Andrea Camilli

Welcome!

I am Senior Specialist at the Macro-Economic & Financial Research division of Prometeia.

I build and apply structural macroeconomic models to quantify how population ageing, the climate transition and macro-financial shocks shape growth, public finances and risk.

At Prometeia (Bologna) I am responsible for the multi-country general-equilibrium model and the OLG-based integrated assessment model, and I contribute to the international forecasting round. My work supports European institutions, banks and investors. Before Prometeia I was Lecturer in Economics at the University of Bath and post-doctoral fellow at the University of Milano-Bicocca. I hold a PhD in Economics from the Stockholm School of Economics.

What I work on

• Macro models & policy evaluation: general-equilibrium, OLG, DSGE and macro-econometric models for policy counterfactuals and forecasts.

• Demography, ageing & pensions: how ageing reshapes labour supply, saving, pensions, housing and interest rates.

• Risk & stress testing: macro-financial and climate scenarios, sovereign risk and model validation.

• Climate transition: transition and physical-risk scenarios, carbon pricing and intergenerational equity.

News

• 2025: new working paper, Welfare and Fiscal Effects of Adopting a Notional Defined Contribution Pension System under Population Aging (with M. Bartolini and S. Quaggiotto), SSRN.

• 2025: Revitalising EU growth: The power of competitive markets published in the Journal of Policy Modeling.