Publications

Peer Reviewed Papers in SCI-indexed Journals 

2024

• Bozkurt, D., Marín, J., Verdugo, C., Barrett, B., 2024. Atmospheric Blocking and Temperatures in the Antarctic Peninsula. Science of the Total Environment, 931, 172852, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.172852.

• Bozkurt, D., Carrasco, J., Cordero, R., Fernandoy, F., Gómez, A., Carrillo, B., Guan, B., 2024. Atmospheric river brings warmth and rainfall to the northern Antarctic Peninsula during the mid-austral winter of 2023. Geophysical Research Letters, accepted.  

• Francis, D., Fonseca, R., Bozkurt, D., Nelli, N., Guan, B. Atmospheric River Rapids and Their Role in the Extreme Rainfall Event of April 2023 in the Middle East. Geophysical Research Letters, accepted.  

• Carrasco-Escaff, T., Garreaud, R., Bozkurt, D., Jacques-Coper, M., Pauchard, A. The key role of extreme weather and climate change in the occurrence of exceptional fire seasons in south-central Chile. Weather and Climate Extremes, under review.

• Ding, Q., Wang, Z., Wu, R., Ballinger, T., Guan, B., Bozkurt, D., Nash, D., Baxter, I., Topal, D., Li, Z., Huang, G., Chen, W., Chen, S., Cao, X., Chen, Z., 2024. Role of atmospheric rivers in shaping long-term Arctic moisture variability. Nature Communications, under review.

• Ezber, Y., Bozkurt, D., Sen, O. L., 2024. Impact of atmospheric rivers on the winter snowpack in the headwaters of Euphrates-Tigris Basin. Climate Dynamics, under review.

• Torres, C., Bozkurt, D., Carrasco-Escaff, T., Bolibar, J., Arigony-Neto, J. New insights on the interannual surface mass balance variability on the South Shetland Islands glaciers, northern Antarctic Peninsula. Global and Planetary Change, under review.

• Wille, J., Alexander, S., Amory, C., Baiman, R., Barthélemy, L., Bergstorm, D. M., Berne, A., Binder, H., Blanchet, J., Bozkurt, D., and Coauthors, 2024. The extraordinary March 2022 East Antarctica “heat” wave. Part I: observations and meteorological drivers. Journal of Climate, 37, 757-778, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0175.1.

• Wille, J., Alexander, S., Amory, C., Baiman, R., Barthélemy, L., Bergstorm, D. M., Berne, A., Binder, H., Blanchet, J., Bozkurt, D., and Coauthors, 2024. The extraordinary March 2022 East Antarctica “heat” wave. Part II: impacts on the Antarctic ice sheet. Journal of Climate, 37, 779-799, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0176.1.

2023

• Garreaud, R., Bozkurt, D., Spangrude, C., Moss, G., Carrasco-Escaff, T., Rondanelli, R., Muñoz, R., Jubier, X., Lazzara, M., Keller, L., Rojo, P., 2023. Cooling the coldest continent: The 4 of December 2021 total solar eclipse over Antarctica. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 104, E2265-E2285, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0272.1.

• Aguirre, F., Bozkurt, D., Sauter, T., Carrasco, J., Schneider, C., Jaña, R., Casassa, G., 2023. Snow cover variability in Brunswick Peninsula, Patagonia, derived from a combination of spectral fusion, mixture analysis and temporal interpolation of MODIS data. Remote Sensing, 15(22), 5430; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs15225430.

• Torres, C., Bozkurt, D., Arigony-Neto, J., 2023. Large-scale and regional climatic influences on surface temperature and precipitation in the South Shetland Islands, northern Antarctic Peninsula. Anais da Academia Brasileira de Ciências,  18;95(suppl 3):e20230685, 10.1590/0001-3765202320230685. 

• Clem, K. R., Adusumilli, S., Baiman, R., Banwell, A. F., Barreira, S., Beadling, R. L., Bozkurt, D. and Coauthors, 2023: Antarctica and the Southern Ocean. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 104, S322–S365, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0077.1.

• Seguel, R. J., Garreaud, R., Muñoz, R., Bozkurt, D., Gallardo, L., Opazo, C., Jorquera, H., Castillo, L., Menares, C., 2023. Volatile organic compounds measured by proton transfer reaction mass spectrometry over the complex terrain of Quintero Bay, Central Chile. Environmental Pollution, 330, 121759, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envpol.2023.121759.

• Francis, D., Fonseca, R., Nelli, N., Bozkurt, D., Cuesta, J., Bosc, E., 20223 On the Middle East’s severe dust storms in spring 2022: Triggers and impacts. Atmospheric Environment, 296, 119539, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2022.119539.

• Carrasco-Escaff, T., Rojas, M., Garreaud, R., Bozkurt, D., and Schaefer, M., 2023. Climatic control of the surface mass balance of the Patagonian Icefields. The Cryosphere, 17, 1127-1149, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-1127-2023.

2022

• Bozkurt, D., Marín, J., Barrett, B., 2022.  Temperature and moisture transport during atmospheric blocking patterns around the Antarctic Peninsula.  Weather and Climate Extremes, 38, 100506, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2022.100506. 

• Sapiains, R., Azócar, G., Moraga, P., Valenzuela-Roa, C., Aldunce, P., Cornejo, C., Rojas, M., Pulgar, A., Medina, L., Bozkurt, D., 2022. Are citizens ready for active climate engagement or stuck in a game of  blame? Local perceptions of climate action and citizen participation in Chilean Patagonia. Sustainability, 14 (19), 12034,  https://doi.org/10.3390/su141912034.

• Clem, K., Bozkurt, D., Kennett, D., King, J. C., Turner, J., 2022. Central tropical Pacific convection drives extreme high temperatures and surface melt on the Larsen C Ice Shelf, Antarctic Peninsula. Nature Communications, 13, 3906, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-31119-4.

• Francis, D., Fonseca, R., Nelli, N., Bozkurt, D., Picard, G., Guan, B., 2022. Atmospheric rivers drive exceptional Saharan dust transport towards Europe. Atmospheric Research,  266, 105959, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2021.105959.

• Marín, J., Bozkurt, D., Barrett, B., 2022. Atmospheric blocking trends and seasonality around the Antarctic Peninsula. Journal of Climate, 35(12), 3803-3818, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0323.1.

2020-2021

• Clem, K. R., M. MacFerrin, D. Kennett, D. Bozkurt, and T. Scambos, 2021:  Record warmth and surface melt on the Antarctic Peninsula in February 2020 [in “State of the Climate in 2021”]. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 102 (8), S328–S329, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0081.1.

• Bravo, C., Bozkurt, D., Ross, A.N., Quincey, D., 2021. Projected increases in surface melt and ice loss for the Northern and Southern Patagonian Icefields., Scientific Reports, 11, 16847 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-95725-w.

• Scheiter, M., Schaefer, M., Flández, E., Bozkurt, D., and Greve, R., 2021. The 21st-century fate of the Mocho-Choshuenco ice cap in southern Chile, The Cryosphere, 15, 3637–3654, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-3637-2021.

• Xu, M., Yu, L., Liang, K., Vilma, T., Bozkurt, D., Hu, X., and Yang, Q., 2021. Dominant role of vertical air flows in the unprecedented warming on the Antarctic Peninsula in February 2020. Commun Earth Environ 2, 133 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-021-00203-w.

• Demortier, A., Bozkurt, D., Jacques-Coper, M., 2021. Identifying key driving mechanisms of heat waves in central Chile, Climate Dynamics, 57, 2415–2432. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05810-z.

• Carrasco, J., Bozkurt, D., Cordero, R., 2021.  A review of the observed air temperature in the Antarctic Peninsula. Did the warming trend come back the after early 21st hiatus? Polar Science, in press, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.polar.2021.100653.

• Bozkurt, D., Sen, O. L., Ezber, Y., Guan, B., Viale, M., Caglar, F., 2021. Influence of African Atmospheric Rivers on Precipitation and Snowmelt in the Near East's Highlands.  JGR-Atmospheres, 126, e2020JD033646. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JD033646.

• Bozkurt, D., Bromwich, D. H., Carrasco, J., Rondanelli, R., 2021. Temperature and precipitation projections for the Antarctic Peninsula over the next two decades: Contrasting global and regional climate model simulations.  Climate Dynamics, 56,  3853-3874. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05667-2.

• Bozkurt, D., Bromwich, D. H., Carrasco, J., Hines, K. M., Maureira, J. C., Rondanelli,  R., 2020. Recent near-surface temperature trends in the Antarctic Peninsula from observed, reanalysis and regional climate model data. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 37, 477-493. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-020-9183-x.

2019

• Bozkurt, D., Rojas, M., Boisier, J.B., Rondanelli, R., Garreaud, R., Gallardo, L., 2019. Dynamical downscaling over the complex terrain of southwest South America: Present climate conditions and added value analysis. Climate Dynamics, 53, 6745–6767, doi:10.1007/s00382-019-04959-y.

• Bozkurt, D., Ezber, Y., Sen, O.L., 2019. Role of the East Asian Trough on the eastern Mediterranean temperature variability in early spring and the extreme case of 2004 warm spell. Climate Dynamics, 53(3-4), 2309–2326, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04847-5.

• Rondanelli, R., Hatchett, B., Rutllant, J., Bozkurt, D., Garreaud, R. Strongest MJO on record triggers extreme Atacama rainfall and warmth in Antarctica. Geophysical Research Letters, 46(6), 3482-3491, https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL081475. 

• Sen, O.L., Ezber, Y., Bozkurt, D., 2019. Euro-Mediterranean Climate Variability in Boreal Winter: A Potential Role of the East Asian Trough. Climate Dynamics, 52(11), 7071–7084, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4573-9.

• Bravo, C., Bozkurt, D., Gonzalez-Reyes, A., Quincey, D., Ross, A.N., Farías, D., Rojas, M. Assessing Snow Accumulation Patterns and Changes on the Patagonian Icefields. Frontiers in Environmental Science,  7(1), 30, doi: 10.3389/fenvs.2019.00030.

• Barria, P., M. Rojas, P. Moraga, A. Muñoz, D. Bozkurt, C. Alvarez, 2019: Anthropocene and streamflow: Long-term perspective of streamflow variability and water rights. Elementa: Science of the Anthropocene, 7(1), p.2. DOI: http://doi.org/10.1525/elementa.340.

2018

• Bozkurt, D., Rojas, M., Boisier, J.P., Valdivieso, J., 2018. Projected hydroclimate changes over Andean basins in central Chile from downscaled CMIP5 models under the low and high emission scenarios. Climatic Change, 150, 131-147, doi:10.1007/s10584-018-2246-7.

• Xoplaki, E., Luterbacher, J., Wagner, S., Zorita, E., Fleitmann, D., Preiser-Kapeller, J., Sargent, A.M., White, S., Toreti, A., Haldon, J.F., Mordechai, L., Bozkurt, D., Akcer-On, S., Izdebski, A., 2018. Modelling Climate and Societal Resilience in the Eastern Mediterranean in the Last Millennium. Human Ecology, 46, 363-379. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10745-018-9995-9. 

• Bozkurt, D., Rondanelli, R., Marín, J., Garreaud, R., 2018. Foehn event triggered by an atmospheric river underlies record-setting temperature along continental Antarctica. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 123(8) 3871-3892, https://doi.org/10.1002/2017JD027796. 

2016-2017

• Bozkurt, D., Rojas, M., Boisier, J.P., Valdivieso, J., 2017. Climate change impacts on hydroclimatic regimes and extremes over Andean basins in central Chile. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions. doi:10.5194/hess-2016-690 (preprint).

• Bozkurt, D., Rondanelli, R., Garreaud, R., Arriagada, A., 2016. Impact of warmer eastern tropical Pacific SST on the March 2015 Atacama floods. Monthly Weather Review, 144 (11), 4441-4460, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-16-0041.1. 

2013-2015

• Bozkurt, D., Sen, O.L., Hagemann, S., 2015. Projected river discharge in the Euphrates-Tigris Basin from a hydrological discharge model forced with RCM and GCM outputs. Climate Research, 62, 131-147, https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01268. 

• Sen, O.L., Gokturk, O.M, Bozkurt, D., 2015. Changing climate: a great challenge for Turkey. Journal of the Black Sea/Mediterranean Environment, Special Issue 21, 97-103. 

• Onol, B., Bozkurt, D., Turuncoglu, U.U., Sen, O.L., Dalfes, H.N., 2013. Evaluation of the 21st century RCM simulations driven by multiple GCMs over the Eastern Mediterranean-Black Sea region. Climate Dynamics, 42, 1949-1965, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-1966-7. 

• Sen, O.L., Bozkurt, D., Vogler, J.B., Ziegler, A.D., Fox, J., Giambelluca, T.W., 2013. Hydro-climatic effects of future land-cover/land-use change in montane mainland southeast Asia. Climatic Change, 118 (2), 213-226, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-012-0632-0.

• Bozkurt, D., Sen, O.L., 2013. Climate change impacts in the Euphrates-Tigris Basin based on different model and scenario simulations. Journal of Hydrology, 480, 149-161, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2012.12.021. 

2011-2012

• Bozkurt, D., Turuncoglu, U., Sen, O.L., Onol, B., Dalfes, H.N., 2012. Downscaled simulations of the ECHAM5, CCSM3 and HadCM3 global models for the eastern Mediterranean-Black Sea region: Evaluation of the reference period. Climate Dynamics, 39 (1-2), 207-225, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-011-1187-x. 

• Sen, O.L., Unal, A., Bozkurt, D., Kindap, T., 2011. Temporal changes in the Euphrates and Tigris discharges and teleconnections. Environmental Research Letters, 6 024012 DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/6/2/024012. 

• Bozkurt, D., Sen, O.L., 2011. Precipitation in the Anatolian Peninsula: sensitivity to increased SSTs in the surrounding seas. Climate Dynamics, 36 (3-4), 711-726, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-009-0651-3. 

2008

• Gokturk, O.M, Bozkurt, D., Sen, O.L., Karaca, M., 2008. Quality control and homogeneity of Turkish precipitation data. Hydrological Process, 22 (16), 3210-3218, https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.6915.

Technical Reports and Chapter in Book 

• Rutz, J. J., Guan, B., Bozkurt, D., Gorodetskaya, I. V., et al., 2020. Global and regional perspectives. In: Ralph, F. M., Dettinger, M. D., Rutz, J. J., Waliser, D. E. (eds) Atmospheric Rivers. Springer Nature. Springer, Cham.  https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-28906-5 

• Bozkurt, D., Rondanelli, R., Carrasco, J., et al., 2020. Informe de Síntesis: Simulaciones climáticas regionales para el continente Antártico. Center for Climate and Resilience Research (CR)2. 

• González, H. E., D. Bozkurt, F. Cereceda-Balic, R. Cordero, F. Fernandoy, J. L. Iriarte, S. MacDonell, J. McPhee, E. Poulin, A. Rivera y M. Schaefer, 2019. Criósfera Chilena y Antártica: Recomendaciones desde la evidencia científica. Comité científico COP25, mesa Criósfera y Antártica 

• Turuncoglu, U.U, Turkes, M., Bozkurt, D., Onol, B., Sen, O.L., Dalfes, H.N., 2018. Climate. In: Kapur S., Akca E., Gunal H. (eds) The Soils of Turkey. World Soils Book Series. Springer, Cham. 

• Garreaud, R., Aldunce, P., Araya, G., Blanco, G., Boisier, J.P., Bozkurt, D., Carmona, A., Christie, D.A., Farias, L., Gallardo, L., Galleguillos, M., GonzĞlez, M., Herrera, P., Huneeus, N., Jiménes, D., Lara, A., Latoja, D., Lillo, G., Masotti, I., Moraga, P., Nahuelhual, L., Paredes, P., Ossandn, J., Rojas, M., Urquiza, A., Yevenes, M., Zambrano, M. Informe a la Nacion: La megaseqiua 2010-2015: Una leccion para el futuro, 2015. Center for Climate and Resilience Research (CR)2. 

• Kindap, T., Unal, A., Ozdemir, H., Bozkurt, D., Turuncoglu, U.U., Demir, G., Tayanc, M., Karaca, M., 2015. Quantification of the urban heat island under a changing climate over Anatolian Peninsula. Human and Social Dimensions of Climate Change / Book 1, InTech ISBN 978-953-51-0847-4, Edited by Chhetri, N.