see how they run
election preview: 2024
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next class
tuesday, november 14
10:15-11:45 AM
Five Alternate Tuesdays • 10:15 a.m.-11:45 a.m. • Auditorium/Zoom
November 14 • December 5
TThis course previews the national presidential nominating contests and General Election campaigns for President, Congress and key California races and ballot measures.
Instructor: Mike Stover Tech Coordinators: Jay Messner and Sue Batie
OLLI at Cal State Fullerton * Spring Semester 2024
november 14, 2024 CLASS NOTES
Please note that article links preceded by "$" are located on websites with a paywall restricting access to non-subscribers. For example, New York Times nonsubscribers can view 10 articles per month free of charge before being prompted to subscribe for a monthly fee to receive full access to The Times on digital platforms.
The articles posted below are not an endorsement of their content but are intended to provide perspectives or supplementary information for class presentations.
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october 18, 2023 NOTES
Forecasts
538.com forecasts:
Congress
What Attacks On John Fetterman’s Health Reveal About Disability And Politics
What happens if Republicans take the House, Senate (or both) in 2023?
What Attacks On John Fetterman’s Health Reveal About Disability And Politics
october 4 CLASS NOTES
General
Issues
Congressional Midterm Elections
5 Reasons For Democrats To Still Be Concerned About The Midterms The Republican Commitment To America
California elections
september 20 CLASS NOTES
General
California
Congressional Midterm Elections
June 21 CLASS NOTES
General
march 3 CLASS NOTES
General
Increased Voter Turnout Could Benefit Republicans Or Democrats In 2020
Think the US is more polarized than ever? You don’t know history
Democratic Presidential Nomination
Getting To The Heart Of Presidential Fitness: How Much Do We Need To Know?
Why Democrats have trouble attacking the democratic socialism of Bernie Sanders
President Trump's Reelection Campaign
Issues
Congressional contests
february 4 CLASS NOTES
Class topics preview:
Iowa caucuses results
Start of California voting
General
$WP: Big Democratic turnout would sink Trump in 2020 election even in a strong economy, says a new study
Democratic Presidential Nomination
President Trump's Reelection Campaign
Trump gains ground in head-to-head match-ups against 2020 Democrats: poll
$WP: Trump’s abrasive personality might help him win reelection — if voters feel it’s a dangerous world
Issues
Congressional contests
Videos: Past Classes and Future Postings
Click:
SOURCES FOR CLASS PRESENTATIONS
Primary Sources
CalMatters
Los Angeles Times
Orange County Register
Rough and Tumble (California news aggregator), rtumble.com
Sacramento Bee
Secondary Sources
Axios
Bloomberg Politics
Fox News
New York Times
Politico
Wall Street Journal
february 28 class notes
Video link: Feb. 28 Class Video
Class topics preview:
North Korea Summit
China trade negotiations
New Democratic Presidential nomination contenders
Articles for review:
Trump-Kim Summit
Use of Emergency Power
Lawfare: Congress Should Limit the Emergency Powers of All Presidents
AEI: Trump’s national emergency is a misuse of military funds
Lawfare: How Congress and President Obama Made Trump’s Wall Possible
2020 Presidential/Congressional Elections
$WP: In Iowa, the field of Democratic presidential candidates splits into haves and have-nots
Democratic Presidential Candidates Debate Rules Won’t Make The 2020 Primaries Any Less Chaotic
Class members-submitted articles/website sources
january 17 class notes
(First class of spring semester)
$WP: Text: Letter Pelosi Sent to Trump on the State of the Union$The Economist: What to expect from the second half of Donald Trump’s first term
Government Shutdown/Border Wall
The Shutdown Is Hurting Trump’s Approval Rating. But Will It Hurt Him in 2020?
$LAT: Why using emergency powers to build border wall may be legal
What Qualifies as a National Emergency? These Historic Events Offer a Guide
$LAT: Five takeaways from Trump's prime-time border security speech
International trade agreements/trade war
See How They Run: The elections of 2019/2020
November 29 class notes
(Final class of fall semester)
$WP: Late gains in California vindicate DCCC’s intervention in House primaries
$WP: House results underscore that what’s good for Trump isn’t so good for the GOP
Democrats Didn’t Win The Senate. But They Did Better Than It Seems.
The Senate Will Be Competitive Again In 2020, But Republicans Are Favored
October 25 CLASS Notes
(Third class of fall semester)
Latest Polling/Forecasts - www.fivethirtyeight.com and other sources
Center for Politics: Combined Forecasts
Some Competitive Races Have Little To No Polling. That’s A Problem.
Kaiser Foundation: Election Tracking Poll: Health Care in the 2018 Midterms
Latests/Updates
OC Congressional Contests
Control of Congress
President Trump Admits He Has 'No Proof' Terrorists Are in the Migrant Caravan
Trump’s Approval Rating Is Up. Republican House Chances Are Down. Does That Make Any Sense?
$WP: Democrats accuse GOP of plotting to cut Medicare, Social Security
Other Elections
Class Member Submitted Articles
september 27 Class Notes
(Second class of fall semester)
Justice Dept. Shakeup
Battle for the Supreme Court; Judge Brett Kavanaugh's confirmation
‘I have never sexually assaulted anyone:’ Brett Kavanaugh’s testimony to Congress, annotated
Trump attacks second Kavanaugh accuser: 'She admits she was drunk'
New Allegation of Sexual Misconduct, from Brett Kavanaugh’s College Years
How Will The Troubled Kavanaugh Nomination Affect The Midterms?
Red State: Anatomy Of A Smear: Brett Kavanaugh And The New Journalism
China Trade War
Political Lab: Orange County Congressional Contests
$LAT: Forget Trump and demonize Democrats as wild-eyed radicals — that's the Republican midterm strategy
Congressional Mid-Term Elections 2018
RNC internal poll finds GOP in danger due to complacent Trump voters: report
Poll: Almost three-quarters of Democratic women ‘very motivated’ to vote
Republicans Are Favorites In The Senate, But Democrats Have Two Paths To An Upset
The House Districts That Swing The Most (And Least) With The National
President Trump
Special Counsel Investigation
Class Member-Suggested Articles
september 13 Class Notes
(First class of fall semester)
Class one topics preview:
Kavanaugh Supreme Court nomination
Emerging federal and state campaign issues
National/California campaign news and analysis
Please note that article links preceded by "$" are located on websites with a paywall restricting access to nonsubscribers. For example, New York Times non subscribers can view 10 articles per month free of charge before being prompted to subscribe for a monthly fee to receive full access to The Times on digital platforms.
Articles posted below are not an endorsement of their content, but intended to provide perspectives or supplementary information for class presentations.
OC Register article on Trump Presidency class
Latest/Updates
Battle for the Supreme Court; Judge Brett Kavanaugh's confirmation
Trump in good shape to secure second Supreme Court confirmation victory
$NYT Video: Answers to Your Questions About the Kavanaugh Hearings
Supreme Court Confirmation Hearings Weren’t Always Such a Spectacle. There’s a Reason That Changed
California Elections Including Orange County House Elections
$SacBee: Gavin Newsom has big plans for California. So how would he pay for them?
Rent control fuels costliest fight on California 2018 ballot
$LAT: Track California’s House races as the field is set for the midterm elections
Political Lab: 39th Congressional District
Republican PAC slams Dem candidate on sexual harassment allegations
Brietbart: Obama to Campaign in California for Democrat Gil Cisneros
Meet the Republican Running to Be the First Korean-American Woman Elected to Congress
Congressional Mid-Term Elections 2018
Election Update: Democrats Are In Their Best Position Yet To Retake The House
Election Update: Check Out How The Forecast Works For All 435 House Races
As Midterms Near, Democrats Are More Politically Active Than Republicans
President Trump . . . and Obama
$NYT: Opinion | I Am Part of the Resistance Inside the Trump Administration
Red State: Why the Anonymous New York Times Op-Ed Is a Major Media Blunder
$WP: Bob Woodward’s new book reveals a ‘nervous breakdown’ of Trump’s presidency$WP: Trump says he has a deal with Mexico. Here’s what’s in it.
Americans distrusted US democracy long before Trump’s Russia problem
july 31 Class Notes
(Summer Semester Class 5, final class of semester)
Latest/Updates
Battle for the Supreme Court; Judge Brett Kavanaugh's confirmation
International /Trade War
California Elections
Congressional Mid-Term Elections 2018
President Trump
july 17 Class Notes
(Summer Semester Class 4)
Battle for the Supreme Court; Judge Brett Kavanaugh's confirmation
California Elections
Congressional Mid-Term Elections 2018
President Trump
Trump NATO and Putin Summits
Five takeaways from Trump's jaw-dropping performance with PutinWhat Putin wants in Helsinki
$NYT: Trump Reaffirms NATO Ties, and Dismisses Concerns About Russia
The Russian Hacking Indictments Laid Out Cold, Hard Facts Amid the Theatrics
Trump pushes Germany, NATO allies to jack up defense spending in tense meeting
Is Trump Fueling Republicans’ Concerns About NATO, Or Echoing Them?
$ Economist: Will Donald Trump be Triumphant, Tetchy or Torpedo?
International /Trade War
Class Member-Suggested Articles
july 3 Class Notes
(Summer Semester Class 3)
Latest/Updates
Supreme Court deals blow to public-sector unions, ruling against 'fair-share' fees
Upsets In New York and Maryland Primaries May Signal a Major Change for the Democrats
Battle for the Supreme Court; Justice Kennedy's Replacement
California Elections
Congressional Mid-Term Elections 2018
Special Election In Texas Could Be A Good Sign For The GOP … Or Not
Republicans put power of party behind eleven 'Young Gun' congressional candidates
Primaries Expose Division Among Democrats, While Republicans Unite Behind President Trump's Picks
Political stunner! Crowley knocked off by millennial challenger
President Trump
Trump-Putin Summit
International /Trade War
Supreme Court's monumental ruling in support of Trump's travel ban
Trump Decides Against Harshest Measures on China Investments
Class Member-Suggested Articles
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june 19 Class Notes
(Summer Semester Class 2)
Latest/Updates
Inspector General Report on FBI investigation of Clinton Email
California Primary
Latest 39th CD Results (with many more votes pending from mail-in, provisional ballots)
House Ratings Changes: Democrats Breathe a California-Sized Sigh of Relief
Democrats Avoided a Nightmare Scenario in California That Could Have Cost Them the House
Congressional Mid-Term Elections 2018
President Trump
Korea Summit
International Trade
Media and politics
Class Member-Suggested Articles
june 5 Class Notes
(Summer Semester Class 1)
California Primary
Democrats’ Final Push to Avoid Shutout in Key California Races
$WP: California’s open primaries are a cautionary tale about political reform
$WP: In Southern California, Democrats play the blame game as House races loom
How a surge of progressive energy could backfire on Democrats in California
$16 million spent by three millionaire Congressional candidates
Dem money floods Calif. primaries to avert electoral disaster
Congressional Mid-Term Elections 2018
Immigration dominates GOP candidates' TV ads in House contests across the country
What Happens If Republicans Keep Control Of The House And Senate?
President Trump
Trump’s Handling Of North Korea Has Been One Of The Few Things Americans Likes About His Presidency
Trump is proving to be the most fearlessly pro-life president in history
Trump: Senate Democrats ignoring willing of public on border security
President Trump Claims His Campaign Was ‘Spied’ On. Here’s What Really Happened
Special Prosecutor