Hongcheng Li
李鸿丞
Hongcheng Li
李鸿丞
Ph.D. candidate in Economics, Yale University
Research field: contract theory, game theory, mechanism design
I expect to be on the 26/27 Job Market!
Working Papers
"Robust Pricing for Quality Disclosure"
with Tan Gan [Latest; SSRN; arXiv]
Revise and Resubmit at The Review of Economic Studies
Last update: June 2025
A platform charges a producer for disclosing quality evidence to consumers before trade. It aims to maximize its revenue guarantee across potentially multiple equilibria which arise from the interdependence of producer purchase decisions and consumer beliefs. The platform's optimal pricing strategy entrenches itself as a market gatekeeper: it induces a unique equilibrium in which non-disclosed products' perceived values are lower than the production cost. To achieve this goal, this pricing strategy iteratively destabilizes under-disclosure equilibria by luring producers to disclose slightly more. Higher-quality producers receive higher rents as their disclosure is prioritized. Despite losing rents, the platform optimally induces socially efficient information transmission for any given evidence structure, and it never benefits from garbling evidence. Compared to the non-robust benchmark, our framework generates more intuitive comparative statics: the platform's ability to extract surplus increases with its value as an information intermediary.
Abstract in EC'24 as Robust Advertisement Pricing
"Robust Contracting with Career Concerns"
with Tan Gan [Latest; SSRN; arXiv]
Last update: June 2026
We study optimal contracting when workers are motivated by explicit bonuses and career concerns. Labor markets infer ability from performance, but effort affects how informative performance is about ability. This feedback between beliefs and behavior can create strategic uncertainty: bonuses that induce effort when the market expects effort may fail under more pessimistic beliefs. We characterize when this occurs, deriving a criterion tied to skill-effort complementarity. We solve for the least-cost robust incentive policy, which induces effort in every equilibrium. The employer uses dispersed bonuses exactly when strategic uncertainty is present; outside employers observe the firm's compensation policy but not workers' individual bonuses. High bonuses rule out pessimistic beliefs, making performance more reputationally important and allowing lower bonuses to motivate effort. The resulting compensation dispersion generates residual pay inequality among observationally identical workers. Dispersion increases when career concerns carry more weight in motivating effort and when skill-wage assortativeness is higher.
"Contracting against a Non-contractible Outsider"
Last Update: September 2025
I study a general framework of contracting with externalities involving a non-contractible outsider. Strategic symmetry—even including strategic substitution—between the insider agent and the outsider leads to multiple equilibria. To tackle strategic uncertainty, the principal guarantees a unique equilibrium outcome. A novel duality approach reformulates her problem as a new one where she selects a series of agent beliefs about outsider behavior. Unique implementation then reduces to a constraint on these beliefs: the principal cannot convince the agent to expect the outsider to play non-guaranteed responses. Due to strategic rents, the principal optimally induces attenuated agent incentives. In the case of symmetric strategic dependence, her coordination power and commitment power are perfect substitutes in determining contracting outcome; on contractual privacy, the principal can strictly prefer private contracting over public contracting, in sharp contrast to the benchmark that ignores robustness. Applications include regulating international competition, platform design, and labor union contracting.
"Hidden Commitment Power is Powerless"
Last Update: June 2026
A principal who offers a contract may renege when her default option is sufficiently attractive. The size of this temptation, which measures her commitment power, is often her private information. This paper asks how contracting outcomes change under this information asymmetry. Disciplining off-path beliefs with the Intuitive Criterion, I find that every type of principal behaves and earns payoffs exactly as if she were commonly known to have the least commitment power. Hidden commitment power is therefore powerless. The result delivers an unambiguous policy lesson on how to mitigate this information asymmetry prior to contracting: only measures that improve the worst case have value. Applied to credit rating, it rationalizes the monotone-partitional structure widely used in practice.
"Multiple-Player War of Attrition with Asymmetric Private Values"
Last Update: August 2023
This paper studies a war of attrition game in the setting of public good provision among multiple ex-ante asymmetric privately informed players. In the unique equilibrium, asymmetry leads to a stratified behavior pattern where one player provides the public good instantly with a positive probability, while each of the other players has a player-specific strict-waiting time, before which even his highest type will not provide the good. Comparative statics show that a player with lower patience, lower cost, and higher "reputation" (measured by greater hazard rate of the valuation for the public good) provides the good type-wise faster. In large societies, the cost of delay is mainly determined by the highest type of the player with the highest reputation.
Work In Progress
"Contracting with Private Arrival of Bad News"
"Persuasion with Commitment Half-Life"
with June Zhu
Awards
2026 Excellence in Reviewing Award, 2025, AER Insights
2024 Carl Arvid Anderson Fellowship in Economics
Teaching
Teaching Fellow: Yale ECON 2121 01 (FA25), Intermediate Microeconomics
Instructor: Evangelia Chalioti
Teaching Fellow: Yale ECON 351 01 (SP25), Mathematical Economics: Game Theory
Instructor: Elliot Lipnowski
Teaching Fellow: Yale ECON 121 01 (SP24), Intermediate Microeconomics
Instructor: Tilman Borgers
Teaching Fellow: Yale ECON 121 01 (FA23), Intermediate Microeconomics
Instructor: Evangelia Chalioti