Publication
Publication
in preparation / SUBMITTEd
33 Shin, Y., Kug, J. S., Oh, J. H, and coauthors. Reconciled warning signals in observations and models imply approaching AMOC tipping point. (Preprint; https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2503.22111)
32 Ajagun-Brauns, J., coauthors, Shin, Y., Ben-Yami, M., and Boers, N. Non-stationarity of salinity and temperature based ridge regression reconstructions of AMOC and SPG under projected warming. In preparation.
31 Shin, Y. and Kug, J. S. Directional asymmetry of pole-to-pole teleconnection. Under review in Environmental Research Letters
29 Shin, Y., Boers, N., co-authors, Kug, J. S. AI emulator highlights underestimated risk of AMOC collapse in current climate models. Under review in Science Advances.
28 Emirzade, B., coauthors, Shin, Y., and Boers, N. Fingerprints for Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation and the Subpolar Gyre. Under review Nature Geosciences. (Preprint; https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2609.18551)
27 Kug, J. S., Shin, Y., coauthors Climate Change Hysteresis and Irreversibility. Under review in Nature Geosciences
2026
26 Mun, J.-H., Lee, H., Lee, D., Shin, Y., & Kug, J.-S. (2026). Soil Moisture Controls on Permafrost Carbon Cycle Under Greenhouse Warming and Zero Emission Pathways. Earth’s Future, 14(7), e2026EF008209. https://doi.org/10.1029/2026EF008209
25 Lee, H., Kug, J.-S.*, Shin, Y.*, Lee, D.-G., Goris, N., Fröb, F., Tjiputra, J. F., Bourgeois, T., & Schwinger, J. (2026). Enhanced carbon loss in the Southern Ocean under mitigation scenarios. Science Advances, 12(36), eaee9228. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aee9228 (co-corresponding)
24 Iwakiri, T., Kug, J.-S., An, S.-I., Shin, Y., Oh, J.-H., and Wang, S. (2026). AMOC slowdown amplifies North Atlantic salinity variability to unprecedented levels. Nature Communications. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-026-73838-y
23 Zhang, W., Huang, Y., Bathiany, S., Shin, Y., Ben-Yami, M., Zhou, S., and Boers, N. Probabilistic anticipation of AMOC transitions under critical forcing magnitudes and rates via deep learning. Chaos, Solitons and Fractals. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2026.118374
22 Hong, S.-J., Kim, G.-I., Shin, Y., Iwakiri, T., Kug, J. S. Stronger ENSO-induced Global SST Variability in a Warming Climate. Nature Communications. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-026-70140-9
21 Wang., S., Shin, Y., Oh, J.-H., Kim, H., and Kug, J. S. Critical role of low cloud feedback in irreversible sea level rise. Nature Communications. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-026-72898-4
20 Kim, D., Kim, H., & Shin, Y. (2026). Climate Change of Hadley Circulation. In W. A. Robinson (Ed.), Encyclopedia of Atmospheric Sciences (Third Edition) (pp. 368–381). Academic Press. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-323-96026-7.00178-8
2025
19 Oh, J. H., Kug, J. S., Shin, Y., and coauthors. Noise-induced tipping of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation under climate mitigation scenarios. Nature Communications. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-66494-1
18 Xue, A., Geng, X., Jin, F.-F., Shin, Y., Sung, M.K., and Kug, J. S. Super El Niño events drive climate regime shifts with enhanced risks under global warming. Nature Communications. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-66143-7
17 Geng, X., Oh, J. H., Shin, Y. coauthors, and Kug, J. S. Non-monotonic future changes in the North Atlantic warming hole under a fast CO2 emission scenario. Journal of Climate. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0437.1
16 Lee, H., Noh, K. M., Oh, J.H., Park, S. W., Shin, Y*., and Kug, J. S*. Emergence of the ocean CO2 uptake hole under global warming. Nature Communications (co-corresponding) https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-57724-7
15 Kim, H., Kang, S. M., Pendergrass, A. G., Lehner, F., Shin, Y., Ceppi, P., Yeh, S.-W., Song, S.-Y. Higher precipitation in East Asia and Western United States expected with future Southern Ocean warming. Nature Geoscience. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-025-01669-5
14 Lee, D., Park, S., Shin, Y., and Kim, J.-S., Kam, J., and Kug., J.-S. The land use change-induced abrupt changes in vegetation and the roles of climate feedback. Journal of Environmental Management. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.125097
2024
2023
11 Kang, S. M*, Shin, Y.*, Kim, H., Xie, S. P., Hu, S. (2023) Disentangling the mechanisms of equatorial Pacific climate change. Science Advances 9(19) (co-corresonding)
2021
10 Shin, Y., Kang, S. M (2021) How does the high-latitude thermal forcing in one hemisphere affect the other hemisphere? Geophysical Research Letters, e2021GL095870
~2020