Test 4 Review

Be prepared to apply Bayes' Theorem to problems.

Be prepared to explain the problem of unknown priors and how Bayes Theorem allows us to solve it.

Be prepared to guess at a prior probability in a word problem where some evidence is offered, and then use the evidence to revise the application of Bayes' Theorem to "wash out" the unknown prior.

Be prepared to solve game tree problems of the sort in Spaniel 2.2, 2.3 using backward induction.

The test will be in class on Thursday, April 12.