We focus to better understand the regional/local weather and climate phenomena, their variability and changes, through dynamical downscaling and analysis of observations. The members of the group also focus on improving the seasonal climate forecasts, cloud-resolving modelling of mesoscale convective systems, future projections of extremes at the regional and local scale in the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model.
Understanding the Weather and Climate Extremes
Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) extreme rainfall events over Central Indian Region between 1980 and 2021
Indian Winter Monsoon: Variability, Drivers, Trends and Simulation/Prediction
Winter precipitation is observed in the northern parts of Indian subcontinent through December to March due to the passage of western disturbances embedded in the sub-tropical westerly jet stream. This precipitation is a primary irrigational source for agriculture and plays a critical role in replenishing the water resources in the northern plains and maintaining the snow cover of the Himalayan glaciers. Being thickly populated, North India is prone to heavy destruction due to the increased frequency and intensity of extreme precipitation events such as, flash floods, cloudbursts, landslides, avalanches, etc. We aim to understand and simulate the winter precipitation dynamics and its key mechanisms over the Himalayas at a range of resolutions, including cloud-resolving scales.
Himalayan Monsoon Rainfall Variability, Trends, Simulation and Predictability
The Himalayas, also known as the Water Tower, are a high mountain terrain with a complex interaction between atmosphere and topography. The complexity of the terrain and the high meteorological diversity make this region the most attractive to the research communities. Due to warming world, the changes in atmospheric conditions over the Himalayas cause in extreme precipitation events, flash floods, cloud bursts, river flooding, and landslides. We aim to understand and predict the summer monsoon rainfall and extreme rainfall events over the Himalayan mountains and downstream regions.
Cold Waves Variability, Trends, Simulation and Predictability
Cold waves are extreme weather events prominent during the winter season (November to February) of India. A cold wave is characterized by a sharp drop of air temperature near the surface, steep rise of pressure and strengthening of wind speed associated with hazardous weather. Cold waves are most commonly associated with the passage of a western disturbance (WD) although several other factors such as ENSO, Siberian High (SH), low-pressure system over Arabian sea plays critical role. Cold wave has detrimental effect on the health of human beings as it can increase the mortality rate owing to the socio-economic conditions. In addition to this cold wave also has serious impacts on agriculture, livestock, marine and several other sectors. We aim to understand and predict the influence of cold waves over the north Indian region.
Indian Summer Monsoon: Dynamics, thermodynamics, Simulation and Predictability
The Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) is a complex weather phenomenon that brings heavy rainfall to the Indian subcontinent and surrounding regions from June to September, providing over 70% of India's annual rainfall. While studies suggest that frequency and intensity of extreme precipitation events are on the rise over India, climate change is expected to affect the ISM, leading to even more extreme rainfall events, longer dry spells, and potential consequences for water and food security. Our research group focuses on studying the dynamic and thermodynamic characteristics of ISM extremes, aimed at enhancing our understanding of the physical processes driving those extreme events. We also aim to simulate ISM extremes using advanced modelling techniques such as the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model and investigate the potential for improving forecasts through the assimilation of high resolution observation datasets such as satellite and radar data.
Investigation of Aerosol Variability and Dust storms
The atmospheric aerosols demonstrate spatial and temporal heterogeneity across the different part of India due to variable climatic conditions, intense urbanization and industrialization in the past decades. The abundances in aerosols concentrations can cause severe impacts on various sectors such as the ecosystem, atmospheric visibility, human health. Using state-of-the-art atmospheric modellig, available in-situ and remote sensing observations and global reanalyses, we aim to understand the physical process responsible for DSs and their influence on regional dynamics. We further develop the regional early warning system using numerical models to mitigate their impacts.
Heat Stress and its impacts
Global warming is not just a prediction anymore, we all know the earth is getting hotter day by day. Our body uses different metabolic mechanisms to maintain the core temperature, but when the temperature is above a certain level, body is not able to maintain the core temperature and heat stress occurs. Heat stress has many detrimental impacts on our body such as heat cramps, heat strokes etc. So, it makes the study over heat stress very vital so as to predict its intensity in the coming future. It would also help us to identify the hotspot region and form mitigation policies to tackle this threat.
Research Facilities
Fusionstor Invento i712 Purley Series (High-end Workstation)
Processor: Intel® Xeon(R) Platinum 8260
96 cores, 2.30GHz, RAM- 256GB
Graphics: NVIDIA Quadro RTX400/PCle/SSE2
Supermicro SuperWorkstation (High-end Workstation)
Processor: Intel® Xeon(R) Silver 4216
64 cores, 2.10GHz, RAM-128GB
Graphics: NVIDIA Quadro P2000/PCle/SSE2
Fusionstor Invento i712 Purley Series (High-end Workstation)
Processor: Intel® Xeon(R) Gold 6145
80 cores, 2.00GHz, RAM-128GB
Graphics: NVIDIA Quadro P1000/PCle/SSE2
Fusionstor Invento i712 Purley Series (High-end Workstation)
Processor: Intel® Xeon(R) Silver 4210
40 cores, 2.20GHz, RAM-96GB
Graphics: NVIDIA Quadro P400/PCle/SSE2
Unified NAS Storage System
Xeon® 8 Core 2.6GHz
02 x 10Gbps (iSCSI) ports
Low latency IB Single Port Controller (100Gbps)
36 hot-swap SAS internal HDD bays