Peter Hull - Publications

Publications

Applied Econometrics

A Practical Guide to Shift-Share Instruments, w/Kirill Borusyak & Xavier Jaravel

Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2025 [Paper] [Appendix]

Design-Based Identification with Formula Instruments: A Review, w/Kirill Borusyak & Xavier Jaravel

Econometrics Journal, 2025 [Paper]

Contamination Bias in Linear Regressions, w/Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham & Michal Kolesár

American Economic Review, 2024 [Paper] [Appendix] [Code] [Bluesky thread]

Negative Weights are no Concern in Design-Based Specifications, w/Kirill Borusyak

AEA Papers and Proceedings, 2024 [Paper] [Appendix] [Twitter thread]

Non-Random Exposure to Exogenous Shocks, w/Kirill Borusyak

Econometrica, 2023 [Paper] [Twitter thread] [Longer working paper] [Code]

Methods for Measuring School Effectiveness, w/Joshua Angrist & Christopher Walters

Handbook of the Economics of Education, 2023 [Paper] [Code]

Quasi-Experimental Shift-Share Research Designs, w/Kirill Borusyak & Xavier Jaravel

Review of Economic Studies, 2022 [Paper] [Appendix] [Code]

Discrimination

Unwarranted Racial Disparity in U.S. Foster Care Placement, w/E. Jason Baron, Joseph J. Doyle, Jr., & Natalia Emanuel

Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, 2025 [Paper] [Appendix] [Bluesky thread]

Unwarranted Disparity in High-Stakes Decisions: Race Measurement and Policy Responses, w/E. Jason Baron, Joseph J. Doyle, Jr., Natalia Emanuel, & Joseph Ryan

CRIW Race, Ethnicity, and Economic Statistics for the 21st Century, Forthcoming [Paper]

Systemic Discrimination: Theory and Measurement, w/J. Aislinn Bohren & Alex Imas

Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2025 [Paper] [Appendix] [Data and code] [Twitter thread]

Building Non-Discriminatory Algorithms in Selected Data, w/David Arnold & Will Dobbie

American Economic Review: Insights, 2025 [Paper] [Appendix] [Code] [Twitter thread]

Discrimination in Multi-Phase Systems: Evidence from Child Protection, w/E. Jason Baron, Joseph J. Doyle, Jr., Natalia Emanuel, & Joseph Ryan

Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2024 [Paper] [Appendix] [Code] [Twitter thread]

Measuring Racial Discrimination in Bail Decisions, w/David Arnold & Will Dobbie

American Economic Review, 2022 [Paper] [Appendix] [Code] [Twitter thread] [Presentation video]

Measuring Racial Discrimination in Algorithms, w/David Arnold & Will Dobbie

AEA Papers and Proceedings, 2021 [Paper] [Appendix] [Code]

Education

"Something Works" in U.S. Jails: Misconduct and Recidivism Effects of the IGNITE Program, w/Marcella Alsan, Arkey Barnett, & Crystal Yang

Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2025 [Paper] [Appendix] [Code] [Non-technical summary] [Twitter thread]

Race and the Mismeasure of School Quality, w/Joshua Angrist, Parag Pathak, & Christopher Walters

American Economic Review: Insights, 2024 [Paper] [Appendix] [Code] [Twitter thread]

Credible School Value-Added with Undersubscribed School Lotteries, w/Joshua Angrist, Parag Pathak, & Christopher Walters

Review of Economics and Statistics, 2024 [Paper] [Appendix] [Code] [Twitter thread]

Leveraging Lotteries for School Value-Added: Testing and Estimation, w/Joshua Angrist, Parag Pathak, & Christopher Walters

Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2017 [Paper] [Appendix] [Code]

Charters Without Lotteries: Testing Takeovers in New Orleans and Boston, w/Atila Abdulkadiroğlu, Joshua Angrist, & Parag Pathak

American Economic Review, 2016 [Paper] [Appendix] [Code] [Video]

Interpreting Tests of School VAM Validity, w/Joshua Angrist, Parag Pathak, & Christopher Walters

American Economic Review: Papers & Proceedings, 2016 [Paper] [Code]

Healthcare

Instrumental Variables in Clinical Research: Just What the Doctor Ordered, w/Joshua Angrist & Carol Gao

Journal of the American Medical Association, forthcoming

Effect of Bundled Payments for Care Improvement Advanced on Hospital and CMS Spending, w/Andrew Ryan, Yan Lin, Jason Buxbaum, and Sukruth Shashikumar

Health Affairs, forthcoming

Instrumental Variables in Randomized Trials, w/Joshua Angrist, Carol Gao, & Robert Yeh

NEJM Evidence, 2025 [Paper]

Instrumental Variables Methods Reconcile Intention-to-Screen Effects Across Pragmatic Cancer Screening Trials, w/Joshua Angrist

PNAS, 2023 [Paper] [Appendix] [Code] [Twitter thread]

Geographic Access to Federally Qualified Health Centers Before and After the Affordable Care Act, w/Caroline Behr, John Hsu, Joseph Newhouse, & Vicki Fung

BMC Health Services Research, 2022 [Paper]

Mortality Effects and Choice Across Private Health Insurance Plans, w/Jason Abaluck, Mauricio Caceres Bravo, & Amanda Starc

Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2021 [Paper] [Appendix] [Code] [Twitter thread] [Summary video]

Payment Discrepancies and Access to Primary Care Physicians for Dual-Eligible Medicare-Medicaid Beneficiaries, w/Vicki Fung, Stephen McCarthy, Mary Price, Benjamin Lê Cook, John Hsu, & Joseph Newhouse

Medical Care, 2021 [Paper]

Assessment of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act's Increase in Fees for Primary Care and Access to Care for Dual-Eligible Beneficiaries, w/Vicki Fung, Mary Price, Benjamin Lê Cook, John Hsu, & Joseph Newhouse

JAMA Open, 2021 [Paper]

The Impact of Funding for Federally Qualified Health Centers on Utilization and Emergency Department Visits in Massachusetts, w/Catherine Myong, Mary Price, John Hsu, Joseph Newhouse, & Vicki Fung

PLOS One, 2020 [Paper]

Access to Care Among Medicaid and Uninsured Patients in Community Health Centers After the Affordable Care Act, w/Veri Seo, Travis Baggett, Anne Thorndike, John Hsu, Joseph Newhouse, & Vicki Fung

BMC Health Services Research, 2019 [Paper]

Adjusting Risk Adjustment - Accounting for Variation in Diagnostic Intensity, w/Amy Finkelstein, Matthew Gentzkow, & Heidi Williams

New England Journal of Medicine, 2017 [Paper] [Appendix] [Code] [Data]

Publications

Applied Econometrics

Discrimination

Education

Healthcare

Other Topics