Research

Publications

• "Did the COVID-19 Recession Increase the Demand for Digital Occupations in the United States? Evidence from Employment and Vacancies Data" - with Jiaming Soh (U of Michigan) and Myrto Oikonomou, Ippei Shibata, Marina Tavares (all IMF)-  Accepted at IMF Economic Review -   Link to PDF - Online Appendix

Previous version as IMF Working Paper  Link to IMF WP 

• "Job polarization and the declining wages of young female workers in the United Kingdom"  with Era Dabla-Norris (IMF) and Jay Rappaport (Georgetown Law School) - 2023 - forthcoming on Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics - Link to Published Version  - Working Paper PDF

Previously circulated as "Job Polarization and the Declining Fortunes of the Young"  IMF Working Paper 19/216

• "Has COVID-19 Induced Labor Market Mismatch?  Evidence from the US and the UK" - 2023 - with Ippei Shibata (IMF) - Labour Economics, 81 - Link to Published Version- Working paper PDF                                     

               Older version also circulated as IMF Working Paper 22/05

Coverage by:  New York Times ,  CNN,  AFP,  The National 

• "Subjective models of the macroeconomy: evidence from experts and a representative sample" - 2022 - with Peter Andre (briq), Johannes Wohlfart (University of Copenhagen) and Chris Roth (University of Cologne) - Review of Economic Studies, 89(6), 2958-2991 - Link to Published Version -  Working Paper PDF -  Instructions   

Coverage by: The New York Times

• "State dependence in labor market fluctuations."  -2020- with   Konstantinos Theodoridis (European Stability Mechanism) and   Francesco Zanetti (Oxford) - International Economic Review - Link to Published Version - Working Paper PDF  - Online Appendix 

Working papers

• "Labor Market Exposure to AI: Cross-country Differences and Distributional Implications" - with Augustus Panton, Marina Mendes Tavares, Mauro Cazzaniga (FGV-SP) and Longji Li -  Link to PDF

An earlier version circulated as IMF Working Paper 23/216  

• "Housing, borrowing constraints, and labor supply over the life cycle" - 2017 - PDF

• "Labor force composition and the aggregate matching function in the United Kingdom" with Bradley  Speigner (Bank of England) - 2018 - PDF 

An earlier version of the work is available as a BoE working paper.