S&P 500 as Percent Dividend Discount Value Model: 1978 - October 2020

The S&P 500 Dividend Discount Model here simply divides the current level of S&P 500 Dividends by the average Thirty Year Treasury yield for that month as the discount rate. The period of March 2002 to January 2006 when the Thirty Year Treasury was not traded is estimated by splicing a trend of the change in yield across that 48 month period. October cash month-end S&P 500 to Dividend Discount Value was 89.21%. Average percent value of the S&P 500 to this dividend discount model over the entire period to October 2020 is 248.25%.

See also: S&P 500 Dividends: Percent Annual Increase By Month 1979 - October 2020


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