Publications
“Maternal Investments in Children: the Role of Expected Effort and Return,” with Sonia Bhalotra, Paulino Font Gilabert and Joanna Maselko. Link Accepted at Economic Journal
“Mortality Risk Information and Health Seeking Behavior During an Epidemic,” with Helene Purcell, Iliana V. Kohler, Alberto Ciancio, James Mwera, Victor Mwapasa, Hans-Peter Kohler. Link. Proceedings of National Academy of Sciences 2024, 121(28).
“Mortality Risk Information, Survival Expectations and Sexual Behaviors," with Alberto Ciancio, Hans-Peter Kohler and Iliana V. Kohler. Link. Economic Journal 2024
“Policy Uncertainty and Information Flows: Evidence from Pension Reform Expectations,” with Emanuele Ciani, Ben Etheridge and Marco Francesconi. Link Economic Journal 2023,133(649), 98-129.
“Expectations in Development Economics.” Chapter prepared for the Handbook of Economic Expectations, van der Klaauw, W., G. Topa, and R. Bachmann, Editors, Elsevier, 2022. Link
“Academic and non-Academic Investments at University: the Role of Expectations, Preferences and Constraints," with Emilia Del Bono and Angus Holford. Link. Journal of Econometrics 2022, 231(1), 74-97.
“University Choice: The Role of Expected Earnings, Non-pecuniary Outcomes and Financial Constraints,” with Basit Zafar. Link. Journal of Political Economy 2019, 127, 5: 2343-2393
“Gender Discrimination and Social Identity: Evidence from Urban Pakistan,” with Basit Zafar, Link Economic Development and Cultural Change 2019, 68, 1: 1-40.
“Information and Anti-American Attitudes,” with Basit Zafar. Link. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 2018, 149:1-31.
“Changes in Spending and in Labor Supply in Response to a Social Security Benefit Cut: An Analysis based on Stated Choice Data,” with Susann Rohwedder, Journal of the Economics of Aging 2017, 10(C): 34-50. Link
“Eliciting Survival Expectations of the Elderly in Low-Income Countries: Evidence From India,” with Jinkook Lee and Seetha Menon, Demography 2017, 54(2):673-699 Link
“HIV-related Expectations and Risky Sexual Behavior in Malawi,” with Hans-Peter Kohler, Review of Economic Studies, 2016, 83(1):118-164 Link
“The Impact of Repeat HIV Testing on Risky Sexual Behavior: Evidence from a Randomized Controlled Trial in Malawi,” with Neeraj Sood and Zachary Wagner, Journal of AIDS & Clinical Research, 2016, 07-03. Link
“Stereotypes and Madrassas: Experimental Evidence from Pakistan,” with Basit Zafar. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 2015, 118:247-267 Link
“Using Elicited Choice Probabilities in Hypothetical Elections to Study Decisions to Vote,” with Charles F. Manski. Electoral Studies, 2015, 38, 28–37. Link
“HIV-related social intolerance and risky sexual behavior in a high HIV prevalence environment,” with Mafalda Sampaio and Neeraj Sood. Social Science & Medicine, 2014, 111, 84–93. Link
“Probabilistic Expectations in Developing Countries,” Annual Review of Economics. 2014, 6, 1-20. Link
“Dementia and Out-of-Pocket Spending on Health Care Services,” with Paco Martorell, Michael Hurd and Ken Langa, Alzheimer’s & Dementia, 2013, 9, 1, 19-29.
“Monetary Costs of Dementia in the United States,” with Michael Hurd, Paco Martorell, Kathleen Mullen and Ken Langa. The New England Journal of Medicine, 2013, 368, 1326-34.
“Candidate Preferences and Expectations of Election Outcomes: Evidence from the American Life Panel,” with Charles F. Manski, Proceedings of National Academy of Sciences, 2012, 109, 10, 3711-3715.
“The impact of HIV Testing on Subjective Expectations and Risky Behavior in Malawi,” with Hans-Peter Kohler, Demography, 2012, 49, 3:1011-36. Link
“Differential survival in Europe and the US: Estimates based on subjective probabilities of survival,” with Susann Rohwedder, Demography. 2011, 48, 4, 1377-400 Link
“Marrying up: The Role of Sex Ratio in Assortative Matching,” with Ran Abramitzky and Luis Vasconcelos, 2011, American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 3, 3, 124–57. Link
“Individuals’ Uncertainty about Future Social Security Benefits and Portfolio Choice,” with Susann Rohwedder, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2011, 26, 3, 498-519. Link
“Eliciting Probabilistic Expectations with Visual Aids in Developing Countries: How sensitive are answers to variations in elicitation design?” with Xavier Gine and David McKenzie, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2011, 26, 3, 479–497. Link
“Measuring Subjective Expectations in Developing Countries: A Critical Review and New Evidence” with Xavier Gine and David McKenzie, Journal of Development Economics, 2011, 94, 151–163. Link
“Criminal Prosecution and HIV-related Risky Behavior,” with Dana Goldman and Neeraj Sood, Journal of Law and Economics, 2010, 53, 4, 741-782. Link
“Probabilistic Polling and Voting in the 2008 Presidential Election: Evidence from the American Life Panel,” with Charles F. Manski, Public Opinion Quarterly, 2010, 74, 3, 433-459. Link
“Subjective Expectations in the Context of HIV/AIDS in Malawi,” with Hans-Peter Kohler, Demographic Research, 2009, Vol 20, 31. Link
“Eliciting Subjective Probabilities in Internet Surveys,” with Susann Rohwedder, Public Opinion Quarterly, 2008, Vol. 72, 5, 866-891. Link
“Pill, Patch or Shot? Subjective Expectations and Birth Control Choice,” International Economic Review, 2008, Vol. 49, 3, 999-1042. Link
“Measuring Revisions to Subjective Expectations,” Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 2008, Vol. 36, 1, 43-82 Link