PIPP Phase I: 

Modeling the Pandemic Lifecycle for Disease Control

TriCEM-PIPP Phase I focuses on detecting and containing outbreaks in their early stages, before turning into pandemics.

For a zoonotic disease, the pandemic lifecycle begins with a spillover event followed by transmission among humans in a contact network (green). In the next phase, transmission occurs between communities that are connected via human mobility by foot or vehicle (orange). Once the pathogen reaches a municipal center, high population density can rapidly intensify the rate of transmission. In the last phase, international travel allows the pathogen to spread around the world (blue). Networks provide a common foundation to represent each of these phases.

With foundations in network science, we are an interdisciplinary group of scholars from Duke University, North Carolina State University and the University of North Carolina

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