Computer modelling is the use of computer simulations to make accurate predictions about Earth’s climate thousands and millions of years into the future.
With their high processing power, computers are able to run numerous simulations over and over again in a short period of time, something that could take a human over a lifetime to complete.
By running numerous simulations, predictions made by computer modelling are much more accurate than those made manually by humans.
A supercomputer at the German Climate Computing Centre crunches data about Earth’s climate to predict the future effects of climate change.
Computer models rely on accurate data being fed into the simulation. An example of high-quality data is that obtained at the International Space Station by the cloud-aerosol transport system, which can accurately measure atmospheric clouds and aerosols (extremely small particles in the air) all over the world. This data is used in computer modelling to predict what Earth will be like in years to come.
The ice on Lake Baikal in Siberia, Russia
There are many examples of computer modelling being used to make predictions about Earth's climate. One example is the use of climate models to predict future temperature and precipitation patterns. These models can simulate different scenarios, such as different levels of greenhouse gas emissions, and predict how these scenarios will affect the climate over time.
Another example is the use of ocean circulation models to study how ocean currents and temperatures are likely to change over time. Such models are also used to study the impact of melting ice caps and glaciers on sea level rise.
Computer models are also used to predict the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events such as hurricanes, cyclones, floods, and droughts. These models can be used to inform disaster planning and management strategies.