Topics in Time-Series Econometrics

Classes for the Topics in the Time Series Analysis

by Massimiliano Marcellino

spring 2008, EUI

First class: Monday, February 25, 2008 at 11.00 a.m.

  1. Introduction to Gauss

Comments:

If you missed the class, ask for printouts

You can find all the files on the H: drive under the folder GAUSS

Second class: Monday, March 3, 2008 at 3.00 p.m.

1. Band-pass filter (Watson (2007))

2. Local projections (Jorda (2005))

Comments:

We go through the papers and the programs

Handouts available also at the course folder on the H drive

You can work in pairs for the problem sets! Let me know who are working together and which time-series you selected! Maximum two pairs (of students) can work on the same country GDP)!

The second problem set is actually problem set 1, it is a typo

Third class: Friday, March 14, 2008 at 3.00 p.m.

1. Comments on the PS#1

2. Finish with the local projections

Comments:

We went through PS#1

Fourth class: Monday, March 17, 2008 at 11.00 a.m.

1. LSTAR

  1. Something about numerical optimization

  2. Stock and Watson (1999) paper on forecast comparisons

  3. MS VAR (very shortly)

Comments:

If you cannot come, ask me for the materials

Fifth class: Thursday, March 27, 2008 at 9.00 a.m.

1. ML estimation of DSGE models (Ireland (2001))

2. ML estimation of factors (Stock and Watson (1991)

3. Eigenvalue-eigenvector decomposition in estimating factors (Stock and Watson (2005))

Comments:

Handed out problem set 3. Deadline is April 11, 2008 at noon.

USEFUL GAUSS LINKS