Working papers
Monetary Policy under Network-Level Bottlenecks with Galip Kemal Ozhan, Nick Sander, Sebastian Wende
Book Chapters/Policy works
Navigating a Shock-Prone World: Lessons from Cost-of-Living Crises with Marijn A. Bolhuis, Braulio Britos, Bertrand Gruss (co-lead), Chiara Maggi (co-lead), Galip Kemal Ozhan
Chapter 2 in the IMF World Economic Outlook, October 2026
Unpacking Macroeconomic Impacts of Climate Events and Policy Implications in the Philippines with Jean Christine Armas, Yinqiu Lu, Margaux MacDonald, Nicholas Ari Sander, Jeongwon Son, Azar Sultanov
IMF Selected Issues Paper No. 2026/004, January 2026
The Great Tightening: Insights from the Recent Inflation Episode with Jorge Alvarez (co-lead), Emine Boz (co-lead), Thomas Kroen, Alberto Musso, Galip Kemal Ozhan, Nicholas Sander, Sebastian Wende
Chapter 2 in the IMF World Economic Outlook, October 2024
What if? The Effects of a Hard Decoupling from China on the German Economy with David Baqaee, Julian Hinz, Benjamin Moll, Moritz Schularick, Feodora Teti, Joschka Wanner
Paris Report 2: Europe's Economic Security, Jean Pisani-Ferry, Beatrice Weder di Mauro, and Jeromin Zettelmeyer (eds), CEPR Press, Paris & London. May 2024.
Work in progress (Draft Upon Request)
Cost-of-Living Crises: A Cross-Country Approach with Marijn A. Bolhuis, Braulio Britos, Bertrand Gruss, Chiara Maggi, Galip Kemal Ozhan
In preparation for NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2027
Coping Capacity of Production Network to Climate Shocks: A Multi-regional Analysis with Florent McIsaac
Resolution matters: Estimating indirect cost of disasters, from CGEs to supply-chain ABM with P. Astudillo Estevez, J.D. Robalino, M.A. Christensen, C.Colon, S. Hallegatte, S. Juhel, F.J. McIsaac