Enterprise AI Wave

Cyclefund Analysis of IBM Structure and Financial Performance FY 2016 Q1

IBM Case Study (December 2015 – February 2016)


Mark Cummings PhD

Chief Investment Strategist

Cyclefund Research

Oakdale, California


Primary Essay

Late January 2016 essay on the Cyclefund Strategic Positioning Framework for the IBM Cognitive Cloud Service Stack for 2016 entitled, IBM is Best Positioned to Lead the Enterprise AI Wave"

Key Insights from the Late January 2016 Essay on IBM

As of this writing in mid-January of 2016, global equity markets are experiencing unprecedented declines, with stocks of many leading technology companies plummeting ten to twenty percent during the first two weeks of the year.

IBM was clearly among the decliners. While beating expectations for top and bottom line performance, the company issued substantially weaker earnings guidance than analysts expected, sending its shares below $120 for the first time since the fourth quarter of 2009.

We believe that the mass exodus from IBM shares over the past two and one-half years by discouraged investors represents one of the best large-capitalization buying opportunities since Apple in mid-2013 and Google in early 2015, and we shall articulate the reasons for our view in the next several sections.


Related Essays

Mid-January 2016 essay on the Cyclefund Strategic Investment Framework for the IBM Cognitive Cloud Service Architecture for 2016 entitled, “Cognitive Cloud Taps Consumer, Things, and Enterprise Clouds”

Early January 2016 essay on the Cyclefund Strategic Innovation Framework for the IBM Cloud-AI Wave for 2016 and Beyond entitled, “Artificial Intelligence Cloud”

Mid-December 2015 essay on the Cyclefund Value Chain Framework for the IBM Global Value Chain System for the Cognitive Era entitled, “The New Era of Cognitive Things”


Big-Picture Frameworks

Cyclefund Cognitive Interaction Model between Humans and their Digital Assistants


Cyclefund Unified Cloud Framework for Wearable, Mobile, Home, and Industrial Things


Cyclefund 2020 Cognitive Things Innovation Cycle


Cyclefund 2015 Wearable Mobile Smart Suite Innovation Cycle


Cyclefund 2010 Mobile Smartphone Innovation Cycle


Strategic Innovation & Evolution Frameworks


Cyclefund Strategic Innovation & Evolution Framework for the Enterprise AI Wave


Cyclefund Strategic Innovation & Evolution Framework for the Enterprise AI Wave for IBM


Cyclefund Strategic Innovation & Evolution Framework for the Post-PC Wave


Cyclefund Strategic Innovation & Evolution Framework for the Post-PC Wave for Apple


Cyclefund Strategic Innovation & Evolution Framework for the PC Wave


Cyclefund Strategic Innovation & Evolution Framework for the PC Wave for Microsoft


Strategic Investment Frameworks


Cyclefund Consumer, Things, Enterprise, and Cognitive Cloud Architecture


Cyclefund Cognitive Cloud Investment Opportunities by Brand


Cyclefund Cognitive Cloud Investment Opportunities by Category


Value Chain Competency Frameworks


Cyclefund Cognitive Cloud Value Chain Competencies


Cyclefund Cognitive Cloud Service Value Chain Competencies for IBM


Cyclefund Cognitive Cloud Infrastructure Value Chain Competencies for IBM


Strategic & Competitive Positioning Frameworks

Cyclefund Complete Cognitive Cloud Service Stack for IBM for 2016 and Beyond




Cyclefund Top IBM Competitors across the Cognitive Cloud Service Stack



Cyclefund Intelligent Cloud Services Competitive Positioning Matrix with Differentiation Highlights