The green bond premium: evidence from a multiverse analysis
with P. Kirsch
We study the green bond premium, defined as the yield differential between green and matched conventional bonds in the secondary market. Existing estimates vary widely, raising questions about their robustness. We address this by estimating the premium across more than 500,000 empirical designs spanning common sample and methodological choices. In this multiverse setting, the average premium is -2.59 basis points. It varies systematically with sample composition, with more negative values for municipal bonds, and becomes more negative during periods of increased climate attention. We then examine which empirical choices drive variation in green bond premium estimates. The results show that variation is driven primarily by issuer type and matching choices, whereas other choices, such as liquidity adjustment, contribute little to variation. Finally, we analyze how the reliability of green bond premium estimates depends on market depth. We find that estimates become considerably more stable across alternative empirical designs once the relevant green bond universe exceeds approximately 500 bonds.
The Demand for Sustainable Debt Securities in Fixed Income Funds
with S. Ramos-Britos und A.-P. Lambillon
Meeting global climate goals requires trillions in sustainable investment, much of which depends on investor demand for sustainable debt securities. This paper analyzes green and sustainability-linked bond (SLB) holdings across over 2,500 European and U.S. fixed income funds from 2017 to 2023. The analysis reveals that allocations to green bonds and SLBs have grown steadily over time and are positively associated with the depth of sustainable debt markets. In the U.S., however, this growth was hindered by the 2020 Department of Labor rule and increasing anti-ESG sentiment, which affected both ESG and non-ESG funds. In contrast, the introduction of the Sustainable Finance Disclosure Regulation (SFDR) in Europe in 2021 led to a notable rise in sustainable bond allocations, particularly among ESG-designated funds. These findings highlight the critical role of political and regulatory frameworks in shaping institutional demand for sustainable fixed income assets.
ESG ratings and stock price informativeness
with A. Kempf and P. Kirsch
We examine the effect of ESG ratings on stock price informativeness in a difference-in-differences setting. Utilizing an expansion in MSCI’s ESG rating coverage and a variance decomposition model, we find that ESG ratings increase both firm-specific information and noise in stock prices. However, the increase in firm-specific information is much stronger so we conclude that ESG ratings improve stock price informativeness. This improvement is particularly strong for firms with no prior ESG information available and for more liquid stocks. Finally, we evaluate whether firm managers can learn from the more informative stock prices. We find that this is not the case since the increase in private firm-specific information in stock prices is offset by the increase in noise.
Environmental Tastes: Appearance and Effects
with V. Beyer and C. Klein
This study identifies environmental tastes in the US stock market and analyses implications for investors and companies. Environmental tastes are present in industries with high toxic emissions and lead to the shunning of high-polluting firms. A high-minus-low portfolio based on emission quartiles yields an average annual return of 5.75%, which remains significant after controlling for common risk factors. Thus, investors with low environmental tastes, such as hedge funds, have benefited from the environmental tastes of other investors over the past three decades. Implied cost of capital analyses, however, suggest a negligible effect on firms’ capital budgeting. Our findings emphasize the need for more granular investigations on the existence and effects of environmental tastes in capital markets.
in: Journal of Banking & Finance, 189, 2026 (with V. Beyer)
in: Organization & Environment, 38(3), 2025, pp 378-402 (with T. Busch, C. Klein, L. Scheitza)
in: Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 217, 2024, pp 664-678 (with J. Dobrick, A. Höck, S. Utz and M. Wagner)
in: Journal of Asset Management, 24(7), 2023, pp 572-580 (with M. Dumrose, A. Höck and C. Klein)
Under Pressure? The Link Between Mandatory Climate Reporting and Firms’ Carbon Performance
in: Organization & Environment, 36(1), 2023, pp. 126-149. (with C. Klein, T. Pioch and S. Schiemann)
Spillover Effects of Tax Avoidance on Peers' Firm Value
in: The Accounting Review, 96(4), 2021, pp. 51–79. (with I. Hardeck, K. Inger, P. Wittenstein and B. Zwergel)
Active First Movers vs. Late Free-Riders? An Empirical Analysis of UN PRI Signatories’ Commitment
in: Journal of Business Ethics, 182, 2023, pp. 747–781. (with S. Schaltegger, S. Utz, S. Zeile and B. Zwergel)
New evidence on the impact of the English national soccer team on the FTSE 100
in: Finance Research Letters, 28, 2019, pp. 61-67. (with S. Heiden, C. Klein and B. Zwergel)
Sustainable and Conventional Mutual Funds: Do they Really Differ?
in: Corporate Finance, 2017, with C. Klein, B. Zwergel