CV
Research Fields
Financial Economics, Applied Microeconomics, Empirical Asset Pricing
Education
Ph.D., Economics, The University of Texas at Austin, May. 2017
M.A., Economics, Indiana University Purdue University Indianapolis, Jun. 2010
M.A., Quantitative Economics, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Jun. 2008
B.A., Business Administration, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Jun. 2005
Programming Skills
Stata, Matlab, R, SAS, Python, TSP (Time Series Processor), Limdep, E-views, LaTex
Certifications
2017 Level II CFA Candidate, SAS Certified BASE Programmer for SAS 9 (Awarded: 2016)
Languages
English(fluent), Chinese(native)
Research Papers
“Mutual Fund Style Volatility and Fund Flows” - Job Market Paper
Mutual fund managers often follow investment strategies that result in a drift of their investment styles over time. This paper empirically examines whether the behavior of mutual fund investors is affected by this style drift using a comprehensive sample of U.S. actively-managed equity mutual funds from 1985 to 2013. I find a significant positive relationship between the style volatility and the subsequent fund flows to mutual funds. Further, this relationship is less pronounced for funds with superior past performance. Finally, fund style volatility has a dampening effect on the flow-performance relationship, as performance is perceived as a less informative signal of investment ability for fund managers who follow inconsistent styles over time.
“The Response of Fund Flows to Past Risk Over Business Cycles”
This article investigates how the sensitivity of fund flows to risk levels depends on market conditions. I employ the NBER Boom indicator, the Consumer Sentiment Index, and the National Activity Index to proxy for economic conditions, and I estimate the fund risk using the standard deviation of fund excess returns over a period of time in the past. Using the CRSP mutual fund database spanning twenty-nine years, I find that mutual fund investors react differently to risk across economic environments. Funds with more volatile past returns would discourage fund investors. The investors' demand for actively managed funds is higher in good market condition. Fund flows are less responsive to risk during expansionary economic periods. This finding may indicate that fund investors are risk averse and they become less risk averse under good market state.
Work in Progress
“Which Matters More: Overall Rank or Family Rank?”
In this paper, I investigate whether fund flows depend not only on the relative performance of a fund within the mutual fund universe, but also on the relative performance of a fund within its fund family. It is well-established that mutual fund investors chase past performance. The standard performance measure used in the mutual fund literature to explain mutual fund flows is the return of a fund relative to all the other funds in the fund universe. Since there are some monetary and non-monetary constraints of shifting funds across different mutual fund families, mutual fund flows might also depend on the performance of a fund relative to the other funds in the same family. Furthermore, these constraints might have become less important over time due to technological and regulatory changes.
“The Prediction of Mutual Fund Performance: Evidence from Fund Families”
Most mutual funds are affiliated with fund complexes and the data on other funds in one fund family can yield important information about the ability of a fund manager in that fund family. This paper empirically examines whether the mutual fund performance is affected by prior family performance using a comprehensive sample of U.S. actively-managed equity mutual funds from 1999-2015. The empirical findings suggest that there is a significant positive relationship between prior family performance and subsequent fund performance. This finding is consistent with the hypothesis that mutual funds in the same family share information resources. This positive relation also justifies the finding in the mutual fund flow literature that fund flows are higher for funds with higher past family performance.
Research Experience
Research Assistant - January 2010 to May 2010
Department of Economics, Indiana University
Supervisor: Prof. Subir Chakrabarti, Ph.D
- Assisted with the editing and preparation of manuscript for the book "Games and Decision Making"
Research Assistant - November 2009 to January 2010
Department of Economics, Indiana University
Supervisor: Prof. Steve Russell, Ph.D
- Assisted with a research project on a simple model of financial crisis and the usefulness of reserves
Research Assistant - August 2009 to October 2009
Department of Economics, Indiana University
Supervisor: Prof. Richard Steinberg, Ph.D.
- Provided Stata programming assistance with a research project on the effect of inheritance on the donating behavior
Publications
Xuemei Guo, Ping Li, and Yong Zeng. “The Empirical Study on the Price Discovery of A and B Shares in China.” Systems Engineering-Theory and Practice, 28(8):44–54, 2008.
Xuemei Guo. “The Theory and Development of Circular Economy.” Technology and Market, (3):42–44, 2005.
Presentations
Economics and Finance Meetings
- The 66th Midwest Finance Association Annual Meeting, Chicago, Illinois, March 2017 (scheduled)
- Shanghai Business School 2016 Economics and Finance Research Forum, Shanghai, China, December 2016
- The 53rd Annual Academy of Economics & Finance Conference, Mutual Funds Session, Pensacola Beach, Florida, February 2016
- The Fourth International Conference on Risk Management and the Fifth International Conference on Financial System Engineering, Tianjin, China, October 2007
The University of Texas at Austin
- Economics Writing Seminars, Spring 2013–Present
Teaching Experience
Teaching Assistant - The University of Texas at Austin, 2011-2015
Introduction to Microeconomics, Prof. Hickenbottom
Introduction to Microeconomics, Prof. Hamermesh
International Finance, Prof. Bencivenga
Economic Statistics, Prof. Loudina
Economics Department Tutor - Indiana University, Summer 2009
Introduction to Microeconomics
Introduction to Macroeconomics
Introduction to Statistic Theory of Economics and Business
Instructor - Chengdu University, Fall 2007
Principles of Insurance
Professional Societies
American Economic Association, American Finance Association, Academy of Economics and Finance
Awards
Summer 2016 Professional Development Award - The University of Texas at Austin, Department of Economics
Student Awards - Indiana University, Department of Economics
University Fellowship, Fall 2008–Spring 2009
Student Awards - University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, School of Management and Economics
Outstanding Graduate of UESTC, June 2005
Outstanding Undergraduate Thesis Award, June 2005
First Class Academic Excellence Scholarship, March 2005
Excellent Undergraduate of UESTC, December 2003
References
Clemens Sialm
Professor of Finance, Eleanor T. Mosle Fellow
Department of Finance
The University of Texas at Austin
Phone: 512-232-6835
E-mail: clemens.sialm@mccombs.utexas.edu
Jason Abrevaya
Professor, Department Chair
Department of Economics
The University of Texas at Austin
Phone: 512-475-8527
E-mail: abrevaya@austin.utexas.edu
Mindy X. Zhang
Assistant Professor
Department of Finance
The University of Texas at Austin
Phone: 512-232-6826
E-mail: xiaolan.zhang@mccombs.utexas.edu