Workshop schedule

Thursday July 21, 2022

8:00-8:20 Welcome and introductions

8:20- 9:20 Basic principles of structured decision making and adaptive management

CVPIA Science Integration Team (stakeholders)

9:20- 10:00 Overview of hands on problem and development of problem statement (student participation)

10:00-10:20 Break

10:20-11:00 Identifying and quantifying management objectives and decision alternatives

- AHP Spreadsheet

11:00- 12:00 Identifying and quantifying management objectives and decision alternatives hands on (student participation)

12:00-13:00 Lunch

13:00-14:00 Uncertainty and probability in ecological modeling

14:00-14:40 Influence diagrams and probabilistic networks

- Example probabilistic networks (in zipped file)

14:40-15:00 Break

15:00-16:30 Hands on influence diagrams and probabilistic networks (student participation)

Friday July 22, 2022

8:00-8:30 Brief review; Group project models

8:30- 9:30 Meta-analysis and elicitation

9:30- 10:30 Sensitivity analysis and the value of information

10:30-11:45 Sensitivity analysis hands-on (student participation)

11:45-13:00 Lunch

13:00-13:45 The role of monitoring and information feedback

- Robust redhorse updating spreadsheet

13:45-14:0 Break

14:00-15:00 Alternative methods for solving decision models: simulation and optimization

15:00-16:00 Hands on simulation and optimization (Student participation)

- What is a Tribble?

16:00-16:30 Lessons learned and wrap-up

Required software

R download

Rstudio download

Netica

Publications

Barajas 2017. Development of a Structured Adaptive Approach to Klamath Basin Sucker Recovery Planning

Conroy and Peterson. 2013. Decision making in natural resource management: a structured adaptive approach

Freeman et al. 2013. Linking river management to species conservation using dynamic landscape-scale models

Hammond et al. 1999. Smart Choices

Peterson and Duarte. 2021. Decision analysis for greater insights into the development and evaluation of Chinook salmon restoration strategies in California’s Central Valley

Peterson and Evans. 2003. Quantitative decision analysis for sport fisheries management

Peterson and Freeman. 2016. Integrating modeling, monitoring, and management to reduce critical uncertainties in water resource decision making

Peterson et al. 2022. Integrated tools for identifying optimal flow regimes and evaluating alternative minimum flows for recovering at-risk salmonids in a highly managed system

Other resources

FW 544 (OSU) Quantitative decision analysis for fish and wildlife management

Code from Conroy and Peterson Decision-making in natural resources: a structured adaptive approach