Latest analytical notes, working papers, and strategic forecasts.ย
- Authorโs blog: Strategic by Vivien
- Permanent open archive: Zenodo โ Vivien Yor analytics
ย Researcher ID: ORCID 0009-0009-7030-8151
The "Trading Suburb" Phenomenon of the Global South: Mechanisms of Geo-Economic Arbitrage within the Techno-Westphalian Paradigm
ย ๐ July 21, 2026 | ๐๏ธ Zenodo Repository | ๐ DOI: [10.5281/zenodo.21470754](https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21470754) (Available in English)
Financial Techno-Realism: Non-SWIFT Clearing Architectures, Commodity-Backed Assets, and Institutional Sovereignty in BRICS+ Economies
ย ๐ July 19, 2026 | ๐๏ธ Zenodo Repository | ๐ DOI: [10.5281/zenodo.21440047](https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21440047) (Available in English)
The Sixth Technological Paradigm: Nature, Development, Risks and Prospects for Global Economic Transformationย
ย ๐ July 18, 2026 | ๐ Strategic Review Blog | (Available in English)
Techno-Realism and Infrastructure Autonomy: Redefining Sovereign Supply Chains in Fragmented Markets
ย ย ๐ July 17, 2026| ๐๏ธ Zenodo Repository | ๐ DOI: [10.5281/zenodo.21415391](https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21415391) (Available in English)
ย ๐ July 24, 2026 | ๐ Geopolitika.ru | (Available in Russian)
ะะตะพะฟะพะปะธัะธัะตัะบะธะน ััะฟะธะบ ะดะพะบััะธะฝั "ะัะตะฟะพััั ะะผะตัะธะบะฐ" ะธ ะฟะตัะตัะพัะผะฐัะธัะพะฒะฐะฝะธะต ัะธััะตะผั ะผะตะถะดัะฝะฐัะพะดะฝัั ะพัะฝะพัะตะฝะธะน ะฒ 2026 ะณะพะดั
ย ๐ July 22, 2026 | ๐ Diplomat.ru | (Available in Russian)
This list contains the foundational works outlining the authorโs original concepts of Technorealism and TechnoโWestphalian Order, alongside analytical frameworks for assessing global processes. All core studies are registered with permanent Digital Object Identifiers (DOIs) to secure authorship, priority of discovery, and immutable record of findings.
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๐ Mathematical Framework & Methodology
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(The scientific basis distinguishing this work from descriptive analysis)
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Methodology for Quantitative Assessment of State Sovereignty and Corporate Resilience Amid Fragmentation of Global Tech Systems. Yorโs Technorealism
๐ May 29, 2026 | ๐๏ธ Zenodo | ๐ DOI:ย 10.5281/zenodo.10443085ย
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The TechnoโWestphalian Model of the World Order: Macroeconomic Deformations and Transformation Scenarios for the Global System (2026โ2036)
๐ July 10, 2026 | ๐๏ธ Zenodo | ๐ DOI:ย 10.5281/zenodo.1021307932ย
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๐บ๏ธ Global Trends & Strategic Forecasting
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(Longโterm structural shifts assessed through 2050โ2060)
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From Hegemony to Citadel: Strategic Analysis of the U.S. Security Shift (2026โ2056)
๐ July 9, 2026 | ๐๏ธ Zenodo | ๐ DOI:ย 10.5281/zenodo.1021279032ย
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Fortress America: Architecture of the New World Order, Resilience Mechanisms, and Horizons of Transformation
๐ June 23, 2026 | ๐ Blog / Working Paper
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The New Geopolitics: Balance of Dependence and Technological Sovereignty
๐ April 30, 2026 | ๐๏ธ Zenodo | ๐ DOI:ย 10.5281/zenodo.1019681376ย
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๐ช๐บ European Track: Macroeconomic & Political Dislocation
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(Structural crises and emerging models of sovereignty)
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Europe 2026: Tectonic Shift of the Political System and the Formation of a New Sovereignty Model
๐ July 2, 2026 | ๐ Blog / Research Paper
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The EU and the Middle East Conflict: Between Unity and Split in the New Geopolitical Reality
๐ March 28, 2026 | ๐๏ธ Zenodo | ๐ DOI:ย 10.5281/zenodo.xxxxxxย | Originally published at: Diplomat.ru
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๐จ๐ณ AsiaโPacific & Infrastructure Sovereignty
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(Regional integration and hidden infrastructure interdependencies)
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Infrastructure Sovereignty Along the Silk Road: Rethinking MacroโRegional Corridors in the New Westphalian Era
๐ July 11, 2026 | ๐๏ธ Zenodo | ๐ DOI:ย 10.5281/zenodo.1021293733ย
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Xi Jinping in Pyongyang: New Strategic Ties and Geopolitical Interests
๐ June 12, 2026 | ๐ Blog / Policy Brief
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๐ค Tech Sovereignty & Intelligent Diplomacy
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(Intersection of geopolitics, technology, and institutional practice)
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Diplomacy in the Age of Intelligence: How Neural Networks Change the Protocol
๐ April 21, 2026 | ๐๏ธ Zenodo | ๐ DOI:ย 10.5281/zenodo.1019398827ย
65 research papers and policy briefs structured by key geopolitical tracks.
The Techno-Westphalian Model of the World Order: Macroeconomic Deformations and Transformation Scenarios for the Global System (2026โ2036)ย
ย ย ๐ July 10, 2026 | ๐๏ธ Zenodo Repository | ๐ DOI: [10.5281/zenodo.21307932](https://doi.org) (Available in English)
Infrastructure Sovereignty Along the Silk Road: Rethinking Macro-Regional Corridors in the New Westphalian Eraย
ย ย ๐ July 11, 2026 | ๐๏ธ Zenodo Repository | ๐ DOI: [10.5281/zenodo.21293733](https://doi.org) (Available in English)
From Hegemony to Citadel: Strategic Analysis of the U.S. Security Shift (2026โ2056)ย
ย ย ๐ July 9, 2026 | ๐๏ธ Zenodo & Personal Blog | ๐ DOI: [10.5281/zenodo.21279032](https://doi.org) (Bilingual: Available in English & Russian)
Methodology for Quantitative Assessment of State Sovereignty and Corporate Resilience Amid Fragmentation of Global Tech Systems. *Yor's Technorealism*ย
ย ย ๐ May 29, 2026 | ๐๏ธ Zenodo Repository | ๐ DOI: [10.5281/zenodo.20443085](https://doi.org) (Published in Russian)
Beneficiaries of Chaos: The Architecture of Global Governmentย
ย ย ๐ April 22, 2026 | ๐๏ธ Zenodo & Personal Blog | ๐ DOI: [10.5281/zenodo.19688676](https://doi.org) (Bilingual: EN / RU)
The Queenbishop in the Grandmasterโs Hands: Why the World Plays by Washingtonโs Rulesย
ย ย ๐ April 24, 2026 | ๐ Personal Blog (Available in English)
Digital Geopolitics: Three Worlds of AI and the Train of Historyย
ย ย ๐ May 2, 2026 | ๐ฐ Diplomat.ru (Foreign Policy Media) (Published in Russian)
Diplomacy in the Age of Intelligence: How Neural Networks Change the Protocolย
ย ย ๐ April 21, 2026 | ๐๏ธ Zenodo & Diplomat.ru | ๐ DOI: [10.5281/zenodo.19398827](https://doi.org) (Published in Russian)
Digital Resistance: How People Will Fight for the Right to Privacyย
ย ย ๐ April 17, 2026 | ๐ Personal Blog (Bilingual: EN / RU)
Algorithms and Sovereignty: The Future Begins Todayย
ย ย ๐ May 2, 2026 | ๐ Personal Blog (Published in Russian)
The New Geopolitics: Balance of Dependence and Technological Sovereigntyย
ย ย ๐ April 30, 2026 | ๐ Personal Blog | ๐ DOI: [10.5281/zenodo.19681376](https://doi.org) (Published in Russian)
Technologies 2026: Growth, Fragmentation, and the New Reality of Import Substitutionย
ย ย ๐ July 5, 2026 | ๐ Personal Blog (Published in Russian)
Technology of Power:From Pyramid to Matrix / Technologie du Pouvoir: De la Pyramide ร la Matriceย
ย ย ๐ May 7, 2026 | ๐ Personal Blog (Bilingual: FR / RU)
Multipolarity as an Illusion: Transformation of the Global Order in the Era of Bipolarity and Fragmentation
ย ๐ June 23, 2026 | ๐ Personal Blog (Bilingual: EN / RU)
Global Economic Crisis 2026: Signs, Facts, Figures, and the Nature of Systemic Breakdown
ย ย ๐ May 23, 2026 | ๐ Personal Blog (Bilingual: EN / RU)
Beneath the Diplomacy: Real Causes of Coming Wars
ย ย ๐ May 9, 2026 | ๐ Personal Blog (Bilingual: EN / RU)
Risk Map: Where the Next Conflict Will Ignite
ย ย ๐ May 8, 2026 | ๐ฐ Geopolitica.ru (Strategic Review) (Published in Russian)
Alliances and Blocks: The New World Map and the Struggle for Influence
ย ย ๐ May 1, 2026 | ๐ฐ Diplomat.ru (Foreign Policy Media) (Published in Russian)
Energy, Space and AI: The New Reality of 2030+
ย ย ๐ April 30, 2026 | ๐ Personal Blog (Bilingual: EN / RU)
Anatomy of a Rift: UAE's Exit from OPEC+ as a Sign of a New Era
ย ย ๐ April 29, 2026* | ๐ Personal Blog (Bilingual: EN / RU)
Global Hotspots
ย ย ๐ April 17, 2026 | ๐ฐ Geopolitica.ru (Strategic Review) (Published in Russian)
Economic Map of the Planet: Who Rules the World in 2026?
ย ย ๐ April 12, 2026 | ๐ฐ Diplomat.ru (Foreign Policy Media) (Published in Russian)
International Relations and the Global Economy in 2026: Status and Perspectives
ย ย ๐ March 1, 2026 | ๐ฐ Diplomat.ru (Foreign Policy Media) (Published in Russian)
The Double Logic of Power
ย ๐ February 16, 2026 | ๐ฐ Geopolitica.ru (Strategic Review) (Published in Russian)
* **China: Ambitions Under Heaven,** or the Limits of Growth in the New System
ย ย ๐ *July 1, 2026* | ๐ฐ Geopolitica.ru (Strategic Review) *(Published in Russian)*
* **Russia โ ASEAN:** Cooperation via the Logic of Technological Sovereignty
ย ย ๐ *June 21, 2026* | ๐ Personal Blog *(Published in Russian)*
* **Xi Jinping in Pyongyang:** New Strategic Ties and Geopolitical Interests
ย ย ๐ *June 12, 2026* | ๐ Personal Blog *(Bilingual: EN / RU)*
* **China's Political System and Economic Model:** Structure, Evolution, and Contemporary Challenges
ย ย ๐ *May 29, 2026* | ๐ฐ Geopolitica.ru (Strategic Review) *(Published in Russian)*
* **Russia-China Strategic Partnership:** Outcomes of Putin's Visit to Beijing
ย ย ๐ *May 25, 2026* | ๐ฐ Diplomat.ru (Foreign Policy Media) *(Published in Russian)*
* **Geopolitical Ambitions and Projects of China:** Strategy, Doctrines, and Implementation Practice
ย ย ๐ *May 18, 2026* | ๐ฐ Geopolitica.ru (Strategic Review) *(Published in Russian)*
* **China: Between Power and Vulnerability**
ย ย ๐ *April 26, 2026* | ๐ Personal Blog *(Bilingual: EN / RU)*
* **India: The "Third Way"** as a New Model of Global Development
ย ย ๐ *April 30, 2026* | ๐ Personal Blog *(Bilingual: EN / RU)*
* **Iran: A Civilization on the Edge of War and Peace**
ย ย ๐ *April 28, 2026* | ๐ Personal Blog *(Bilingual: EN / RU)*
* **The EU and the Middle East Conflict:** Between Unity and Split in the New Geopolitical Reality
ย ย ๐ *March 28, 2026* | ๐๏ธ Zenodo Repository / ๐ฐ Diplomat.ru *(Cross-publication / Published in Russian)*
* **The Pivot to the East:** How Cooperation with ASEAN is Changing Russia's Future Right Now
ย ย ๐ *March 21, 2026* | ๐ฐ Diplomat.ru (Foreign Policy Media) *(Published in Russian)*
* **From Temporary Alliances to a Multipolar World:** India and Emerging Centers of Power
ย ย ๐ *March 15, 2026* | ๐ฐ Diplomat.ru (Foreign Policy Media) *(Published in Russian)*
* **Iran 2025 โ Early 2026:** Systemic Crisis, Regional Confrontation, and Geopolitical Consequences
ย ย ๐ *March 13, 2026* | ๐ฐ Geopolitica.ru (Strategic Review) *(Published in Russian)*
* **The US and Iran:** A Long Way to a Global Geopolitical Challenge
ย ย ๐ *March 8, 2026* | ๐ฐ Diplomat.ru (Foreign Policy Media) *(Published in Russian)*
* **The Middle East Conflict and its Consequences for South Asia**
ย ย ๐ *March 27, 2026* | ๐ฐ Geopolitica.ru (Strategic Review) *(Published in Russian)*
* **South Asia:** Between Global Competition and Regional Unity
ย ย ๐ *March 19, 2026* | ๐ฐ Geopolitica.ru (Strategic Review) *(Published in Russian)*
* **Geopolitical Perspectives:** The Impact of PLA Processes and the "Peace Council" Initiative on Russia-China Relations
ย ย ๐ *February 4, 2026* | ๐ฐ Geopolitica.ru (Strategic Review) *(Published in Russian)*
* **Russia and Central Asia:** Transformation of Relations in a Multipolar World
ย ย ๐ *April 30, 2026* | ๐ Personal Blog *(Bilingual: EN / RU)*
* **Geopolitics of Africa:** Interests of Global and Regional Players
ย ย ๐ *April 20, 2026* | ๐ฐ Diplomat.ru (Foreign Policy Media) *(Published in Russian)*
* **The Era of Global Changes: Africa on the Rise** โ Economy, Current Status, and Perspectives
ย ย ๐ *April 10, 2026* | ๐ฐ Diplomat.ru (Foreign Policy Media) *(Published in Russian)*
* **Africa in the Emerging Multipolar World:** Integration Processes and Cooperation with BRICS
ย ย ๐ *April 8, 2026* | ๐ฐ Geopolitica.ru (Strategic Review) *(Published in Russian)*
* **The Era of Global Changes: Africa on the Rise.** The Political Map of Africa
ย ย ๐ *March 29, 2026* | ๐ฐ Diplomat.ru (Foreign Policy Media) *(Published in Russian)*
* **Latin America Between Three Powers:** USA, China, Russia
ย ย ๐ *March 5, 2026* | ๐ฐ Geopolitica.ru (Strategic Review) *(Published in Russian)*
* **Europe Between Sovereignty and Integration:** Risks of Peripheralization in the Context of the "Fortress America" Strategy
ย ย ๐ *July 10, 2026* | ๐ฐ Geopolitica.ru (Strategic Review) *(Published in Russian)*
* **Europe 2026:** Tectonic Shift of the Political System and the Formation of a New Sovereignty Model
ย ย ๐ *July 2, 2026* | ๐ Personal Blog *(Bilingual: EN / RU)*
* **The Russian State-Economic Model:** Structure, Contradictions, and Development Perspectives Until 2035
ย ย ๐ *June 30, 2026* | ๐ Personal Blog *(Published in Russian)*
* **The Economic Pivot of the Russian Federation** in the System of Global Geopolitical and Financial Transformations of 2024โ2026
ย ย ๐ *June 25, 2026* | ๐ Personal Blog *(Published in Russian)*
* **Fortress America:** Architecture of the New World Order, Resilience Mechanisms, and Horizons of Transformation
ย ย ๐ *June 23, 2026* | ๐ Personal Blog *(Published in Russian)*
* **G7 Summit in รvian-les-Bains:** Systemic Crisis of the Western Alliance
ย ย ๐ *June 22, 2026* | ๐ Personal Blog *(Published in Russian)*
* **Political Crisis in the UK:** The Resignation of Keir Starmer
ย ย ๐ *June 22, 2026* | ๐ Personal Blog *(Published in Russian)*
* **Poland and Ukraine:** Historical Memory as a Factor of Geopolitical Divide
ย ย ๐ *June 21, 2026* | ๐ Personal Blog *(Bilingual: EN / RU)*
* **Russia, Eurasia and the New Order:** Place and Role in the System
ย ย ๐ *June 19, 2026* | ๐ฐ Geopolitica.ru (Strategic Review) *(Published in Russian)*
* **Eurasian Security and Development Union** โ and Five Alternative Scenarios for Russia
ย ย ๐ *June 11, 2026* | ๐ฐ Diplomat.ru (Foreign Policy Media) *(Published in Russian)*
* **The Resignation of John Healey:** Split in the UK and Geopolitical Risks Until 2030
ย ย ๐ *June 11, 2026* | ๐ Personal Blog *(Published in Russian)*
* **Fortress America:** Strategy of a New Era
ย ย ๐ *June 10, 2026* | ๐ฐ Geopolitica.ru (Strategic Review) *(Published in Russian)*
* **Gerhard Schrรถder in Moscow:** The Race for a Place in the New Global Reality
ย ย ๐ *June 10, 2026* | ๐ Personal Blog *(Published in Russian)*
* **Otage de Pรฉkin:** comment la Chine contrรดle lโindustrie de dรฉfense europรฉenne
ย ย ๐ *June 10, 2026* | ๐ Personal Blog *(Bilingual: FR / RU)*
* **LโEurope 2026:** le point de non-retour. Dโune puissance mondiale ร une pรฉriphรฉrie
ย ย ๐ *June 10, 2026* | ๐ Personal Blog *(Bilingual: FR / RU)*
* **Europe 2026: The New Pragmatism** โ How EU Policy Is Changing Under Pressure of Reality
ย ย ๐ *May 28, 2026* | ๐ Personal Blog *(Bilingual: EN / RU)*
* **Europe 2026: The Energy Dead End** โ Starting Point for Change
ย ย ๐ *May 25, 2026* | ๐ Personal Blog *(Bilingual: EN / RU)*
* **Russia-USA Deal:** Probability, Conditions, and the New Reality for the World and Russia
ย ย ๐ *May 17, 2026* | ๐ฐ Diplomat.ru (Foreign Policy Media) *(Published in Russian)*
* **Russian Economy:** Status in May 2026, Trends, and Perspectives
ย ย ๐ *May 12, 2026* | ๐ฐ Diplomat.ru & Personal Blog *(Cross-publication / Published in Russian)*
* **Yerevan Changes the Paradigm:** The Summit in Armenia as the Beginning of a New Era
ย ย ๐ *May 12, 2026* | ๐ Personal Blog *(Published in Russian)*
* **The Czech Republic Chooses Realism:** Oil, Kazakhstan, and the Challenge of Dialogue with Moscow
ย ย ๐ *May 9, 2026* | ๐ Personal Blog *(Published in Russian)*
* **Russia's Economy:** Military Power and Geopolitics โ A Hypothetical Conflict Between Russia and China
ย ย ๐ *May 20, 2026* | ๐ฐ Diplomat.ru (Foreign Policy Media) *(Published in Russian)*
* **Geopolitical Architecture of Eurasia in 2026:** New Axes of Influence and Interaction Mechanisms
ย ย ๐ *May 6, 2026* | ๐ Personal Blog *(Published in Russian)*
* **Europe on the Path to 2030:** Time Bought with Blood and Future Scenarios
ย ย ๐ *April 18, 2026* | ๐ Personal Blog *(Bilingual: EN / RU)*
* **The UK Sets a 'Record':** Taxes Rising Faster Than in Any G7 Country
ย ย ๐ *April 16, 2026* | ๐ Personal Blog *(Bilingual: EN / RU)*
* **Economy of Russia:** Limits of Adaptation and the New Reality
ย ย ๐ *April 16, 2026* | ๐ Personal Blog *(Bilingual: EN / RU)*
* **New Architecture of European Security:** Redefining the Project
ย ย ๐ *April 15, 2026* | ๐ Personal Blog *(Bilingual: EN / RU)*
* **Germany in Focus:** Economy, Politics, Society, and Geopolitical Challenges of the Future
ย ย ๐ *April 7, 2026* | ๐ฐ Diplomat.ru (Foreign Policy Media) *(Published in Russian)*
* **Trump, Syria, and Risks for Russia**
ย ย ๐ *February 25, 2026* | ๐ฐ Geopolitica.ru (Strategic Review) *(Published in Russian)*
For real-time discussions, long-form essays, and multi-language translations, please visit the respective sections of my personal analytical journal:ย