Welcome to my page! I am a Finance PhD candidate from London School of Economics. I am on the 25/26 academic job market.
I am interested in Financial Intermediation, Corporate Finance and Political Economy, with a focus on two areas. First, I study how financial markets interact with the real economy, shaping consumer welfare, creating externalities, and influencing political outcomes. Second, I explore the theoretical links between finance and political economy, particularly in contexts of voting and preference aggregation.
You can find my CV here. Contact: y. guo29 (at) lse.ac.uk
Working Papers & Work in Progress
From preference to influence: the economics of activist investing (JMP)
Presentations: London School of Economics (2024, 2025), AFA PhD Poster (2025), 9th HEC Paris PhD Workshop (2025)
We analyse how decentralized financial markets with profit-maximizing agents collectively improve welfare through activist intermediation, demonstrating that individual self-interested decisions aggregate to correct market failures in product allocation. Monopolistic competition with fixed transition costs generates systematic under-provision of consumer-preferred varieties, which profit-driven activist funds address by eliminating firms' organizational frictions through costly monitoring that is financed by optimal fees transferred to investors. The analysis shows that purely self-interested behaviour in decentralized capital markets channels resources toward firms producing consumer-preferred products, generating welfare improvements despite the absence of coordination. The model also predicts activist sector size increases with market power but decreases with intervention costs, consistent with empirical evidence.
Censorship and public sentiment
This paper presents a model of how censorship on social media platforms influences public sentiment. Users (citizens) choose what opinion to express, balancing honesty with conformity to the majority to gain popularity. A platform operator (the dictator) can mute users at a cost to shift the visible public sentiment toward her preferred value. Citizens vary in how much they care about honesty versus conformity, captured by a parameter reflecting individualism or collectivism. The model shows that censorship can lead to polarisation: some users conform to avoid being muted, while others express their true views and are silenced. The degree of polarisation increases when users are more individualistic and when the dictator’s preference is moderate rather than extreme. These results help explain why censorship has different effects across platforms and user populations, and shed light on the dynamics of control and expression in public.
Passive managers, active lobbyists
This paper develops a theory of why large index fund families, while passive in investment, can be active in lobbying. As index funds grow in size and importance, their interests as fund families may diverge from those of their investors. I argue that this tension helps explain why the biggest managers lobby on issues that shape their business, even if the outcomes may not always align with the interests of passive investors.
Brown spinning with Jianing Yuan and Hongda Zhong
Presentations: Bundesbank-Eltiville* (2022), London School of Economics* (2023), FTG summer school (2023), UMN* (2023)
We model spinoffs of polluting subsidiaries as private value auctions. Greener preference among current shareholders results in more spinoffs. However, the winning buyer who has the highest valuation of the subsidiary tends to care least about the environment; and therefore, creates more pollution after acquiring the subsidiary. Despite the ex-post undesirable outcome, the possibility of spinoffs shifts the manager towards greener actions ex-ante. Such a “green shift” occurs even when the manager has stronger green preferences than shareholders. Finally, spinoffs only exist when agents’ green preferences are “narrow” — they suffer disutility only from self-generated pollution rather than economy-wide pollution.
Publications
Bigger pie, bigger slice: liquidity, value gain and underpricing in IPOs with Lily Y. Li and Hongda Zhong
Journal of Financial Markets, January 2025, Vol 72, 100949
Since investor participation is essential for successful IPOs, we hypothesise that issuers share value gain from IPOs with IPO investors, resulting in IPO underpricing. We test the positive relation between value gain and underpricing from the liquidity angle, as improved liquidity via IPO increases firm value. We find supporting evidence that underpricing is positively related to the expected post-IPO liquidity of the issuer. Using two regulation changes as exogenous shocks to share liquidity before and after IPO, we further show that underpricing is more pronounced with better expected postIPO liquidity or lower pre-IPO liquidity.
*Presented by coauthors