Research

Publications

Afonso A., Alves J. and Ionta S. 

Monetary policy surprise shocks under different fiscal regimes: A panel analysis of the Euro Area.

Journal of International Money and Finance. 2025. [DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2025.103341]

Giuli F. , Ionta S. and Patella V.

Monetary/Fiscal Policy Dominance and Conflicts: Evidence from Crises.

Economics Letters. 2025.   [DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2025.112713]

Guidolin M. and Ionta S. 

Forecasting Asset Returns Using Nelson–Siegel Factors Estimated from the US Yield Curve.

Econometrics. 2025. [DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/econometrics13020017]

Afonso A., Alves J. and Ionta S. 

Monetary policy surprises and fiscal sustainability: the case of the Euro Area.

Economic Change and Restructuring. 2025. [DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10644-025-09881-4]

Work in progress

Guidolin M. and Ionta S. 

Predictive Sorting of Cryptocurrencies Based On Fundamentals and Sentiment.

R&R (Second Round) at Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money. 2025. 

Creel J. , Ionta S. and Traficante G.

Fiscal policies are not all alike: composition effects, regime switching and uncertainty. 2025.

Guidolin M. and Ionta S.

Climate Policy Uncertainty and Financial Dynamics: Insights from a Bayesian SVAR Analysis. 2025.

Giuli F. , Guerriero A. and Ionta S. 

Energy Shocks in the Euro Area: Does Policy Regime Matter? 2024.

Books & Other Articles

Giuli F.  and Ionta S. 

Sulla dominanza fiscale e monetaria: un’analisi Markov-switching per l’Italia. 

Giornate della Ricerca del Dipartimento di Economia di Roma Tre. 2023.