Research + CV

April 2024

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Contact Information

Senior Research Economist

Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

E-mail: todd.schoellman@gmail.com


Employment

2018 -              Senior Research Economist, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

2023 Visiting Professor, Ohio State University (Spring)

2017-2018       Senior Scholar, Opportunity and Inclusive Growth Institute, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

2010-2017       Assistant Professor, Arizona State University

2007-2010       Assistant Professor, Clemson University


Professional Affiliations

Treasurer, Society for Economic Dynamics, August 2022 - 

Editor, Review of Economic Dynamics, August 2022 - 

Associate Editor, Review of Economic Dynamics, February 2020 – August 2022

Associate Editor, Journal of Human Capital, March 2023 - 

Editorial Board, American Economics Journal: Macroeconomics, January 2020–


Education

2007 PhD in Economics, Stanford University

2002 B.S. in Economics, Ohio State University


Working Papers

Labor Market Anatomy of a Macroeconomic Crisis

with K. Donovan, J. Pedtke and W. Lu. June 2023.


The Missing Middle Managers: Labor Costs, Firm Structure, and Development

 with J. Hjort and H. Malmberg, December 2023.


The Growing Importance of Universities for Patenting and Innovation

with V. Smirnyagin, August 2021. 


Structural Transformation by Cohort

with B. Hobijn and A. Vindas, November 2018. 


Spousal Insurance Around the World

with A. Bacher, K. Donovan, P. Grübener, and L. Nord


Economic Development According to Chandler

with N. Engbom, H. Malmberg,  T. Porzio, and F. Rossi


Published and Forthcoming Papers

The Global Distribution of College Graduate Quality

with P. Martellini and J. Sockin, Journal of Political Economy, 2024, 132(2), 434-483. Estimates of College Graduate Quality, Global Colleges 


The Role of Labor Market Frictions in Structural Transformation

with K. Donovan, Oxford Development Studies, 2023, 51(4), 362-374. 


Labor Market Dynamics and Development

with K. Donovan and W. Lu, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2023, 138(4), 2287-2325. Online appendix, LFS Project website, Slides, VoxDev Talks podcatst


Skilled Labor Productivity and Cross-country Income Differences

with L. Hendricks, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2023, 15(1), 240-268. 


College Quality and Attendance Patterns: A Long-Run View

with C. Herrington and L. Hendricks, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2021, 13(1), 184-215. Slides, Online appendix and replication materials 


Life-Cycle Human Capital Accumulation Across Countries: Lessons from U.S. Immigrants

with D. Lagakos, B. Moll, T. Porzio, and N. Qian, Journal of Human Capital, 2018, 12(2), 305-342. Data for experience profiles in figure 2.


Human Capital and Development Accounting: New Evidence from Wage Gains at Migration

with L. Hendricks, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2018, 133(2), 665-700. Slides and online appendix.


Life-Cycle Wage Growth Across Countries

with D. Lagakos, B. Moll, T. Porzio, and N. Qian, Journal of Political Economy, 2018, 126(2), 797-849. Slides, Data for experience profiles, Stata program that computes experience profiles.


Wages, Human Capital, and Barriers to Structural Transformation

with B. Herrendorf, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2018, 10(2), 1-23. Replication materials .


Early Childhood Human Capital and Development

American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2016,  8(3), 145-174. Replication materials , online appendix, corrigendum.


Why is Measured Productivity so Low in Agriculture?

with B. Herrendorf, Review of Economic Dynamics, 2015, 18(4), 1003-1022.


Environmental Regulations and the Welfare Effects of Job Layoffs in the United States: A Spatial Approach

with N. Kuminoff and C. Timmins, Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, 2015, 9(2), 198-218. Longer working paper version


Student Abilities During the Expansion of U.S. Education

with L. Hendricks, Journal of Monetary Economics, 2014, 63(2), 19-36. Slides, Online appendix.


Families as Roommates: Changes in U.S. Household Size from 1850 to 2000

with A. Salcedo and M. Tertilt, Quantitative Economics, 2012,  3(1), 133-175. 


Education Quality and Development Accounting

Review of Economic Studies, 2012, 79(1), 388-417. Slides, data and online appendix , and a brief note explaining how to obtain development accounting results with only assumptions on the aggregate production function; thanks to Antonio Ciccone for suggesting this.


The Occupations and Human Capital of U.S. Immigrants

Journal of Human Capital, 2010, 4(1), 1-34. 


Marriage Laws and Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa

with M. Tertilt, American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings, 2006, 96(2), 295-298.


Research in Progress

The Global Job Ladder

with P. Martellini and J. Sockin


Recent Seminars

2024: Columbia, Planned: Richmond Fed, Mannheim, EIEF

2023: Georgia, UC - Irvine, Johns Hopkins - SAIS, Yale, NYU, Monash, Melbourne, University of New South Wales, Ohio State

2022: Connecticut, VAMS, Duke, Edinburgh, EUI, Autonoma de Barcelona, Toronto Metropolitan

2021: Tsinghua, Central Bank of Chile, Williams, Colby, ESADE, Carnegie Mellon

2020: Clemson, Bank of Canada, Brown, Princeton, Iowa State, York University, McGill

2019: World Bank, UC - San Diego

2018: Toronto, Atlanta Fed, Alberta, British Columbia, Connecticut, Warwick, Royal Holloway, Queen Mary, Cornell


Recent Conference Presentations

2024: STEG Annual Conference, Planned: Exeter Workshop on Structural Transformation, Migration & Organizations Conference, Chicago Fed Growth and Development Conference, SED, Dynare Conference Singapore (Keynote Speaker)

2023: Washington University Growth & Development Conference, LAEF 2nd Annual Labor Market and Macroeconomic Outcomes, SED

2022: Conference on the Impact of Immigrants on Productivity, Firms, and Human Capital, Richmond Fed, SED, NBER Growth meeting, Herrendorf Memorial Conference

2021: SED, Human Capital Conference at St. Louis Fed

2019: SED, Cowles Conference on Macroeconomics, Vienna Macro Cafe, Temple Macro-Growth Workshop

2018: SED, Macroeconomics and Business CYCLE, Canadian Macro Study Group


PhD Advising

Alberto Rivera-Padilla (2019, CSU-Fullerton)

Alex Rivadeneira (2019, Banco de Mexico)

Minjuan Sun (2018, Future-Moves Group)

Rishabh Sinha (2015, World Bank Research Division)


PhD Committee

Joseph Pedtke (2024, Clemson)

Sean Bassler (2024, Amazon)

Joao Fonseca Rodrigues (2022, Amazon)

Vladimir Smirnyagin (2020, Yale SOM Postdoc)

David Bradley (2019, Analysis Group)

Ryan Wessel (2017, LDS Institute of Religion)

Adam Blandin (2016, Virginia Commonwealth University)

Xican Xi (2016, Fudan University)

Andy Ge (2015, Chinese Security Regulatory Committee)

Jaehan Cho (2014, Korea Institute for Industrial Economics and Trade)

Chris Herrington (2013, University of South Alabama)

Kevin Donovan (2013, Notre Dame)

Paul Schreck (2011, analyst position at Minneapolis Fed)


Teaching Experience

PhD: Growth and Development Topics Course

MBA: Macro/International

Undergraduate: Principles of Macro, Intermediate Macro, Growth and Development, International, Trade


Recent Discussions

"The Long-Term Distributional and Welfare Consequences of Covid-19 School Closures" by Fuchs-Schundeln, Krueger, Ludwig, and Popova (CHCS Employment Conference, Fall 2020)

"Accounting for Cross-Country Income Differences: New Evidence from Multinational Firms" by Alviarez, Cravino, and Ramondo (NBER EFEG, Summer 2020)

"Labor Market Search, Informality and Schooling Investments" by Bobba, Flabbi, and Levy (Y-Rise 2019)

"Migration Costs and Observational Returns to Rural-Urban Migration" by Lagakos, Marshall, Mobarak, Waugh, and Vernot (Carnegie-Rochester 2019)

"Selection and Absolute Advantage in Farming and Entrepreneurship: Microeconomic Evidence and Macroeconomic Implications" by Alvarez-Cuadrado, Amodio, and Poschke (CMSG 2019)

"Occupational Choice and the Dynamics of Human Capital, Inequality and Growth" by Dvorkin and Monge-Naranjo (System Committee Meeting on Macroeconomics, Spring 2019)

"Skilled Immigration, Firms, and Policy" by Mehra (NBER IFM Meeting, Winter 2019)

"Structural Change in Investment and Consumption: A Unified Approach" by Herrendorf, Rogerson, and Valentinyi (NBER EFEG, Winter 2018)