 151, https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02111-9.
Ezber, Y., Bozkurt, D., Ilıcak, M., 2025. Modeling the impacts of Antarctic Sea Ice Decline: Responses of Atmospheric Dynamics. JGR-Atmospheres, 130, e2024JD041558, https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JD041558.
Garcia-Santos, Y., Narváez, D., Jacques-Coper, M., Saldías, G. S., Bozkurt, D., Alesio, B. M., 2025. Dominant wind patterns under the influence of atmospheric rivers: Implications for coastal upwelling off central-southern Chile, JGR-Oceans, 130, e2024JC021444, https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JC021444.
Bravo, C., Cisternas, S., Viale, M., Paredes, P., Bozkurt, D., and García-Lee, N., 2025. Unseasonal atmospheric river drives anomalous glacier accumulation in the ablation season of the subtropical Andes, The Cryosphere, 19, 1897–1913, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-1897-2025.
2024
Martinez, J. A., Junquas, C., Bozkurt, D., Viale, M., and Coauthors, 2024. Recent progress in atmospheric modeling over the Andes – part I: review of atmospheric processes, Front. Earth Sci., 12:1427783, https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2024.1427783.
Martinez, J. A., Junquas, C., Bozkurt, D., Viale, M., and Coauthors, 2024. Recent progress in atmospheric modeling over the Andes –part II: projected changes and modeling challenges, Front. Earth Sci., 12:1427837, https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2024.1427837.
Carrasco-Escaff, T., Garreaud, R., Bozkurt, D., Jacques-Coper, M., Pauchard, A., 2024. The key role of extreme weather and climate change in the occurrence of exceptional fire seasons in south-central Chile. Weather and Climate Extremes, 45, 100716, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2024.100716.
Ding, Q., Wang, Z., Wu, R., Ballinger, T., Guan, B., Bozkurt, D., Nash, D., Baxter, I., Topal, D., Li, Z., Huang, G., Chen, W., Chen, S., Cao, X., Chen, Z., 2024. Role of atmospheric rivers in shaping long-term Arctic moisture variability. Nature Communications, 15, 5505 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-49857-y.
Torres, C., Bozkurt, D., Carrasco-Escaff, T., Bolibar, J., Arigony-Neto, J. New insights on the interannual surface mass balance variability on the South Shetland Islands glaciers, northern Antarctic Peninsula. Global and Planetary Change, 239, 104506 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2024.104506.
Bozkurt, D., Carrasco, J., Cordero, R., Fernandoy, F., Gómez, A., Carrillo, B., Guan, B., 2024. Atmospheric river brings warmth and rainfall to the northern Antarctic Peninsula during the mid-austral winter of 2023. Geophysical Research Letters, 51, e2024GL108391, https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL108391.
Francis, D., Fonseca, R., Bozkurt, D., Nelli, N., Guan, B. Atmospheric River Rapids and Their Role in the Extreme Rainfall Event of April 2023 in the Middle East. Geophysical Research Letters, 51, e2024GL109446, https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL109446.
Bozkurt, D., Marín, J., Verdugo, C., Barrett, B., 2024. Atmospheric Blocking and Temperatures in the Antarctic Peninsula. Science of the Total Environment, 931, 172852, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.172852.
Ezber, Y., Bozkurt, D., Sen, O. L., 2024. Impact of atmospheric rivers on the winter snowpack in the headwaters of Euphrates-Tigris Basin. Climate Dynamics, 62, 7095-7110, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07267-2.
Wille, J., Alexander, S., Amory, C., Baiman, R., Barthélemy, L., Bergstorm, D. M., Berne, A., Binder, H., Blanchet, J., Bozkurt, D., and Coauthors, 2024. The extraordinary March 2022 East Antarctica “heat” wave. Part I: observations and meteorological drivers. Journal of Climate, 37, 757-778, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0175.1.
Wille, J., Alexander, S., Amory, C., Baiman, R., Barthélemy, L., Bergstorm, D. M., Berne, A., Binder, H., Blanchet, J., Bozkurt, D., and Coauthors, 2024. The extraordinary March 2022 East Antarctica “heat” wave. Part II: impacts on the Antarctic ice sheet. Journal of Climate, 37, 779-799, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0176.1.
2023
Garreaud, R., Bozkurt, D., Spangrude, C., Moss, G., Carrasco-Escaff, T., Rondanelli, R., Muñoz, R., Jubier, X., Lazzara, M., Keller, L., Rojo, P., 2023. Cooling the coldest continent: The 4 of December 2021 total solar eclipse over Antarctica. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 104, E2265-E2285, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0272.1.
Aguirre, F., Bozkurt, D., Sauter, T., Carrasco, J., Schneider, C., Jaña, R., Casassa, G., 2023. Snow cover variability in Brunswick Peninsula, Patagonia, derived from a combination of spectral fusion, mixture analysis and temporal interpolation of MODIS data. Remote Sensing, 15(22), 5430; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs15225430.
Torres, C., Bozkurt, D., Arigony-Neto, J., 2023. Large-scale and regional climatic influences on surface temperature and precipitation in the South Shetland Islands, northern Antarctic Peninsula. Anais da Academia Brasileira de Ciências, 18;95(suppl 3):e20230685, 10.1590/0001-3765202320230685.
Clem, K. R., Adusumilli, S., Baiman, R., Banwell, A. F., Barreira, S., Beadling, R. L., Bozkurt, D. and Coauthors, 2023: Antarctica and the Southern Ocean. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 104, S322–S365, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0077.1.
Seguel, R. J., Garreaud, R., Muñoz, R., Bozkurt, D., Gallardo, L., Opazo, C., Jorquera, H., Castillo, L., Menares, C., 2023. Volatile organic compounds measured by proton transfer reaction mass spectrometry over the complex terrain of Quintero Bay, Central Chile. Environmental Pollution, 330, 121759, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envpol.2023.121759.
Francis, D., Fonseca, R., Nelli, N., Bozkurt, D., Cuesta, J., Bosc, E., 20223 On the Middle East’s severe dust storms in spring 2022: Triggers and impacts. Atmospheric Environment, 296, 119539, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2022.119539.
Carrasco-Escaff, T., Rojas, M., Garreaud, R., Bozkurt, D., and Schaefer, M., 2023. Climatic control of the surface mass balance of the Patagonian Icefields. The Cryosphere, 17, 1127-1149, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-1127-2023.
2022
Bozkurt, D., Marín, J., Barrett, B., 2022. Temperature and moisture transport during atmospheric blocking patterns around the Antarctic Peninsula. Weather and Climate Extremes, 38, 100506, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2022.100506.
Sapiains, R., Azócar, G., Moraga, P., Valenzuela-Roa, C., Aldunce, P., Cornejo, C., Rojas, M., Pulgar, A., Medina, L., Bozkurt, D., 2022. Are citizens ready for active climate engagement or stuck in a game of blame? Local perceptions of climate action and citizen participation in Chilean Patagonia. Sustainability, 14 (19), 12034, https://doi.org/10.3390/su141912034.
Clem, K., Bozkurt, D., Kennett, D., King, J. C., Turner, J., 2022. Central tropical Pacific convection drives extreme high temperatures and surface melt on the Larsen C Ice Shelf, Antarctic Peninsula. Nature Communications, 13, 3906, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-31119-4.
Francis, D., Fonseca, R., Nelli, N., Bozkurt, D., Picard, G., Guan, B., 2022. Atmospheric rivers drive exceptional Saharan dust transport towards Europe. Atmospheric Research, 266, 105959, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2021.105959.
Marín, J., Bozkurt, D., Barrett, B., 2022. Atmospheric blocking trends and seasonality around the Antarctic Peninsula. Journal of Climate, 35(12), 3803-3818, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0323.1.
2020-2021
Clem, K. R., M. MacFerrin, D. Kennett, D. Bozkurt, and T. Scambos, 2021: Record warmth and surface melt on the Antarctic Peninsula in February 2020 [in “State of the Climate in 2021”]. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 102 (8), S328–S329, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0081.1.
Bravo, C., Bozkurt, D., Ross, A.N., Quincey, D., 2021. Projected increases in surface melt and ice loss for the Northern and Southern Patagonian Icefields., Scientific Reports, 11, 16847 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-95725-w.
Scheiter, M., Schaefer, M., Flández, E., Bozkurt, D., and Greve, R., 2021. The 21st-century fate of the Mocho-Choshuenco ice cap in southern Chile, The Cryosphere, 15, 3637–3654, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-3637-2021.
Xu, M., Yu, L., Liang, K., Vilma, T., Bozkurt, D., Hu, X., and Yang, Q., 2021. Dominant role of vertical air flows in the unprecedented warming on the Antarctic Peninsula in February 2020. Commun Earth Environ 2, 133 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-021-00203-w.
Demortier, A., Bozkurt, D., Jacques-Coper, M., 2021. Identifying key driving mechanisms of heat waves in central Chile, Climate Dynamics, 57, 2415–2432. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05810-z.
Carrasco, J., Bozkurt, D., Cordero, R., 2021. A review of the observed air temperature in the Antarctic Peninsula. Did the warming trend come back the after early 21st hiatus? Polar Science, in press, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.polar.2021.100653.
Bozkurt, D., Sen, O. L., Ezber, Y., Guan, B., Viale, M., Caglar, F., 2021. Influence of African Atmospheric Rivers on Precipitation and Snowmelt in the Near East's Highlands. JGR-Atmospheres, 126, e2020JD033646. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JD033646.
Bozkurt, D., Bromwich, D. H., Carrasco, J., Rondanelli, R., 2021. Temperature and precipitation projections for the Antarctic Peninsula over the next two decades: Contrasting global and regional climate model simulations. Climate Dynamics, 56, 3853-3874. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05667-2.
Bozkurt, D., Bromwich, D. H., Carrasco, J., Hines, K. M., Maureira, J. C., Rondanelli, R., 2020. Recent near-surface temperature trends in the Antarctic Peninsula from observed, reanalysis and regional climate model data. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 37, 477-493. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-020-9183-x.
2019
Bozkurt, D., Rojas, M., Boisier, J.B., Rondanelli, R., Garreaud, R., Gallardo, L., 2019. Dynamical downscaling over the complex terrain of southwest South America: Present climate conditions and added value analysis. Climate Dynamics, 53, 6745–6767, doi:10.1007/s00382-019-04959-y.
Bozkurt, D., Ezber, Y., Sen, O.L., 2019. Role of the East Asian Trough on the eastern Mediterranean temperature variability in early spring and the extreme case of 2004 warm spell. Climate Dynamics, 53(3-4), 2309–2326, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04847-5.
Rondanelli, R., Hatchett, B., Rutllant, J., Bozkurt, D., Garreaud, R. Strongest MJO on record triggers extreme Atacama rainfall and warmth in Antarctica. Geophysical Research Letters, 46(6), 3482-3491, https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL081475.
Sen, O.L., Ezber, Y., Bozkurt, D., 2019. Euro-Mediterranean Climate Variability in Boreal Winter: A Potential Role of the East Asian Trough. Climate Dynamics, 52(11), 7071–7084, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4573-9.
Bravo, C., Bozkurt, D., Gonzalez-Reyes, A., Quincey, D., Ross, A.N., Farías, D., Rojas, M. Assessing Snow Accumulation Patterns and Changes on the Patagonian Icefields. Frontiers in Environmental Science, 7(1), 30, doi: 10.3389/fenvs.2019.00030.
Barria, P., M. Rojas, P. Moraga, A. Muñoz, D. Bozkurt, C. Alvarez, 2019: Anthropocene and streamflow: Long-term perspective of streamflow variability and water rights. Elementa: Science of the Anthropocene, 7(1), p.2. DOI: http://doi.org/10.1525/elementa.340.
2018
Bozkurt, D., Rojas, M., Boisier, J.P., Valdivieso, J., 2018. Projected hydroclimate changes over Andean basins in central Chile from downscaled CMIP5 models under the low and high emission scenarios. Climatic Change, 150, 131-147, doi:10.1007/s10584-018-2246-7.
Xoplaki, E., Luterbacher, J., Wagner, S., Zorita, E., Fleitmann, D., Preiser-Kapeller, J., Sargent, A.M., White, S., Toreti, A., Haldon, J.F., Mordechai, L., Bozkurt, D., Akcer-On, S., Izdebski, A., 2018. Modelling Climate and Societal Resilience in the Eastern Mediterranean in the Last Millennium. Human Ecology, 46, 363-379. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10745-018-9995-9.
Bozkurt, D., Rondanelli, R., Marín, J., Garreaud, R., 2018. Foehn event triggered by an atmospheric river underlies record-setting temperature along continental Antarctica. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 123(8) 3871-3892, https://doi.org/10.1002/2017JD027796.
2016-2017
Bozkurt, D., Rojas, M., Boisier, J.P., Valdivieso, J., 2017. Climate change impacts on hydroclimatic regimes and extremes over Andean basins in central Chile. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions. doi:10.5194/hess-2016-690 (preprint).
Bozkurt, D., Rondanelli, R., Garreaud, R., Arriagada, A., 2016. Impact of warmer eastern tropical Pacific SST on the March 2015 Atacama floods. Monthly Weather Review, 144 (11), 4441-4460, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-16-0041.1.
2013-2015
Bozkurt, D., Sen, O.L., Hagemann, S., 2015. Projected river discharge in the Euphrates-Tigris Basin from a hydrological discharge model forced with RCM and GCM outputs. Climate Research, 62, 131-147, https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01268.
Sen, O.L., Gokturk, O.M, Bozkurt, D., 2015. Changing climate: a great challenge for Turkey. Journal of the Black Sea/Mediterranean Environment, Special Issue 21, 97-103.
Onol, B., Bozkurt, D., Turuncoglu, U.U., Sen, O.L., Dalfes, H.N., 2013. Evaluation of the 21st century RCM simulations driven by multiple GCMs over the Eastern Mediterranean-Black Sea region. Climate Dynamics, 42, 1949-1965, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-1966-7.
Sen, O.L., Bozkurt, D., Vogler, J.B., Ziegler, A.D., Fox, J., Giambelluca, T.W., 2013. Hydro-climatic effects of future land-cover/land-use change in montane mainland southeast Asia. Climatic Change, 118 (2), 213-226, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-012-0632-0.
Bozkurt, D., Sen, O.L., 2013. Climate change impacts in the Euphrates-Tigris Basin based on different model and scenario simulations. Journal of Hydrology, 480, 149-161, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2012.12.021.
2011-2012
Bozkurt, D., Turuncoglu, U., Sen, O.L., Onol, B., Dalfes, H.N., 2012. Downscaled simulations of the ECHAM5, CCSM3 and HadCM3 global models for the eastern Mediterranean-Black Sea region: Evaluation of the reference period. Climate Dynamics, 39 (1-2), 207-225, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-011-1187-x.
Sen, O.L., Unal, A., Bozkurt, D., Kindap, T., 2011. Temporal changes in the Euphrates and Tigris discharges and teleconnections. Environmental Research Letters, 6 024012 DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/6/2/024012.
Bozkurt, D., Sen, O.L., 2011. Precipitation in the Anatolian Peninsula: sensitivity to increased SSTs in the surrounding seas. Climate Dynamics, 36 (3-4), 711-726, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-009-0651-3.
2008
Gokturk, O.M, Bozkurt, D., Sen, O.L., Karaca, M., 2008. Quality control and homogeneity of Turkish precipitation data. Hydrological Process, 22 (16), 3210-3218, https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.6915.
Rutz, J. J., Guan, B., Bozkurt, D., Gorodetskaya, I. V., et al., 2020. Global and regional perspectives. In: Ralph, F. M., Dettinger, M. D., Rutz, J. J., Waliser, D. E. (eds) Atmospheric Rivers. Springer Nature. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-28906-5
Bozkurt, D., Rondanelli, R., Carrasco, J., et al., 2020. Informe de Síntesis: Simulaciones climáticas regionales para el continente Antártico. Center for Climate and Resilience Research (CR)2.
González, H. E., D. Bozkurt, F. Cereceda-Balic, R. Cordero, F. Fernandoy, J. L. Iriarte, S. MacDonell, J. McPhee, E. Poulin, A. Rivera y M. Schaefer, 2019. Criósfera Chilena y Antártica: Recomendaciones desde la evidencia científica. Comité científico COP25, mesa Criósfera y Antártica
Turuncoglu, U.U, Turkes, M., Bozkurt, D., Onol, B., Sen, O.L., Dalfes, H.N., 2018. Climate. In: Kapur S., Akca E., Gunal H. (eds) The Soils of Turkey. World Soils Book Series. Springer, Cham.
Garreaud, R., Aldunce, P., Araya, G., Blanco, G., Boisier, J.P., Bozkurt, D., Carmona, A., Christie, D.A., Farias, L., Gallardo, L., Galleguillos, M., GonzĞlez, M., Herrera, P., Huneeus, N., Jiménes, D., Lara, A., Latoja, D., Lillo, G., Masotti, I., Moraga, P., Nahuelhual, L., Paredes, P., Ossandn, J., Rojas, M., Urquiza, A., Yevenes, M., Zambrano, M. Informe a la Nacion: La megaseqiua 2010-2015: Una leccion para el futuro, 2015. Center for Climate and Resilience Research (CR)2.
Kindap, T., Unal, A., Ozdemir, H., Bozkurt, D., Turuncoglu, U.U., Demir, G., Tayanc, M., Karaca, M., 2015. Quantification of the urban heat island under a changing climate over Anatolian Peninsula. Human and Social Dimensions of Climate Change / Book 1, InTech ISBN 978-953-51-0847-4, Edited by Chhetri, N.