From the June 04, 2023 American Horseshoe Crab quadrant based survey, a total of 399 individual specimens were recorded in reference to their spawning location along Money Island. A total of 39 GPS points were gathered from the maps application on the iPhone 12, with some complications involved. Most noticeably, the iPhone GPS lacked pinpoint accuracy that advanced global positioning systems provide. With that, the pinpoint exact locations of the specimens on the beach may vary between 1 and 5 meters. Also, the GPS dropped location did not change between a few quadrant locations, so their specimen numbers were added together for the G.I.S map analysis. The smallest quadrants consisted of 0 recorded specimens (Northern portion of the beach near the wing-wall), while the largest quadrant total was 21 recorded specimens. Collectively, a total of 182 Horseshoe Crab specimens were recorded landward of the detached breakwaters, while 217 specimens were recorded on the adjacent beach south of the coastal structures (please see map below). A T-Test (assuming unequal variances) was conducted, with a generated p-value of 0.922. Stating that there was no significant difference between spawning locations landward the breakwaters and adjacent to them on this survey date. However, the quadrant survey is not an exact count of Horseshoe Crab specimens seen during the survey, as the quadrants were only taken every square meters along the shoreline.
Over the course of time the American Littoral Society was present at Money Island on June 04, 2023 (approximately 9:00 PM - 2:00 AM June 05, 2023), winds were dominate from the Southeast (with some East-Southeast & South-Southeast variability). The average wind speed (from Ship John Shoal Lighthouse, New Jersey) was 20.13 knots, with a maximum speed of 25.27 knots and minimum speed of 13.80 knots. Based on the physical presence during specimen surveying, a significant portion of the spawning Horseshoe Crab were located just South of the breakwater delineation. This may be caused by favorable sediments deposited there (see Results (Sediments) page for that analysis) and due to the lack of westerly winds which could cause difficulties in locomotion (Please see Results of the Study page for winds). The shoreline just south of the structures may also see an increase in specimens due to its location to the Delaware Bay itself, with it being closer in proximity then the beach located behind the breakwater. The large portion of the shoreline South of the breakwaters is also heavily vegetated, which is why there is a significant drop-off in Horseshoe Crab recordings, as the specimens do not spawn in vegetation (organic material/peat) and it can cause locomotion issues (and impingement depending on vegetation density).
Graphic 1: Shows the G.I.S map generated from the American Horseshoe Crab spawning survey undergone on June 04, 2023 with the American Littoral Society (Millville, New Jersey).
Based on the data provided by the American Littoral Society (Millville, New Jersey), there are clear differences in populations of American Horseshoe Crabs between 2022 and 2023. In 2022, nine different quadrant surveys were completed spawning from May 28 - June 1, 2022, and June 12 - 16, 2022. These surveys produced 900 total quadrants with approximately 3,123 individual HSC specimens observed. Generally, there was a 50/50 split in the quadrant surveys where 450 quadrants occupied spaces landward of the detached breakwaters, while the other 450 were located South of the structure towards Nantuxent Point. 1,041 HSCs were recorded as landward of the coastal structures, while 2,082 HSCs were noted as nesting/breeding adjacent to the project shoreline. This 1,041 difference was statistically significant with a T-test (assuming equal variance) p-value of 5.75E-11. Therefore, during the first year of post-NJDEP project construction, significantly more breeding HSCs were found along the shoreline adjacent to the structures.
A very different scenario was observed in 2023. With only seven different quadrant surveys completed in 2023, ALS collected only 700 quadrant surveys from June 3 - June 6, 2023, & on June 17, 19 & 20 of 2023. Even though only 700 quadrants were conducted during this spawning season, approximately 2,989 HSC specimens were observed. Only 134 more HSCs were recorded in 2022, occupying two more surveys with 200 more quadrants. Based on the data for 2023, a total of 1,450 HSCs were observed landward of the structures, while the other 1,539 HSCs were located on the adjacent beachfront. A T-test (assuming equal variances) produced a p-value of 0.585, stating that there was no significant difference in HSC population numbers in 2023 in relation to HSC proximity to NJDEP's project zone.
When analyzing the data from 2022 to 2023, there was no significant difference in HSC population numbers located adjacent to the project delineation. Upon running a T-test (assuming unequal variances), a p-value of 0.625 was obtained when comparing observed HSC populations on adjacent beachfront between 2022 and 2023. However, a T-test (assuming unequal variances) produced a p-value of 1.42E-07, stating a significant difference in observed HSC specimens landward of the structures between 2022 and 2023. A T-test (assuming unequal variances also produced a significant difference value (p-value: 0.006 when comparing total population numbers from both years). The results showed that more HSCs were breeding along Money Island in 2023 than in 2022, with spawning locations shifting from adjacent beaches to the NJDEP project area.
As for variations in sexes of HSCs, 2022 observed 2,664 males and 459 females, while 2023 observed 2,538 males and 451 females. There was no statistical difference between the sexes during these two years. No statistical difference in impingements was obtained, with only four individual HSCs found impinged in 2022 and zero individuals in 2023.
*Special Note*: Exact HSC numbers may be slightly off due to the image quality of PDF files provided by ALS.
American Horseshoe Crabs observed in 2022
American Horseshoe Crabs observed in 2023
In 2022, only two of the survey nights had prevailing westerly winds (May 28 & May 31, 2022). Winds were mostly in a West-Southwest direction on May 28, 2022, with maximum wind speeds of 14.97 knots and wind gusts of 16.52 knots. On May 31, 2022, winds were also dominant from the West-Southwest direction. Maximum wind speeds were 9.33 knots, with gusts upwards of 9.91 knots. Upon running a T-test (assuming equal variances), a p-value of 8.62E-05 which displayed a significant difference in HSC spawning preferences on those nights. However, with 273 HSCs recorded landward of the breakwaters and 509 observed on the adjacent beach front during Westerly winds, the 2022 observations showed that the winds did not play a major role in their nesting site selection.
In 2023, three of the collection dates provided HSC data associated with Westerly Winds (June 05, 06, & 17 2023). On June 05, 2023, winds were domiant in the West-Northwest direction with maximum winds speeds of 7.58 knots (max gusts: 8.55 knots). June 06, 2023 saw winds prevailing from the West, with wind speeds upwards of 11.86 knots (max gusts: 12.83 knots). June 17, 2023 experienced prevailing winds from the Northwest, with maximum wind speeds of 14.58 knots (max gusts: 17.3 knots). A T-test (assuming equal variances) determine no significant differences in HSC populations in relation to there proximity to NJDEP's project delineation. A p-value of 0.413 was obtained for 2023, providing a different outcome than 2022. However, as of two years post project implmentation, there is not enough evidence to suggest that the American Horseshoe Crab population changes their nesting site selection due to prevailing winds.
American Littoral Society HSC Quadrant Survey Master Database File with Statistical Analysis