Research

PUBLISHED PAPERS

“The Virtues of Hesitation: Optimal Timing in a Non-Stationary World” with Maxwell Stinchcombe, American Economic Review, 105.3 (2015): 1147-1176 [PDF] [Online Appendix]

“State-dependent Preferences in Prediction Markets and Prices as Aggregate Statistic”, Studies in Microeconomics, 4 (2016) :70-77 [PDF]

“Planning for the Long Run: Patient Preferences, Intergenerational Equity and the Precautionary Principle” with Maxwell Stinchcombe, forthcoming at Journal of Economic Theory

“Information Flow Between Prediction Markets, Polls and Media: Evidence from the 2008 Presidential Primaries” with Robert Lieli, forthcoming at International Journal of Forecasting [PDF] [Appendix]

SUBMITTED PAPERS

“Common Law Efficiency when Joinder and Class Actions fail as Aggregation Devices” with Frank Fagan, R&R at European Journal of Law and Economics (revised version coming soon)

"Moral Hazard with Non-additive Uncertainty: When are Actions Implementable?", with Martin Dumav, under review [PDF]

WORKING PAPERS

“Moral Hazard, Uncertain Technologies and Linear Contracts” with Martin Dumav [PDF]

“Optimal Timing of Legislation and Citizen Response” with Frank Fagan (a new version coming soon)

WORK IN PROGRESS

“Bargaining with Two-sided Uncertainty and Non-Bayesian Players: An Experimental Investigation”

“Patience, Irreversibility and Sustainability”, with Maxwell Stinchcombe