SEA ICE AND WEATHER PREDICTIONS
Sea ice forecasts
Zero- to 10 day forecasts produced from an ice-ocean-atmosphere model called CAFS.
CAFS is initialized with NOAA-GFS analyses and Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer 2 sea ice concentrations. CAFS is run daily and posted online at 2 UTC.
GFS forecasting
Global Forecast System (GFS) is a weather forecast model produced by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Prediction. It is used to predict weather out to 16 days.
This model has a horizontal resolution of 18 miles (28 km) between grid points.
Resolution drops to 44 miles (70 km) for 1–2 week forecast periods.
Analog forecasting
Analog forecasts involve examining today's forecast scenario and remembering a day in the past when the weather scenario looked very similar (an analog).
The precipitation analyses used as analog input for this technique are the 32-km resolution North American Regional Reanalysis.
CFS forecasting
The Climate Forecast System (CFS) is a model representing the global interaction between Earth's oceans, land, and atmosphere.
Offers hourly data with a horizontal resolution down to 0.5° (approximately 56 km) around Earth for many variables.
Forecast maps
The European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) provides global forecasts, climate reanalyses, and specific datasets, designed to meet different user requirements.
ECMWF’s operational forecasts aim to show how the weather is most likely to evolve. To do this, the Centre produces an ensemble of predictions.