Articles

1. "Deciphering Delphic Guidance: The Bank of England and Brexit” (2024), with J. S. Chadha, A. Hantzsche, S. Goel and S. Mellina, IMF Working Paper Series, forthcoming [NEW]  

Related posts [UK in a Changing Europe blog] [NIESR Blog] 

2. “New Evidence from Structural Okun Law’s Estimates for the Euro Area, 1979-2019” (2024) with Nauro F. Campos and F. Mitropoulos [previous version: LEQS Discussion Paper] [NEW]

Financial Economics

1. “Towards an understanding of credit cycles: do all credit booms cause crises?” (2019) [Article] [RCEA Working Paper] [LSE Systemic Risk Paper] with R. Barrell and D. Karim, The European Journal of Finance, 26(10) SI, 978-993

2. “Fundamentals versus market sentiments in the euro bond markets: Implications for QE” (2017) [European Parliament MP-D Paper] [LSE Financial Market Group Special Paper] with P. De Grauwe and Y. Ji, LSE Financial Market Group Special Paper, 12-2017

3. “European banking union” (2016) [Article] [LSE eprints] The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics. Online Edition. Eds. Steven N. Durlauf and Lawrence E. Blume. Palgrave Macmillan 

4. “Animal spirits and credit cycles” (2015) [Article] [CESIfo Working Paper] with P. De Grauwe, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 59(1), 95-117.

5. “Interaction between monetary policy and bank regulation: Theory and European practice” (2015) [European Parliament MP-D Paper] [LSE Systemic Risk Paper] with E. Gerba, LSE Systemic Risk Centre Special Papers, no. 10

6. “Bond Market Co-Movements, Expected Inflation and the GBP-USD Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate” (2014) [Article] [ECB Working Paper] The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 54(2), 242–256.

7.  “On the Join Test of the Uncovered Interest Parity and the Ex-Ante Purchasing Power Parity” (2013) [Article] [previous version: ECB Working Paper] Review of International Economics, 21(3), 519-535.

Business Cycle

1. "Economic Costs of the Russia-Ukraine War" (2022), with P. Mortimer-Lee, I. Liadze and P. Sanchez-Juanino, [Article] [NIESR Policy Paper] The World Economy, 46 (4): 874-886 [NEW] 

Related posts [Barron's] [LSE British Politics and Policy] [Brave New Europe] [The Economics Observatory]

2. “Greece 2010-18: What could have been done differently” (2022) with C. Lenoel and G. Young, [Article] [GreeSE LSE Hellenic Observatory Paper], Open Economies Review, 34 (1): 281–315. 

3. “The Dynamics of Core and Periphery in the European Monetary Union: A New Approach” (2021) [Article] [previous version: LEQS Discussion Paper] with N. Campos, Journal of International Money and Finance, 112(1) 

Related posts [VoxEU.org] [LSE Business Review]

4. “The United Kingdom and the Stability of the Euro Area: From Maastricht to Brexit” (2020), [Article] [LEQS Discussion Paper] [NIESR Discussion Paper] [previous version: European Parliament MP-D Paper] with N. Campos, The World Economy, 43(7), 1792-1808 

Related posts [VoxEU.org] [LSE EUROPP]  

5. “Core and Periphery in the European Monetary Union: Bayoumi-Eichengreen 25 Years Later” (2016) [Article] [LEQS Discussion Paper] with N. Campos, Economics Letters, 147(1), 127-130 [VoxEU.org] [World Economic Forum]

6. “Similar GDP-inflation cycles. An application to CEE countries and the euro area” (2013) [Article] [ECB Working Paper] Research in International Business and Finance, 27(1), 124-144.

7. “Estimating Poland’s Potential Output: A Production Function Approach” (2010) [IMF Working Paper] with N. Epstein, IMF Working Paper Series, no. 10/15.

Panel Data & Surveys

1. "Transition dynamics in European labour markets during crisis and recovery” (2019) [Article] [LSE eprints] with V. Monastiriotis and N. Lampropoulou, Comparative Economic Studies, 61(2), 213–234 

Related posts [LSE Business Review] 

2. “The Impact of Income and Health on the Economic Decision to Retire (Early)” (2016) [Brunel University Working Paper] [previous version(s): LEQS Discussion Paper; ECB Working Paper] with T. Aranki, Brunel University Economics and Finance Working Paper No. 16-17, October.

3. “Differently unequal: zooming-in on the distributional consequences of the crisis in euro area countries” (2015) [Article] [LEQS Discussion Paper] with M. D’Errico and R. Serafini, Economic Modelling, 48(1) SI, 93–115  

4. “Transitions in labour market status in EU labour markets” (2014) [Article] [IZA DIscussion Paper] [LEQS Discussion Paper] with M. Ward-Warmedinger, IZA Journal of European Labor Studies, 3(17), 1-25.

Related posts [Box 2 - ECB Monthly Bulletin (May 2011)] [Box 8 - ECB Monthly Bulletin (March 2011)] 

Political Economy

1. "Exogenous shocks and proactive resilience in the EU: The case of the Recovery and Resilience Facility" (2022), with A. Bartzokas and R. Giacon [United Nations University - MERIT] [LSE EIQ Discussion Paper] Maastricht Economic and social Research institute on Innovation and Technology (UNU‐MERIT) Working Paper 2022-025. 

2. “Serendipity or a missed chance? On the interaction between vaccine distribution and the EU Recovery Funds” (2021) [Article] [LEQS Discussion Paper] with R. Giacon, The Economists’ Voice, 18(1) 

Related posts [LSE EUROPP] [NIESR Blog] [Il Sole 24 ore]

3. “Brexit and the Future of the Eurozone” (2017) [Article] with N. Campos, International Corporate Rescue, 14(6), 458-459. 

1. “Covid-19: Industry Level Origins of Changes in Economic Welfare” [PPT Presentation] [Economic Observatory] (2020), with H. S. Bhamra (Imperial College) and K. Whyte (NIESR)

2. “Financial frictions and housing collateral constraints in a macro model with heuristics” [Brunel University Research Archive] (2018), with P. De Grauwe (LSE)

3. “Reconsidering the Uncovered Interest Parity” (2016), [PPT Presentation] with F. C. Bagliano (University of Turin) and C. A. Favero (Bocconi University)