RESEARCH

Fields of interest

Macroeconomics, Time Series Econometrics, Environmental and Natural Resource Economics.

Publications

2026, "Macroeconomic effects of public R&D" , with Matteo Deleidi, Mariana Mazzucato, and Paolo Agnolucci, forthcoming in the Economic Journal.

2025, "The evolution and implications of national energy cost shares", with Paolo Agnolucci, Defne Gencer, Abraham Lartey, and Michael Grubb, Energy Economics, 148.

World Bank report: "Long-Run Impacts of Energy Prices on Energy Spending"

2024, "Climate change and the US wheat commodity market", with Paolo Agnolucci, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 161.

Media coverage: Earth.com, 13 April 2024, "U.S. wheat market has been remarkably resilient amid climate change".

2023, "Modeling final energy demand and the impacts of energy price reform in Saudi Arabia", with Anwar Gasim, Paolo Agnolucci, and Paul Ekins, Energy Economics, 120.

2021, "Dating structural changes in UK monetary policy", The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, 21(2): 509-539.

2021, "Is time preference different across incomes and countries?", Economics Letters, 201, April 2021.

2020, "The impacts of rising temperatures and management practices on global crop yields and food security", with Paolo Agnolucci et al., Nature Food, 1: 562-571.

Media coverage: Financial Times, 25 July 2021, The Big Read: "What growing avocados in Sicily tells us about climate change and the future of food".

Newsweek, 13 October 2020, "Are We a Fatally Flawed Species?".

2020, "Fuel demand across UK industrial sub-sectors", The Energy Journal, 41(6), with Paolo Agnolucci.

2019, "Long-run trend in agricultural yield and climatic factors in Europe", Climatic Change, 159: 385-405, with Paolo Agnolucci.

Media coverage: The Conversation, 15 December 2021, "How climate change and extreme weather may lead to food shortages and escalating prices".

World Economic Forum, 23 December 2021, "Climate change and food: The potential impact on production and prices".

2018, "International commodity trade: stylised facts", chapter for Routledge Handbook of the Resource Nexus, with Paolo Agnolucci and Raimund Bleischwitz. link

2017, "Modelling UK sub-sector industrial energy demand",  Energy Economics, 46: 366-374 , with Paolo Agnolucci and Theo Arvanitopoulos.

2017, "Oil Price Paths in 2017: Is a Sustained Recovery of the Oil Price Looming?", Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, with Andreas Economou, Bassam Fattouh and Paolo Agnolucci. 

Working papers

"Energy-saving technological change in the UK industrial sector", with Theodoros Arvanitopoulos and Paolo Agnolucci.

"Structural market effects of UK bioenergy policy ", with Paolo Agnolucci.

"The growing impact of climate change on European crops", with Paolo Agnolucci.

"A testing procedure for variable partial break models".

Recent grants

The Bartlett Research Grants Scheme 2020, PI for the project "Energy consumption in the age of resource limits" (link).

Work in progress

"Energy innovation and expectations".