Evasion Behaviors in International Trade:
“Currency Carry Trade by Trucks: The Curious Case of China’s Massive Imports from Itself.” (with Heiwai Tang, University of Hong Kong, Zhi Wang, UIBE & George Mason University, and Shang-Jin Wei, Columbia University) Forthcoming in Review of Finance. [Also available at VoxChina; Research Question: How do firms profit from return differentials between USD and CNY by shipping goods back and forth between Hong Kong and Mainland?]
"Tax Avoidance through Re-imports: The Case of Redundant Trade." Journal of Development Economics 104: 152-164, 2013. [Research Question: Why does China import more from itself than from the U.S.?]
"Evasion Behaviors of Exporters and Importers: Evidence From the U.S.-China Trade Data Discrepancy." [Working Paper Version] (with Michael Ferrantino and Zhi Wang, the U.S. International Trade Commission) Journal of International Economics 86(1): 141-157, 2012. [Research Question: Why are China reported exports to the U.S. much smaller than the corresponding U.S. reported imports from China?]
"Tax Evasion through Trade Intermediation: Evidence from Chinese Exporters" (with Huimin Shi, Renmin University of China; and Michael Ferrantino, The World Bank) Int. Review of Economics & Finance 42: 518-535, 2016 [Research Question: How do firms evade taxes through trade intermediaries?]
"Anti-Dumping Duty Circumvention through Trade Re-Routing: Evidence from Chinese Exporters" (with Huimin Shi, Renmin University of China). World Economy 42(5): 1427-66. [Also available at SSRN & VoxEU; Research Question: How do firms evade antidumping duties by re-routing trade through third countries?]
COVID-19 & Trade, etc.:
“The Trade Effects of the Covid-19 Pandemic.” (with Emanuel Ornelas, Sao Paulo School of Economics, and Huimin Shi, Renmin University of China) Forthcoming in the World Economy. [Also available at CESifo, SSRN, VoxEU]
"Was COVID-19 a Game Changer for the Tokyo and Beijing Olympics?" (with Emanuel Ornelas, Sao Paulo School of Economics, and Huimin Shi, Renmin University of China), Working Paper. Forthcoming in Journal of Sports Economics.
Global Value Chain (GVC):
"Services Development and Comparative Advantage in Manufacturing." (with Aaditya Mattoo, the World Bank; Zhi Wang, UIBE; and Shang-Jin Wei, Columbia University). Journal of Development Economics 144, May 2020.
Foreign Direct Investment:
"The Location Decisions of Foreign Investors in China: Untangling the Effect of Wages Using a Control Function Approach." (with Mary Lovely and Jan Ondrich, Syracuse University). Review of Economics & Statistics 92(1): 160-166, 2010.
"Does Final Market Demand Elasticity Influence the Location of Export Processing? Evidence from Multinational Decisions in China" (with Mary Lovely and Jan Ondrich, Syracuse University). World Economy 36(5): 509-536, 2013.
Trade Agreements:
"Free Trade Agreements and the Consolidation of Democracy." (with Emanuel Ornelas, London School of Economics). [Also Available at: VoxEU & WTO Forum]. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 6(2): 29-70, April 2014. Online Appendix
"GATT/WTO Promotes Trade Strongly: Sample Selection and Model Specification." Review of International Economics 17(3), 428-446, 2009. [Main finding: WTO not only promotes trade among existing partners at the intensive margin, but also creates new trading relationships at the extensive margin.] * Dataset, covering 217 countries
“The Impacts of the GATT/WTO on Trade: Formal Members versus Non-member Participants.” In Benjamin Zissimos (Eds.), ‘The World Trade Organization and Economic Development’. 2019. MIT Press, Massachusetts, MA.
"Trade Agreements and Economic Growth" Southern Economic Journal 82(4): 1374-1401, April 2016.
"Testing Conflicting Political Economy Theories: Full-fledged versus Partial-scope Regional Trade Agreements," Southern Economic Journal 77(1): 78-103, 2010. [Also Available at: WTO Forum]
"The Political Economy of Free Trade Agreements: An Empirical Investigation." Journal of Economic Integration 23(2): 237-271, 2008.
"Evaluating the Trade Impact of Information Technology Agreement." In Christopher Findlay (Eds.), 'Light the lamp': Papers on World Trade and Investment In Memory of Bijit Bora. World Scientific. 2010. Singapore. (with Bijit Bora, WTO)
"The Information Technology Agreement: Sui Generis or Model Stepping Stone?" (with Catherine L. Mann, Brandeis University). In Richard Baldwin and Patrick Low (Eds.), Multilateralizing Regionalism. Cambridge University Press, 2009.
"A Political-economic Analysis of Free-trade Agreements: Comment." [PDF] American Economic Review Comment, Sept. 2007 [Online].
Trade & Development:
"Trade Agreements and Economic Growth." Southern Economic Journal 82(4): 1374-1401, April 2016.
"Trade and Income Convergence: Sorting out the Causality." Journal of International Trade & Economic Development 18(1):169-195, 2009.
Non-technical Writings:
"Market vs. Government in Managing the Chinese Economy." China Currents 13(2), 2014.
"Market vs. Government in Managing the Chinese Economy: Domestic and International Challenges Under Xi Jinping." China Currents 18(1), 2019.
"Chinese Economy amid COVID-19 Pandemic: Prospects and Policies." China Currents 19(2), 06/03/2020.