Publications
Applied Econometrics
A Practical Guide to Shift-Share Instruments, with Kirill Borusyak & Xavier Jaravel
Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2025 [Paper] [Appendix]
Design-Based Identification with Formula Instruments: A Review, with Kirill Borusyak & Xavier Jaravel
Econometrics Journal, 2025 [Paper]
Contamination Bias in Linear Regressions, with Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham & Michal Kolesár
American Economic Review, 2024 [Paper] [Appendix] [Code] [Bluesky thread]
Negative Weights are no Concern in Design-Based Specifications, with Kirill Borusyak
AEA Papers and Proceedings, 2024 [Paper] [Appendix] [Twitter thread]
Non-Random Exposure to Exogenous Shocks, with Kirill Borusyak
Econometrica, 2023 [Paper] [Twitter thread] [Longer working paper] [Code]
Methods for Measuring School Effectiveness, with Joshua Angrist & Christopher Walters
Handbook of the Economics of Education, 2023 [Paper] [Code]
Quasi-Experimental Shift-Share Research Designs, with Kirill Borusyak & Xavier Jaravel
Review of Economic Studies, 2022 [Paper] [Appendix] [Code]
Discrimination
Unwarranted Racial Disparity in U.S. Foster Care Placement, with E. Jason Baron, Joseph J. Doyle, Jr., & Natalia Emanuel
Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, 2025 [Paper] [Appendix] [Bluesky thread]
Unwarranted Disparity in High-Stakes Decisions: Race Measurement and Policy Responses, with E. Jason Baron, Joseph J. Doyle, Jr., Natalia Emanuel, & Joseph Ryan
CRIW Race, Ethnicity, and Economic Statistics for the 21st Century, Forthcoming [Paper]
Systemic Discrimination: Theory and Measurement, with J. Aislinn Bohren & Alex Imas
Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2025 [Paper] [Appendix] [Data and code] [Twitter thread]
Building Non-Discriminatory Algorithms in Selected Data, with David Arnold & Will Dobbie
American Economic Review: Insights, 2025 [Paper] [Appendix] [Code] [Twitter thread]
Discrimination in Multi-Phase Systems: Evidence from Child Protection, with E. Jason Baron, Joseph J. Doyle, Jr., Natalia Emanuel, & Joseph Ryan
Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2024 [Paper] [Appendix] [Code] [Twitter thread]
Measuring Racial Discrimination in Bail Decisions, with David Arnold & Will Dobbie
American Economic Review, 2022 [Paper] [Appendix] [Code] [Twitter thread] [Presentation video]
Measuring Racial Discrimination in Algorithms, with David Arnold & Will Dobbie
AEA Papers and Proceedings, 2021 [Paper] [Appendix] [Code]
Education
"Something Works" in U.S. Jails: Misconduct and Recidivism Effects of the IGNITE Program, with Marcella Alsan, Arkey Barnett, & Crystal Yang
Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2025 [Paper] [Appendix] [Code] [Non-technical summary] [Twitter thread]
Race and the Mismeasure of School Quality, with Joshua Angrist, Parag Pathak, & Christopher Walters
American Economic Review: Insights, 2024 [Paper] [Appendix] [Code] [Twitter thread]
Credible School Value-Added with Undersubscribed School Lotteries, with Joshua Angrist, Parag Pathak, & Christopher Walters
Review of Economics and Statistics, 2024 [Paper] [Appendix] [Code] [Twitter thread]
Leveraging Lotteries for School Value-Added: Testing and Estimation, with Joshua Angrist, Parag Pathak, & Christopher Walters
Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2017 [Paper] [Appendix] [Code]
Charters Without Lotteries: Testing Takeovers in New Orleans and Boston, with Atila Abdulkadiroğlu, Joshua Angrist, & Parag Pathak
American Economic Review, 2016 [Paper] [Appendix] [Code] [Video]
Interpreting Tests of School VAM Validity, with Joshua Angrist, Parag Pathak, & Christopher Walters
American Economic Review: Papers & Proceedings, 2016 [Paper] [Code]
Healthcare
Instrumental Variables in Clinical Research: Just What the Doctor Ordered, with Joshua Angrist & Carol Gao
Journal of the American Medical Association, forthcoming
Instrumental Variables in Randomized Trials, with Joshua Angrist, Carol Gao, & Robert Yeh
NEJM Evidence, 2025 [Paper]
Instrumental Variables Methods Reconcile Intention-to-Screen Effects Across Pragmatic Cancer Screening Trials, with Joshua Angrist
PNAS, 2023 [Paper] [Appendix] [Code] [Twitter thread]
Geographic Access to Federally Qualified Health Centers Before and After the Affordable Care Act, with Caroline Behr, John Hsu, Joseph Newhouse, & Vicki Fung
BMC Health Services Research, 2022 [Paper]
Mortality Effects and Choice Across Private Health Insurance Plans, with Jason Abaluck, Mauricio Caceres Bravo, & Amanda Starc
Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2021 [Paper] [Appendix] [Code] [Twitter thread] [Summary video]
Payment Discrepancies and Access to Primary Care Physicians for Dual-Eligible Medicare-Medicaid Beneficiaries, with Vicki Fung, Stephen McCarthy, Mary Price, Benjamin Lê Cook, John Hsu, & Joseph Newhouse
Medical Care, 2021 [Paper]
Assessment of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act's Increase in Fees for Primary Care and Access to Care for Dual-Eligible Beneficiaries, with Vicki Fung, Mary Price, Benjamin Lê Cook, John Hsu, & Joseph Newhouse
JAMA Open, 2021 [Paper]
The Impact of Funding for Federally Qualified Health Centers on Utilization and Emergency Department Visits in Massachusetts, with Catherine Myong, Mary Price, John Hsu, Joseph Newhouse, & Vicki Fung
PLOS One, 2020 [Paper]
Access to Care Among Medicaid and Uninsured Patients in Community Health Centers After the Affordable Care Act, with Veri Seo, Travis Baggett, Anne Thorndike, John Hsu, Joseph Newhouse, & Vicki Fung
BMC Health Services Research, 2019 [Paper]
Adjusting Risk Adjustment - Accounting for Variation in Diagnostic Intensity, with Amy Finkelstein, Matthew Gentzkow, & Heidi Williams
New England Journal of Medicine, 2017 [Paper] [Appendix] [Code] [Data]
Other Topics
Palgrave Companion to MIT Economics, 2025 [Paper]
Labor by Design: Contributions of David Card, Joshua Angrist, and Guido Imbens, with Michal Kolesár & Christopher Walters
Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 2022 [Paper]
Economic Shocks and Civil Conflict: Evidence from Foreign Interest Rate Movements, with Masami Imai
Journal of Development Economics, 2013 [Paper]
Does Taxation on Banks Mean Taxation on Bank-Dependent Borrowers? with Masami Imai
Economics Bulletin, 2012 [Paper]
Credit Ratings and Security Prices in the Subprime MBS Market, with Adam Ashcraft, Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, & James Vickery
American Economic Review: Papers & Proceedings, 2011 [Paper]