Flagship Publications
Chapters
Regional Economic Outlook for Western Hemisphere, October 2021- Link
Chapter 2: Tax Policy for Inclusive Growth in Latin America and the Caribbean
Regional Economic Outlook for Western Hemisphere, October 2020 - Link
Chapter 2: COVID-19 in Latin America and the Caribbean
Chapter 3.: Latin American Labor Markets during COVID-19
Coverage by The Economist
Boxes
World Economic Outlook: April 2025 - Chapter 2: Box 2.3 The Impact of AI for Older Workers - Link
World Economic Outlook: April 2023 - Chapter 3: Box 3.1 Market Reforms to Promote Growth and Debt Sustainability - Link
World Economic Outlook: October 2022 - Chapter 1: Box 1.2: Market Power and Inflation during COVID-19 - Link
World Economic Outlook: April 2022 - Chapter 1: Box 1.1: The Puzzle of Tight Labor Markets - Link
Staff Discussion Notes
"Gen-AI: Artificial Intelligence and the Future of Work." - 2024 - SDN 2024/01 - Link
Coverage: BBC, Bloomberg, El País, New York Post, Business Today, The Guardian, The Independent
"Market Reforms and Public Debt Dynamics in Emerging Market and Developing Economies" - 2023 - SDN 2023/05 - Link
"Digitalization During the COVID-19 Crisis: Implications for Productivity and Labor Markets in Advanced Economies " - 2023 - SDN 2023/03 - Link
Launch event panel discussion at the Peterson Institute available on YouTube
Mentioning by Christine Lagarde, ECB President, in her 2023 speech at Jackson Hole
"Labor Market Tightness in Advanced Economies" - 2022 - SDN 2022/01 - Link
Launch event panel discussion at the Peterson Institute available on YouTube
Policy Working Papers
"AI and Productivity in Europe" - with Florian Misch, Ben Park, and Galen Sher - IMF WP 2025/67 - Link
"The Labor Market Decisions of Older Workers in Ageing Economics: Evidence from Spain and the UK" - With Rodrigo Barrela (NOVA-Lisbon), Pragyan Deb, and Gloria Li - IMF WP 2025/030 - Link
Coverage by: The Telegraph
"Exposure to Artificial Intelligence and Occupational Mobility" - with Mauro Cazzaniga (FGV-SP), Emma Rockall (Stanford University) and Marina Mendes Tavares - IMF Working Paper 2024/116 - Link
"The Impact of Reduced Commuting on Labor Supply and Household Welfare: A Post-Pandemic Analysis" - with Ji Yi, Myrto Oikonomou, Marina Mendes Tavares, and Ippei Shibata - IMF Working Paper 24/094 - Link
"Labor Market Exposure to AI: Cross-country Differences and Distributional Implications" - with Augustus Panton, Marina Mendes Tavares, Mauro Cazzaniga (FGV-SP) and Longji Li - IMF Working Paper 23/216 - Link
"Did the COVID-19 Recession Increase the Demand for Digital Occupations in the United States? Evidence from Employment and Vacancies Data" - with Jiaming Soh (U of Michigan) and Myrto Oikonomou, Ippei Shibata, Marina Tavares (all IMF)- IMF Working Paper 22/195 - Link
"Has COVID-19 induced labor market mismatch? Evidence from the US and the UK" - 2022 - with Ippei Shibata (IMF) - IMF Working Paper 22/5 - Link
Coverage by: New York Times , CNN, AFP, The National
"Assessing Banking and Currency Crisis Risk in Small States: an Application to the Eastern Caribbean Currency Union." - 2021- with Tariq Khan (IMF) and Kotaro Ishi (IMF) - IMF Working Paper 21/276 - Link
"COVID-19 and the Informality-driven Recovery: The Case of Colombia's Labor Market." - 2021 - with Jorge Alvarez (IMF) - IMF Working Paper 21/235 - Link
"Household Consumption Volatility and Poverty Risk: Case Studies from South Africa and Tanzania." - 2020 - with Matthieu Bellon (IMF) and Roberto Perrelli (IMF) - IMF Working Paper 20/51 - Link
"Job Polarization and the Declining Fortunes of the Young: Evidence from the United Kingdom." - 2019 - with Era Dabla-Norris (IMF) and Jay Rappaport (IMF) - IMF Working Paper 19/216 - Link
"Matching Efficiency and Labor Market Heterogeneity in the United Kingdom." -2017 - with Bradley Speigner (BoE) - Bank of England Working Paper 667 - Link
IMF Country Staff Reports and Selected Issues Papers
Spain, 2025: Article IV Staff Report - Link
Spain 2025: Selected Issues Paper: "Exploring the Determinants of Early Retirement in Spain" - Link
Spain, 2024: Article IV Staff Report - Link
Spain 2024: Selected Issues Paper: "Dissecting Spain's Tax Revenue Boom." - Link
St. Vincent and the Grenadines, 2021: Rapid Credit Facility Request - Link
Colombia, 2021: Selected Issues Paper: "Labor Market Impact from COVID-19 and the Uneven Recovery" - Link
Peru, 2021: Article IV - "Annex III: Labor Market Developments and Social Support Programs in Peru during the COVID-19 Pandemic" - Link
St. Vincent and the Grenadines, 2020: Rapid Credit Facility Request - Link
Barbados, 2019: Article IV and Second Review of the Extended Arrangement - Link
Barbados, 2019: First Review of the Extended Arrangement - Link
IMF Analytical Corner
Spring Meetings, April 2021: "COVID-19 and Labor Markets in Latin America" - Link