2022
* = mentored undergraduate
Woelmer, W.M., R.Q. Thomas, M.E. Lofton, R.P. McClure, and C.C. Carey. 2022. Near-term iterative forecasts of phytoplankton at multiple time scales demonstrate the effect of model time step and forecast horizon on predictability. Ecological Applications. https://doi.org/10.1002/eap.2642
Woelmer, W.M., A.G. Hounshell, M.E. Lofton, H.L. Wander, A.S.L. Lewis, D. Scott, C.C. Carey. The importance of time and space in biogeochemical heterogeneity and processing along the reservoir ecosystem continuum. Submitted to Aquatic Sciences. Pre-print available at https://doi.org/10.1002/essoar.10511710.1
Wynne, J.W.*, W.M. Woelmer, T.N. Moore, R.Q. Thomas, K.C. Weathers, and C.C. Carey. Uncertainty in projections of future lake thermal dynamics is differentially driven by lake and global climate models. Submitted to PeerJ November 2022. Pre-print available at doi.org/10.1002/essoar.10512951.2
Willson, A.M., H. Gallo, J.A. Peters, A. Abeyta, N. Bueno Watts. C.C. Carey, T.N. Moore, G. Smies, R.Q. Thomas, W.M. Woelmer, and J.S. McLachlan. Assessing opportunities and inequities in undergraduate ecological forecasting education. In review at Ecology and Evolution in August 2022. Pre-print available at doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6886540
Moore, T.N., R.Q. Thomas, W.M. Woelmer, C.C. Carey. 2022. Integrating ecological forecasting into undergraduate curricula with an R Shiny application-based teaching module. Forecasting 4:604-633. DOI: 10.3390/forecast4030033
Thomas, R.Q., R.P. McClure, T.N. Moore, W.M. Woelmer, C. Boettiger, R.J. Figueiredo, and C.C. Carey. Near-term forecasts of NEON lakes reveal gradients of environmental predictability across the U.S. Accepted at Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment in June 2022.
Lofton, M.E., D.W. Howard, R.P. McClure, H.L. Wander, W.M. Woelmer, A.G. Hounshell, A.S.L. Lewis, C.C. Carey. 2022. Experimental thermocline deepening alters vertical distribution and community structure of phytoplankton in a four-year whole-reservoir manipulation. Freshwater Biology 67:1903-1904. DOI: 10.1111/fwb.13983.
Carey, C.C., P.C. Hanson, R.Q. Thomas, A.B. Gerling, A.G. Hounshell, A.S.L. Lewis, M.E. Lofton, R.P. McClure, H.L. Wander, W.M. Woelmer, B.R. Niederlehner, M.E. Schreiber. 2022. Anoxia decreases the magnitude of the carbon, nitrogen, and phosphorus sink in freshwater ecosystems. Global Change Biology 28:4861-4881. DOI: 10.1111/gcb.16228
Carey, C.C., W.M. Woelmer, M.E. Lofton, R.J. Figueiredo, B.J. Bookout, R.S. Corrigan, V. Daneshmand, A.G. Hounshell, D.W. Howard, A.S.L. Lewis, R.P. McClure, H.L. Wander, N.K. Ward, and R.Q. Thomas. 2022. Advancing lake and reservoir water quality management with near-term , iterative ecological forecasting. Inland Waters. https://doi.org/10.1080/20442041.2020.1816421
Lewis, A.S.L, W.M. Woelmer, H.L. Wander, D. Howard, J. Smith, R.P. McClure, M.E. Lofton, N. Hammond, R. Corrigan, R.Q. Thomas, C.C. Carey. 2022. Increased adoption of best practices in ecological forecasting enables comparisons of forecastability. Ecological Applications https://doi.org/10.1002/eap.2500.
2021
McClure, R.P., R.Q. Thomas, M.E. Lofton, W.M. Woelmer, and C.C. Carey. Iterative forecasting improves near-term predictions of methane ebullition rates. 2021. Frontiers in Environmental Science 9:756603. DOI: 10.3389/fenvs.2021.756603.
Woelmer, W.M., L.M. Bradley, L. Haber, D. Klinges, A.S.L. Lewis, E. Mohr, C.L. Torrens, K.I. Wheeler, A.M. Willson. 2021. Ten Simple Rules for training yourself in an emerging field. PLoS Computational Biology 17(10): e1009440.
Howard, D.W., A.G. Hounshell, M.E. Lofton, W.M. Woelmer, P.C. Hanson, and C.C. Carey. 2021. Variability in fluorescent dissolved organic matter concentrations across diel to seasonal time scales is driven by water temperature and meteorology in a eutrophic reservoir. Aquat Sci 83, 30. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00027-021-00784-w
2017
Armenio, P.M., D.B. Bunnell, J.V. Adams, N.M. Watson, and W.M. Woelmer. 2017. It’s like night and day: Diel net-effects on Cercopagidae densities in the Laurentian Great Lakes. Journal of Great Lakes Research. 43(2):394-398.
Deines, A.M., D.B. Bunnell, M.W. Rogers, D. Bennion, W.M. Woelmer, M.J. Sayers, A.G. Grimm, R.A. Schuchman, Z.B. Raymer, C.N. Brooks, J.G. Mychek-Londer, W. Taylor, and T.D. Beard, Jr. 2017. The contribution of lakes to global inland fisheries harvest. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment. 15(6): 293-298.
2016
Woelmer, W.M., Y. Kao, D.B. Bunnell, A.M. Deines, D.H. Bennion, M.W. Rogers, C.N. Brooks, M.J. Sayers, D.M. Banach, A.G. Grimm, and R.A. Schuchman. 2016. Assessing the influence of watershed characteristics on chlorophyll a in waterbodies at global and regional scales. Inland Waters. 6: 379-392.
Lynch, A. J., S. J. Cooke, A.M. Deines, S.D. Bower, D. B, Bunnell, I. G. Cowx, V. M. Nguyen, J. Nonher, K. Phouthavong, B. Riley, M. W. Rogers, W. W. Taylor, W.M. Woelmer, S.-J. Youn, and T. D. Beard, Jr. 2016. Reflected on the Neglected: Identifying the Social, Economic, and Ecological Importance of Inland Fish and Fisheries. Environmental Reviews. 24(2): 115-121.
2015
Sayers, M.J., A.G. Grimm, R.A. Shuchman, A. Deines, D.B. Bunnell, Z. Raymer, M. Rogers, W.M. Woelmer, D.H. Bennion, C.N. Brooks, M. Whitley, D.M. Warner, and J. Mychek-Londer. 2015. A New Method to Generate a High-Resolution Global Distribution Map of Freshwater Chlorophyll a. International Journal of Remote Sensing. 36(7):1942-1964.
2014
Bunnell, D.B., C.P. Madenjian, T.J. Desorcia, M.J. Kostich, W.M. Woelmer, and J.V. Adams. 2014. Status and Trends of Prey Fish Populations in Lake Michigan. Great Lakes Fishery Commission Lake Michigan Committee Meeting, Ann Arbor, MI. March 2014.
Riley, S.C., E.F. Roseman, M.A. Chriscinske, T.R. Tucker, J.E. Ross, P.M. Armenio, N. Watson, and W.M. Woelmer. 2014. Status and Trends of the Lake Huron Offshore Demersal Fish Community, 1976-2013. Great Lakes Fishery Commission Lake Huron Committee Meeting, Windsor, ON 24 March 2014.
Woelmer, W.M., R.Q. Thomas, T.N. Moore, C.C. Carey. 2022. Macrosystems EDDIE Module 8: Using Ecological Forecasts to Guide Decision-Making (Instructor Materials). Ver 2. Environmental Data Initiative. https://doi.org/10.6073/pasta/7f066ae5a37974456b2a2700f4b94038
Pollens-Dempsey, J.B., Kao, Y., Stott, W., Woelmer, W.M., and Eshenroder, R.L., 2021, Morphology data for Ciscoes (Coregonus, subgenus Leucichthys) collected in the Great Lakes Cisco Project: U.S. Geological Survey data release, https://doi.org/10.5066/P9PZVR24.
Carey, C.C., W.M. Woelmer, A.S. Lewis, A. Breef-Pilz, D.W. Howard, and B.J. Bookout. 2021. Time series of high-frequency sensor data measuring water temperature, dissolved oxygen, pressure, conductivity, specific conductance, total dissolved solids, chlorophyll a, phycocyanin, and fluorescent dissolved organic matter at discrete depths in Falling Creek Reservoir, Virginia, USA in 2018-2020 ver 5. Environmental Data Initiative. https://doi.org/10.6073/pasta/88896f4a7208c9b7bddcf498258edf78
Carey, C.C., M.E. Lofton, W.M. Woelmer, K.D. Hamre, A. Breef-Pilz, J.P. Doubek, and R.P. McClure. 2021. Time-series of high-frequency profiles of fluorescence-based phytoplankton spectral groups in Beaverdam Reservoir, Carvins Cove Reservoir, Falling Creek Reservoir, Gatewood Reservoir, and Spring Hollow Reservoir in southwestern Virginia, USA 2014-2020 ver 5. Environmental Data Initiative. https://doi.org/10.6073/pasta/54d4bd2fee1e52e36e2b0f230912d2da
Carey, C.C., A.G. Hounshell, M.E. Lofton, F. Birgand, B.J. Bookout, R.S. Corrigan, A.B. Gerling, R.P. McClure, and W.M. Woelmer. 2021. Discharge time series for the primary inflow tributary entering Falling Creek Reservoir, Vinton, Virginia, USA 2013-2021 ver 7. Environmental Data Initiative. https://doi.org/10.6073/pasta/8d22a432aac5560b0f45aa1b21ae4746
Carey, C.C., M.E. Lofton, W.M. Woelmer, J.H. Wynne, J.P. Doubek, K.D. Hamre, and B.R. Niederlehner. 2020. Filtered chlorophyll a time series for Beaverdam Reservoir, Carvins Cove Reservoir, Claytor Lake, Falling Creek Reservoir, Gatewood Reservoir, Smith Mountain Lake, and Spring Hollow Reservoir in southwestern Virginia, USA during 2014-2019 ver 1. Environmental Data Initiative. https://doi.org/10.6073/pasta/4103be6062b768867e1f3b016665a35c
Carey, C.C., H.L. Wander, W.M. Woelmer, M.E. Lofton, A.B. Gerling, R.P. McClure, J.P. Doubek, B.R. Niederlehner, and K.J. Farrell. 2020. Water chemistry time series for Beaverdam Reservoir, Carvins Cove Reservoir, Falling Creek Reservoir, Gatewood Reservoir, and Spring Hollow Reservoir in southwestern Virginia, USA 2013-2019 ver 7. Environmental Data Initiative. https://doi.org/10.6073/pasta/0d29704769868facec3e238e64d35557
Carey C. C., W. M. Woelmer, J. T. Maze, A. G. Hounshell. 2019. Manually-collected discharge data for multiple inflow tributaries entering Falling Creek Reservoir and Beaverdam Reservoir, Vinton, Virginia, USA in 2019. Environmental Data Initiative. https://doi.org/10.6073/pasta/4d8e7b7bedbc6507b307ba2d5f2cf9a2.
Woelmer, W.M., and J.H. Wynne. 2022. Coupling modeling scenarios and a forecasting framework to inform water quality management in Lake Sunapee. Lake Sunapee Protective Association-Virginia Tech Calhoun Fellowship Annual Report. Report found here*.
*An additional 1-page executive summary of the report can be found here.
Carey, C.C. and W.M. Woelmer. 2020. Water Quality Assessment Procedures for Virginia: Dissolved Oxygen Assessment of Lakes and Reservoirs. Prepared for the Academic Advisory Committee to Virginia Department of Environmental Quality. Report found here.