Papers by Date
2023
A New Distribution Sensitive Index for Measuring Welfare, Poverty and Inequality, with Christoph Lakner, Berk Ozler, Benoit Decerf, Dean Jolliffe, Olivier Sterck and Nishant Yonzan. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 10470.
2022
Measuring Intragenerational Mobility Using Aggregate Data, with Roy Van der Weide, Journal of Economic Growth. 2022.
Earlier working paper version: Approximating Income Distribution Dynamics With Aggregate Data. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 8123. 2017
2021
The World Bank Human Capital Index, with Paul Corral, Nicola Dehnen, Ritika D'Souza and Roberta Gatti, in the Elsevier Handbook of Human Capital, edited by Barbara Fraumeni, forthcoming.
2020
Predicting Food Crises, with Bo Andree, Andres Chamorro, Phoebe Spencer and Dieter Wang. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 9412. 2020.
Towards Successful Development Policies: Insights from Research in Development Economics, with Erhan Artuc, Robert Cull, Susmita Dasgupta, Roberto Fattal Jaef, Deon Filmer, Xavier Gine, Hanan Jacoby, Dean Jolliffe, Hiau Looi Kee, Leora Klapper, Norman Loayza, David McKenzie, Berk Ozler, Vijayendra Rao, Bob Rijkers, Sergio Schmukler, Michael Toman, Adam Wagstaff, and Michael Woolcock. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 9133. 2020.
2019
A Socioeconomic Disaggregation of the World Bank Human Capital Index, with Ritika d'Souza and Roberta Gatti. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 9020. 2019.
The World Bank Human Capital Index: A Guide. World Bank Research Observer. 2019.
2018
Methodology for a World Bank Human Capital Index, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 8593. 2018
2017
Predicting Conflict, with Bledi Celiku. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 8075. 2017
2016
Do Random Response Questions Really Elicit Truthful Answers to Sensitive Questions? The Case of the Mississippi Personhood Initiative, with Peter Murrell
Good Countries or Good Projects? Macro and Micro Correlates of World Bank and Asian Development Bank Project Outcomes. with D. Bulman and W. Kolkma. Review of International Organizations.
Doing the Survey Two-Step: The Effects of Reticence on Estimates of Corruption in Two-Stage Survey Questions, with N. Karalashvili and P. Murrell, in Kaushik Basu and Tito Cordela, eds., International Economic Association Conference Volume on Institutions and Corruption.
Misunderestimating Corruption, with P. Murrell. Review of Economics and Statistics. 2016.
Growth Still Is Good for the Poor, with D. Dollar and T. Kleineberg. European Economic Review. 2016.
2015
Weak Instruments in Growth Regressions: Implications for Recent Cross-Country Evidence on Inequality and Growth. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 7494.
Aid, Disbursement Delays, and the Real Exchange Rate with A. Jarotschkin. IMF Economic Review. 2015
Growth, Inequality and Social Welfare, with D. Dollar and T. Kleineberg. Economic Policy, 2015.
2014
Government Spending Multipliers in Developing Countries: Evidence from Lending by Official Creditors. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics. 2014.
Predicting World Bank Project Outcomes, with P. Geli and H. Nobakht. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 7001.
Do Poverty Traps Exist?, with D. McKenzie, Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2014.
Crowding In and the Returns to Government Investment in Low-Income Countries, with M. Eden, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 6781
2013
Good Countries or Good Projects? Macro and Micro Correlates of World Bank Project Performance, with C. Denizer and D. Kaufmann, Journal of Development Economics, 2013
Can Specific Policy Indicators Identify Reform Priorities?, with N. Tawara, Journal of Economic Growth, 2013.
2012
Sovereign Defaults and Expropriations : Empirical Regularities , with M. Eden and R. Qian, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 6218.
How Large is the Government Spending Multiplier? Evidence from World Bank Lending , Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2012.
Does IDA Engage in Defensive Lending?, with Carolin Geginat, Review of Economics and Institutions, 2012.
2011
Corruption and Confidence in Public Institutions : Evidence from a Global Survey , with B. Clausen and Z. Nyiri, World Bank Economic Review, 2011.
The Worldwide Governance Indicators : Methodology and Analytical Issues , with D. Kaufmann and M. Mastruzzi, The Hague Journal of Rule of Law, 2011.
Does Respondent Retcence Affect the Result of Corruption Surveys? Evidence from the World Bank Enterprise Survey for Nigeria , with B.Clausen and P. Murrell, Edward Elgar Handbook of the Economics of Corruption, Vol 2, S. Rose-Ackerman and T. Soreide (eds), 2011.
2010
Response to "What Do the Worldwide Governance Indicators Measure?", with D. Kaufmann and M. Mastruzzi. European Journal of Development Research. 2010
Response to: “The Worldwide Governance Indicators: Six, One, or None ” , with D. Kaufmann and M. Mastruzzi.
Instrumental Variables Regressions with Uncertain Exclusion Restrictions: A Bayesian Approach, Journal of Applied Econometrics. 2010
For a tabulation of the posterior distribution of the structural slope coefficient for various degrees of uncertainty about the exclusion restriction, click here.
2009
Governance Matters VIII: Aggregate and Individual Governance Indicators 1996-2008 , with D. Kaufmann and M. Mastruzzi, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 4978.
2008
Governance Matters VII: Aggregate and Individual Governance Indicators 1996-2007 , with D. Kaufmann and M. Mastruzzi, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 4654.
Governance Indicators: Where Are We, And Where Should We Be Going? with D. Kaufmann, World Bank Research Observer. 2008
The Welfare Effects of a Large Depreciation: The Case of Egypt 2000-2005 , in The Egyptian Economy: Current Challenges and Future Prospects, H. Kheir-El-Din (ed.). 2008.
The Dot-Com Bubble, the Bush Deficits, and the US Current Account , with J. Ventura, NBER Conference Volume on Current Account Imbalances in G7 Countries, R. Clarida (ed.). 2008
2007
Governance Matters VI: Aggregate and Individual Governance Indicators 1996-2006 , with D. Kaufmann and M. Mastruzzi, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 4280.
The Worldwide Governance Indicators Project: Answering the Critics , with D. Kaufmann and M. Mastruzzi, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 4149.
Growth and Governance: A Reply , with D. Kaufmann and M. Mastruzzi Journal of Politics. 2007
Growth and Governance: A Rejoinder , with D. Kaufmann and M. Mastruzzi Journal of Politics. 2007
Who Gets Debt Relief? , with N. Depetris, Journal of the European Economic Association. 2007
Poverty Traps, Aid, and Growth , with C. Raddatz, Journal of Development Economics, 2007.
Comparative Advantage and the Cross-Section of Business Cycles, with J. Ventura, Journal of the European Economic Association. 2007
2006
Governance Matters V: Aggregate and Individual Governance Indicators 1996-2005 , with D. Kaufmann and M. Mastruzzi, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 4012.
When Is Growth Pro-Poor? Cross-Country Evidence . Journal of Development Economics. 2006
Aid, Growth, and Poverty , in The Macroeconomic Management of Foreign Aid, P. Isard et. al. (eds.), Washington: International Monetary Fund. 2006.
Neither a Borrower Nor a Lender : Does China's Zero Net Foreign Asset Position Make Economic Sense? with D. Dollar, Journal of Monetary Economics.
Product Quality, Productive Efficiency and International Technology Diffusion , with I. Soloaga and J. Tybout, in Global Integration and Technology Transfer, B. Hoekman and B. Javorcik, (eds.) (2006).
2005
Measuring Governance Using Perceptions Data , with D. Kaufmann and M. Mastruzzi, in Edward Elgar Handbook of Economic Corruption, S. Rose-Ackerman (ed.). 2005.
Governance Matters IV: Governance Indicators for 1996-2004 , with D. Kaufmann and M. Mastruzzi, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 3630.
What Has 100 Billion Dollars Worth of Debt Relief Done for Low Income Countries , with N. Chauvin, unpublished, The World Bank. 2005.
Country Portfolios , with N. Loayza, L. Servén and J. Ventura, Journal of the European Economic Association. 2005.
2004
Governance Matters III: Governance Indicators for 1996-2002 , with D. Kaufmann and M. Mastruzzi, World Bank Economic Review. 2004.
Trade, Growth, and Poverty , with D. Dollar, The Economic Journal, 2004.
2003
Institutions, Trade, and Growth: Revisiting the Evidence , with D. Dollar, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 3004.
2002
Governance Matters II: Updated Governance Indicators for 2000-01 , with D. Kaufmann and P. Zoido-Lobatón, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 2772.
Growth without Governance , with D. Kaufmann, Economia. 2002.
Growth is Good for the Poor , with D. Dollar, Journal of Economic Growth. 2002.
Institutions, Trade and Growth , with D. Dollar, Carnegie Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy. 2002.
Trade Integration and Risk Sharing , with J. Ventura, European Economic Review 2002
Current Accounts in the Long and Short Run , with J. Ventura, NBER Macro Annual. 2002
Do High Interest Rates Defend Currencies during Speculative Attacks? Journal of International Economics . 2002
Product Prices and the OECD Cycle , with J. Ventura, B.E. Journals in Macroeconomics, Advances in Macroeconomics. 2002
2001
Spreading the Wealth , with D. Dollar. Foreign Affairs.
2000
Current Accounts in Debtor and Creditor Countries , with J. Ventura, Quarterly Journal of Economics. 2000.
Household Saving in China , World Bank Economic Review . 2000.
1999
Governance Matters , with D. Kaufmann and P. Zoido-Lobatón, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 2196.
Aggregating Governance Indicators , with D. Kaufmann and P. Zoido-Lobatón, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 2195.
Small States, Small Problems , with W. Easterly, World Development. 1999.
1998
Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation with Spatially-Dependent Panel Data , with J. Driscoll, Review of Economics and Statistics. 1998.
Growth Forecasts Using Time Series and Growth Models , with G. Monokroussos, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 2224 .
In Search of the Macroeconomic Effects of Capital Account Liberalization. Unpublished, The World Bank.