Policy Work
Flagship Publications
Chapters
Regional Economic Outlook for Western Hemisphere, October 2021- Link
Chapter 2: Tax Policy for Inclusive Growth in Latin America and the Caribbean
Regional Economic Outlook for Western Hemisphere, October 2020 - Link
Chapter 2: COVID-19 in Latin America and the Caribbean
Chapter 3.: Latin American Labor Markets during COVID-19
Coverage by The Economist
Boxes
World Economic Outlook: April 2023 - Chapter 3: Box 3.1 Market Reforms to Promote Growth and Debt Sustainability - Link
World Economic Outlook: October 2022 - Chapter 1: Box 1.2: Market Power and Inflation during COVID-19 - Link
World Economic Outlook: April 2022 - Chapter 1: Box 1.1: The Puzzle of Tight Labor Markets - Link
Staff Discussion Notes
"Gen-AI: Artificial Intelligence and the Future of Work." - 2024 - SDN 2024/01 - Link
"Market Reforms and Public Debt Dynamics in Emerging Market and Developing Economies" - 2023 - SDN 2023/05 - Link
"Digitalization During the COVID-19 Crisis: Implications for Productivity and Labor Markets in Advanced Economies " - 2023 - SDN 2023/03 - Link
Launch event panel discussion at the Peterson Institute available on YouTube
Mentioning by Christine Lagarde, ECB President, in her 2023 speech at Jackson Hole
"Labor Market Tightness in Advanced Economies" - 2022 - SDN 2022/01 - Link
Launch event panel discussion at the Peterson Institute available on YouTube
Policy Working Papers
"The Impact of Reduced Commuting on Labor Supply and Household Welfare: A Post-Pandemic Analysis" - with Ji Yi, Myrto Oikonomou, Marina Mendes Tavares, and Ippei Shibata - IMF Working Paper 24/094 - Link
"Labor Market Exposure to AI: Cross-country Differences and Distributional Implications" - with Augustus Panton, Marina Mendes Tavares, Mauro Cazzaniga (FGV-SP) and Longji Li - IMF Working Paper 23/216 - Link
"Did the COVID-19 Recession Increase the Demand for Digital Occupations in the United States? Evidence from Employment and Vacancies Data" - with Jiaming Soh (U of Michigan) and Myrto Oikonomou, Ippei Shibata, Marina Tavares (all IMF)- IMF Working Paper 22/195 - Link
"Has COVID-19 induced labor market mismatch? Evidence from the US and the UK" - 2022 - with Ippei Shibata (IMF) - IMF Working Paper 22/5 - Link
Coverage by: New York Times , CNN, AFP, The National
"Assessing Banking and Currency Crisis Risk in Small States: an Application to the Eastern Caribbean Currency Union." - 2021- with Tariq Khan (IMF) and Kotaro Ishi (IMF) - IMF Working Paper 21/276 - Link
"COVID-19 and the Informality-driven Recovery: The Case of Colombia's Labor Market." - 2021 - with Jorge Alvarez (IMF) - IMF Working Paper 21/235 - Link
"Household Consumption Volatility and Poverty Risk: Case Studies from South Africa and Tanzania." - 2020 - with Matthieu Bellon (IMF) and Roberto Perrelli (IMF) - IMF Working Paper 20/51 - Link
"Job Polarization and the Declining Fortunes of the Young: Evidence from the United Kingdom." - 2019 - with Era Dabla-Norris (IMF) and Jay Rappaport (IMF) - IMF Working Paper 19/216 - Link
"Matching Efficiency and Labor Market Heterogeneity in the United Kingdom." -2017 - with Bradley Speigner (BoE) - Bank of England Working Paper 667 - Link
IMF Country Staff Reports and Selected Issues Papers
St. Vincent and the Grenadines, 2021: Rapid Credit Facility Request - Link
Colombia, 2021: Article IV: Selected Issues Paper: "Labor Market Impact from COVID-19 and the Uneven Recovery" - Link
Peru, 2021: Article IV - "Annex III: Labor Market Developments and Social Support Programs in Peru during the COVID-19 Pandemic" - Link
St. Vincent and the Grenadines, 2020: Rapid Credit Facility Request - Link
Barbados, 2019: Article IV and Second Review of the Extended Arrangement - Link
Barbados, 2019: First Review of the Extended Arrangement - Link
IMF Blog Posts
"Market Reforms Can Stabilize Debt and Foster Growth in Developing Countries" - with Gabriela Cugat - Link
"How Pandemic Accelerated Digital Transformation in Advanced Economies" - with Florence Jaumotte, Myrto Oikonomou, and Marina M. Tavares - Link
"Why Jobs are Plentiful While Workers are Scarce" - 2022 - with Ippei Shibata - Link
"Short-term Shot and Long-term Healing for Latin America and the Caribbean" - 2021 - with Alejandro Werner and Takuji Komatsuzaki - Link
"The Declining Fortunes of the Young" - 2020 - with Era Dabla-Norris and Jay Rappaport - Link
Blog Posts in Other Outlets
"What the AI revolution means for jobs, productivity and global prosperity" - LSE Inequalities blog series - Link
Podcasts
"Ippei Shibata and Carlo Pizzinelli on the Puzzling Labor Market " - February 2022 - Link
"Carlo Pizzinelli on How Consumers Chart Inflation" - September 2022 - Link
Finance & Development Magazine
"Hall of Mirrors: How Consumers Think about Inflation" - September 2022 Issue - Link
IMF Analytical Corner
Spring Meetings, April 2021: "COVID-19 and Labor Markets in Latin America" - Link